Top News and Analysis

Markets Today: Rate cut hopes wither as Nikkei and Kospi suffer steep weekly losses. NFP data up next

Market analysis of a chaotic week: Asian stocks suffer steepest weekly losses since 2020 due to Middle East conflict and Strait of Hormuz disruptions. Oil prices spike, fueling inflation fears, which drives a major safe-haven rally for the US Dollar, causing traders to pare back expectations for Fed/BoE rate cuts and increase bets on an ECB hike.

06-03-2026 10:00 GMT by Zain Vawda

Chart alert: Why Japan’s Nikkei 225 can stage a minor recovery after its 4-day plunge

Japan’s Nikkei 225 may see a short-term rebound after a sharp four-day decline triggered by rising oil prices linked to the US–Iran conflict 2026. A softening in the Bank of Japan policy outlook, renewed steepening in the JGB yield curve (10Y–2Y), and strong technical support near the 50-day moving average are key factors suggesting a potential near-term recovery.

06-03-2026 07:03 GMT by Kelvin Wong

China saves a rough trading day – North American Session Market Wrap for March 5

March 5th 2026 North-American Session Recap – A brutal session for global assets (even safe-havens!), however China saves the day at the end of the session. Check up the latest trends and developments, daily asset and FX performance, what changed fundamentally and what's coming up in the session ahead.

05-03-2026 21:46 GMT by Elior Manier

EUR/USD: NFP looms as 1.1578 support faces critical test

EUR/USD faces a critical test at 1.1578 support, driven lower by geopolitical tensions (Middle East, Iran leadership succession) and a cautious ECB, contrasting with a strong US economy. The imminent NFP report is set to determine the pair's next major move toward 1.1500 or a rally above 1.1670.

05-03-2026 18:19 GMT by Zain Vawda

The Canadian Dollar loves conflict – Has the CAD reached a long-term bottom?

Has the Canadian Dollar reached a long-term bottom? The Canadian Economy faces a sharp turn after a rough stretch under US First policies. With Mark Carney leading a new wave of international trade deals as a Middle power, the Loonie is recovering from multi-year troughs. USD/CAD, EUR/CAD and CAD/CHF Weekly Timeframe analysis.

05-03-2026 16:11 GMT by Elior Manier

Chart alert: DAX’s dead cat bounce may have ended, watch 24,000 downside trigger

European equities remain under pressure after a sharp selloff, with the DAX attempting a brief rebound that may prove to be a “dead cat bounce.” Rising geopolitical risks from the US–Iran conflict and energy supply concerns continue to weigh on sentiment. Technically, a break below 24,000 could confirm renewed downside momentum for the index in the near term.

05-03-2026 09:51 GMT by Kelvin Wong

Markets Today: KOSPI surges 9.63% to lead Asian rally, Europe struggles, FTSE 100 eyes recovery

Asian markets, led by a 9.63% surge in South Korea's KOSPI, saw a stellar rebound on diplomatic optimism. In contrast, European shares struggled, with the STOXX 600 dipping on escalating Middle East conflict and poor corporate earnings. The US dollar resumed its upward climb as a safe-haven, pressuring other currencies, while oil and gold prices continued to rise. Markets now await key US labor and eurozone data.

05-03-2026 09:46 GMT by Zain Vawda

Chart alert: WTI crude oil bullish breakout above $78.10/barrel in play

WTI crude oil has rallied nearly 19% since late February, breaking a long-term downtrend and reaching a 14-month high near $78. Escalating geopolitical tensions involving the United States, Israel, and Iran, alongside fears of disruption at the Strait of Hormuz, have amplified supply risks. With bullish momentum intact, markets are watching whether prices can break above $78.10 to target the $80–$84 range.

05-03-2026 06:16 GMT by Kelvin Wong

NFP Preview: Jobs to drive volatility amid "operation epic fury" & implications for the DXY, Dow Jones

A preview of the March NFP report, set against a backdrop of geopolitical conflict and surging Brent crude prices. The report's outcome is critical for the Federal Reserve's rate path. Details on NFP consensus (58k-65k), unemployment (4.4%), and Average Hourly Earnings (+0.4% m/m). Includes bullish and bearish scenarios for the DXY and Dow Jones.

04-03-2026 23:07 GMT by Zain Vawda

Wartime, a boon for Markets? – North American Mid-Week Market Update

Mid-Week update for North-American Markets – Wartime in Iran begins, not preventing North American Markets to flourish. Taking a close look at NA index and currency performance combined with a USD/CAD intraday chart to spot what's next for American Markets.

04-03-2026 21:23 GMT by Elior Manier

Fearless Markets are exploding higher – Dow Jones & US Index Outlook

S&P 500, Dow Jones, Nasdaq Analysis and Trading Levels: Global Equity Markets maintain their upward trajectory despite the escalation of hostilities in the Middle East. Investor sentiment is supported by official communications projecting a four to five week conflict duration. Stabilization in WTI Oil prices and positive US economic data further bolster resilience.

04-03-2026 16:45 GMT by Elior Manier

Gold (XAU/USD) marks a double top despite Iran conflict – Below $5,000 soon?

Gold Analysis: The bullion faces a surprising sell-off despite heavy military activity in the Middle East as Trump assures the protection of the Strait of Hormuz. Risk assets behave unpredictably with cryptocurrencies at monthly highs while safe havens reject – A double-top is forming!

04-03-2026 15:51 GMT by Elior Manier

Trade Idea: DAX eyes bullish recovery after 6% slide and retest of psychological 24000 handle

DAX is attempting a recovery after a 6% slide, driven by Middle East conflict-induced energy price surges (oil +14.5% this week, EU gas +60%). The article analyzes the market's trajectory, risk of stagflation, and sector-specific reactions (Infineon up, Adidas/Bayer down). Technical analysis suggests a potential upside move if the index closes above the psychological 24000 level.

04-03-2026 15:09 GMT by Zain Vawda

Can Iran fully block the Strait of Hormuz?

Tensions in the Strait of Hormuz have pushed energy prices higher, but markets remain relatively calm as a full blockade by Iran is seen as unlikely. Asian economies would be most exposed to disruptions in oil flows. While global oil supply buffers could temporarily stabilize the market, prolonged conflict could significantly increase energy prices and shipping costs.

04-03-2026 08:51 GMT by Łukasz Zembik

Chart alert: Risk-off persists on Strait of Hormuz fears, EUR/CHF eyeing 0.9010 key bearish breakdown level

Risk-off sentiment dominates as fears of a Strait of Hormuz closure intensify despite US naval escort assurances. Oil trades near $76, gold advances, and Asian equities slide sharply. With market-implied odds of a Hormuz shutdown above 70%, recession and liquidity risks are rising. EUR/CHF remains under pressure, with 0.9010 emerging as a key downside trigger.

04-03-2026 06:25 GMT by Kelvin Wong

Trump guarantees maritime security in the Strait of Hormuz: Markets U-turn on Navy escort pledge

Market Reactions: Markets took a massive U-turn following a White House address from President Trump regarding ongoing operations in Iran. To shed morning anxiety, the President announced a security framework to protect commercial shipping routes and the Strait of Hormuz, causing Oil prices to retreat by 7 percent and Stock Markets to rebound sharply.

03-03-2026 21:06 GMT by Elior Manier

Is Bitcoin's (BTC/USD) second $70k rejection a “buy the dip” opportunity?

Bitcoin (BTC/USD) retraces from $70,000 amid Middle East tensions and risk-off sentiment. The article discusses geopolitical headwinds, continued institutional buying by Michael Saylor and Anthony Pompliano, and a divided technical outlook with forecasts ranging from a painful crash to $40k-$50k to a recovery targeting $150,000. The $70,000 level is key.

03-03-2026 19:21 GMT by Zain Vawda

Stocks get caught in the crossfire – Dow Jones & US Index Outlook

S&P 500, Dow Jones, Nasdaq Analysis and Trading Levels: US indexes see bloodshed amid global selling as the Petrodollar and WTI spike to new cycle highs. Dow Jones reached new cycle lows and Stock Benchmarks enter heavy correction – Tech remains solid. Supply shocks and traffic slowdowns in the Strait of Hormuz hinder the market outlook.

03-03-2026 17:28 GMT by Elior Manier

Gold’s (XAU/USD) $5000 Retest: Rate cut fears and dollar surge lead to 5% selloff

Gold's (XAU/USD) 5% plunge is a surprise given Middle East escalation. The selloff is driven by rising oil prices sparking inflation fears, leading to fewer expected Fed rate cuts (now 46bps), a surging US Dollar (DXY at 6-week highs), and profit-taking. Includes a technical outlook with $5000/oz key support retest having taken place.

03-03-2026 16:12 GMT by Zain Vawda

The War-Petrodollar trade extends – Oil jumps, Dollar to 2026 highs

US Dollar (DXY) Analysis & Dollar Update: Global Stock Markets fall between 2 and 7 percent as the Iran conflict intensifies. Brent trades around $83 while WTI moves toward its June peak. A potential dollar shortage looms as fuel prices explode, increasing dollar demand for importers. Diving into DXY technical levels.

03-03-2026 15:47 GMT by Elior Manier