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CPI is back on time – Markets Weekly Outlook
A week ahead preview: The New Year starts with quite some volatile events, both on the geopolitical and economic side. Markets will be looking closely at next week's US CPI release. Get ready for the upcoming week by looking at the past week's Market performance, what changed and the key events to expect in next week)
09-01-2026 21:07 GMT by Elior Manier
NFP-Hero
December US Jobs Report Shows Weaker Hiring
The December US jobs report confirms a continued slowdown in the labor market. Hiring fell short of expectations, job gains were concentrated in leisure and health care, and several key sectors saw employment declines. Despite weaker payroll growth, unemployment edged lower, leaving the Federal Reserve cautious as it weighs the outlook for interest rates and economic growth.
09-01-2026 17:30 GMT by Krzysztof Kamiński
Energy Policy
Why venezuela’s political transition has left oil markets largely unmoved
Oil markets have largely ignored Venezuela’s political transition, as structural constraints prevent any rapid increase in supply. Production capacity is limited, infrastructure is degraded, and investment economics remain unattractive at current prices. While Venezuela’s vast reserves may matter in the 2030s if prices rise and politics stabilize, they pose little risk to global oil balances in the near term.
09-01-2026 14:45 GMT by Łukasz Zembik
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Chart Alert: Silver (XAG/USD) intraday rally is fast approaching key resistance
Silver (XAG/USD) has staged a sharp intraday rebound after a steep sell-off, but technical signals suggest the rally may be corrective rather than the start of a new uptrend. With prices nearing the key US$79.86 resistance ahead of US non-farm payrolls, failure to break higher could trigger another down leg toward US$74 and US$70 in the first step.
09-01-2026 10:32 GMT by Kelvin Wong
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Monetary policy divergence: Australia & Eurozone CPI and the EUR/AUD tumble
Central bank clash! The RBA's fight against sticky core inflation (3.2%) puts a February rate hike on the table, while the ECB celebrates hitting its 2.0% inflation bullseye. This policy divergence is sinking the EUR/AUD cross to a 15-month low. Find out why traders are piling into the Aussie as a high-yield play and what it means for the pair's critical 1.73 support level.
08-01-2026 20:45 GMT by Moheb Hanna
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NFP Preview: Federal Reserve’s Pivot at a Crossroads, Implications for the US Dollar & Nasdaq 100
Preview of the pivotal December Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report, set for release on January 9, 2026. The article examines whether the Federal Reserve's recent easing cycle was justified. It details consensus forecasts (60k-70k jobs), key risks, and outlines the expected market reactions for the US Dollar Index (DXY) and Nasdaq 100 based on deviations from the forecast.
08-01-2026 17:28 GMT by Zain Vawda
Computer_Screen_Chart
When the radar goes dark: Navigating the market after the COT report delay
The 43-day COT report delay led to a data vacuum, allowing "managed money" to build crowded, unseen positions. The eventual backfilled data caused a "positioning shock" in markets like soybeans, triggering sharp reversals. This event highlights the major risk of market opacity and the potential for a "volatility explosion" when speculative sentiment data is unavailable.
08-01-2026 13:18 GMT by Moheb Hanna
Index-Indices_City_Centre_Business
Chart Alert: Nasdaq 100 bullish momentum is building up
The Nasdaq 100 is showing signs of renewed bullish momentum despite recent underperformance versus other US indices. Technical signals point to a bullish consolidation, with price holding above key support at 25,350 and momentum indicators turning higher. A breakout above the 25,760–25,830 resistance zone could trigger a fresh impulsive move toward record highs.
08-01-2026 09:11 GMT by Kelvin Wong
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Gold (XAU/USD) Slips 1.2% Before 50-Day MA Provides Support. Acceptance Above $4500/oz Remains Key
Gold (XAU/USD) price dipped 1.2% before finding support at the 50-day MA ($4419/oz), but acceptance above $4500/oz is key. Geopolitical risks (US/Venezuela/Russia tensions, Greenland acquisition talks) and softer US employment data (job openings, ADP) are underpinning the metal. Investors now focus on Friday's NFP data, which is set to be the next catalyst. Technical support is strong, but a strong NFP could threaten $4400/oz.
07-01-2026 18:44 GMT by Zain Vawda
Inflation_Shopping_Receipt
Markets Today: Euro Area Inflation Cools, Silver Peaks Above $80/oz, Gold Retreats Ahead of Key US Data Releases
Euro Area inflation cools to 2.0%, hitting the ECB target, but German retail sales decline unexpectedly. Asia's stock rally stalls amid profit-taking and rising China-Japan tensions over a dual-use export ban. European stocks are steady. Gold and other precious metals fall as the US dollar holds firm. All eyes are now on US jobs data (JOLTS/ADP), which is forecast to be weak and could impact the dollar.
07-01-2026 11:57 GMT by Zain Vawda
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Chart Alert: Gold (XAU/USD) is losing bullish momentum below US$4,500, bearish reversal next
Gold (XAU/USD) is showing signs of a short-term bearish reversal as prices struggle to break above the critical US$4,485–4,500 resistance zone. Bearish RSI divergence and a completed Fibonacci retracement suggest the recent rebound may be a countertrend move. A break below US$4,430 could trigger deeper downside toward US$4,333–4,243, while only a clear move above US$4,500 would restore bullish control.
07-01-2026 05:50 GMT by Kelvin Wong
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