MarketPulse - The Beat of the Global Markets

Dollar faces a tougher period as Fed expectations may shift
The dollar remains supported by relatively hawkish Fed expectations, but this advantage may weaken. A US-Iran de-escalation could lower energy prices and inflation risks, reducing the case for further US tightening. If markets begin to price a softer Fed policy path, the dollar could come under pressure and EUR/USD could gradually move higher.
by Łukasz Zembik
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Chart alert: Yen’s 3-day weakness pauses at key 158.55/USD inflexion level ahead of NFP
USD/JPY’s three-day rebound is showing signs of exhaustion near the key 158.55 inflexion level ahead of the US non-farm payrolls release. The narrowing 2-year UST-JGB yield spread, a potential bearish flag and weakening hourly RSI momentum suggest renewed downside risks for USD/JPY. A break below the 157.95 downside trigger could expose 157.30 and 156.32, while a move above 158.55 may extend the rebound towards 159.45.
by Kelvin Wong
Chart alert: Microsoft (MSFT) bearish Head & Shoulders pattern emerges ahead of earnings
Microsoft's fiscal Q4 2026 earnings will be closely watched as investors assess whether the software giant can convert record AI infrastructure spending into stronger Azure growth, Copilot monetisation, and free cash flow. With Microsoft's Capex-to-Revenue ratio reaching a record high among the Magnificent 7 and technical indicators turning increasingly bearish, traders will focus on whether management's guidance can justify its elevated AI investment strategy.
by Kelvin Wong
Chart alert: Intel (INTC) bearish momentum intact below 120.35 as earnings loom
Intel reports its Q2 2026 earnings with investors closely watching whether its AI-driven turnaround can justify its 172% year-to-date rally. Beyond headline EPS and revenue, traders will focus on Data Centre and AI growth, capital expenditure, free cash flow, and management guidance. With technical indicators weakening and AI spending coming under greater scrutiny following Alphabet's earnings, Intel faces a critical test of both fundamentals and market sentiment.
by Kelvin Wong
Chart alert: Nasdaq 100 at risk of triggering a multi-week corrective decline leg
The Nasdaq 100 is showing signs of increasing technical and fundamental weakness as AI infrastructure stocks lose momentum and semiconductor volatility accelerates. Leveraged unwinding in memory-chip leaders, concerns over rising capital expenditure, and delayed AI monetisation are weighing on valuations. Discover why the 28,200 support level is a critical technical trigger and how semiconductor weakness could drive a broader multi-week correction in US technology stocks.
by Kelvin Wong

Top cryptocurrency news and analysis

The US labour market is losing momentum – as is the USD
The June U.S. jobs report points to a clear slowdown in the labor market, with weaker nonfarm payrolls growth, lower labor force participation, and easing wage pressure. While layoffs remain limited, the data reduce pressure on the Fed to tighten policy further and have weighed on the U.S. dollar.
by Krzysztof Kamiński
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Top commodities news and analysis

The US labour market is losing momentum – as is the USD
The June U.S. jobs report points to a clear slowdown in the labor market, with weaker nonfarm payrolls growth, lower labor force participation, and easing wage pressure. While layoffs remain limited, the data reduce pressure on the Fed to tighten policy further and have weighed on the U.S. dollar.
by Krzysztof Kamiński
Asia open: Micron earnings beat sparks global semiconductor rally, USD remains firm
Global technology stocks rebounded after Micron Technology delivered blockbuster FY Q3 earnings and record guidance, reinforcing confidence that AI infrastructure spending remains exceptionally resilient. Strong demand for HBM reignited semiconductor shares across Asia, while crude oil extended losses as the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz continued to unwind the geopolitical risk premium. Investors are now turning their focus to the US Core PCE inflation as the next major market catalyst.
by Kelvin Wong
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Central banks news

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