Asia open: US stock futures retreated ahead of Juneteenth holiday, US dollar remains firm
Global markets are adjusting to a new post-conflict reality as the Strait of Hormuz officially reopens following the US-Iran peace agreement. Oil prices have plunged to multi-month lows, removing much of the geopolitical inflation premium that dominated markets earlier this year. Meanwhile, the US dollar remains firmly supported by the Federal Reserve’s hawkish stance under Chair Kevin Warsh, while equities balance improving risk sentiment against higher-for-longer interest rates.
FOMC trading playbook: How a hawkish Fed could impact Nasdaq 100, Gold, EUR/USD and AUD/USD
The June 2026 FOMC meeting could become one of the most important policy events of the year. While markets expect the Federal Reserve to keep interest rates unchanged, traders are focused on the dot plot, updated economic projections, and new Fed Chair Kevin Warsh’s first press conference. With futures now pricing a 77% chance of a rate hike by December, a hawkish shift could strengthen the US dollar and pressure gold, the Nasdaq 100, EUR/USD, and AUD/USD.