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A real peace process or a fantasy? – Markets Weekly Outlook
A week ahead preview: The Peace repricing continues and Bulls can't get enough, with an upcoming second round of US-Iran talks expected to produce significant results this weekend. Get ready for the upcoming week by looking at the past week's Market performance, what changed and the key events to expect in next week)
by Elior Manier
USD/JPY forms a major Head & Shoulders pattern as Oil crumbles – FX Analysis
USD/JPY Technical Analysis: The Japanese Yen enters corrective phase as the US and Iran announce the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz, easing the immense pressure on Asia's energy imports. With the Bank of Japan's rate hike expectations fading and a bearish Head and Shoulders pattern taking shape, traders weigh an end to the US Dollar's recent dominance. Explore a multi-timeframe analysis of the Gopher.
by Elior Manier
Chart alert: The laggard Dow Jones (DJIA) is in the process of a bullish catch-up above 47,895 key support
The Dow Jones Industrial Average is showing signs of a bullish catch-up as improving macro conditions support upside momentum. After lagging other US indices, stabilisation in the yield curve is boosting financial sector outlooks. Technically, the DJIA is holding above key support at 47,895, with a break above 48,850 opening the path toward 49,715/49,835, while downside risks remain if support levels fail.
by Kelvin Wong
Chart alert: Gold (XAU/USD) potential bullish breakout above $4,900
Gold (XAU/USD) is poised for a potential breakout above $4,900 as improving macro conditions support bullish momentum. A softer US dollar, rising Fed rate cut expectations, and falling real yields are creating a favourable backdrop. After lagging equities, gold may stage a catch-up rally, with technical signals pointing to further upside toward $5,100 if resistance is cleared.
by Kelvin Wong
WTI and Brent Oil bounce with US-Iran news still awaited – What's next? Intraday Analysis
WTI and Brent Oil update: Energy markets navigate complex supply dynamics as the ongoing pricing of a US-Iran peace deal fuels a frantic equity rally. While stock markets surge, crude oil faces a massive disconnect between real-world physical demand and futures pricing, marked by steep backwardation and regional supply shortages in Asia. Explore an intraday technical analysis of WTI and Brent, outlining scenarios for potential breakouts or breakdowns.
by Elior Manier
The US Dollar is stalls as the world awaits Ceasefire news – DXY Outlook
US Dollar (DXY) update: The Dollar Index edges higher as Crude Oil halts its downside move, keeping broader markets in anticipation. Even as stock markets push higher independently of Black Gold, oil remains the ultimate barometer for currency traders navigating the potential for a historic Middle East peace resolution. Explore an in-depth technical analysis of the US Dollar and its upcoming directional shifts.
by Elior Manier
Chart alert: AUD/USD 360 pips rally at risk of a minor mean reversion decline below 0.7200 before new upleg
AUD/USD has rallied nearly 360 pips from late-March lows, driven by risk-on sentiment following the US–Iran ceasefire. However, the pair is approaching key resistance near 0.7200, with technical indicators signalling a potential short-term pullback. A break below 0.7120 could see a correction toward 0.7033 before the next bullish leg, while a sustained move above 0.7200 may extend gains toward 0.7300.
by Kelvin Wong
Cable eyes 1.3696 after reclaiming key moving averages, bulls defend 1.3500
GBP/USD confirms a major daily structural breakout, shifting the macro bias to "buy the dips" after reclaiming key moving averages. This analysis outlines the critical support/resistance levels (1.3500, 1.3696) and provides bullish/bearish scenarios as "Cable" consolidates near the 1.3600 hurdle. Near-term weakness is an opportunity for bulls to reload
by Zain Vawda
Chart alert: Nikkei 225’s bullish reversal extends towards new all-time highs
Nikkei 225 is extending its bullish reversal as rising optimism over a US–Iran ceasefire boosts risk sentiment. The index has surged around 18% from late-March lows, holding above key moving averages and nearing all-time highs. Bullish steepening in Japan’s yield curve is reinforcing the uptrend. A sustained move could push prices higher, while key support levels remain critical to maintain momentum.
by Kelvin Wong
S&P 500 to 7,000 & Nasdaq 100 points to ATH – Are Markets getting ahead of themselves?
S&P 500, Dow Jones, Nasdaq Analysis and Trading Levels: Wall Street bulls go on an absolute rampage, driving the S&P 500 above 7,000 to break all-time highs while the Nasdaq nears its October record. As traders price in Thursday's upcoming US-Iran negotiations and the Fed's Beige Book signals modest economic growth across 8 of 12 districts, WTI Crude stalls above $90. Explore an intraday technical analysis of the markets as the tech-led rally leaves skeptics behind.
by Elior Manier
EUR/USD: A look at the 1.1800 battle and key support levels
EUR/USD confirms a major bullish structural shift, reclaiming key daily MAs. While short-term momentum is exhausted (H4 RSI > 70), dips are likely to be bought. This technical analysis details scenarios for the 1.1800 battleground, with support at 1.1769 and the next bullish target at 1.1867.
by Zain Vawda
FX levels for EUR/USD, USD/CAD & GBP/USD – USD dumps amid peace repricing
EUR/USD, GBP/USD, and USD/CAD Technical Analysis: The US Dollar gives up its 11-month highs, losing roughly 2% against a basket of major currencies as geopolitical de-escalation dampens safe-haven demand. As the DXY hits a major roadblock at the 98.00 support level, shifting political winds and ceasefire hopes are setting up massive opportunities in the currency markets. Explore an intraday technical analysis of the FX pairs.
by Elior Manier
Stocks continue their peace (hopes) rally, Producer Inflation (PPI) misses! – Dow Jones and US Stock Market Outlook
S&P 500, Dow Jones, Nasdaq Analysis and Trading Levels: The peace rally gains momentum as US-Iran negotiations open discussions on nuclear enrichment and Israel-Lebanon direct talks commence. With WTI Crude unwinding its war premium down to $93 and a cooler-than-expected March PPI reading of 4.0%, equity bulls return hungry. Explore a mid-session technical analysis of US Stock markets.
by Elior Manier
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