FOMC trading playbook: How a hawkish Fed could impact Nasdaq 100, Gold, EUR/USD and AUD/USD
The June 2026 FOMC meeting could become one of the most important policy events of the year. While markets expect the Federal Reserve to keep interest rates unchanged, traders are focused on the dot plot, updated economic projections, and new Fed Chair Kevin Warsh’s first press conference. With futures now pricing a 77% chance of a rate hike by December, a hawkish shift could strengthen the US dollar and pressure gold, the Nasdaq 100, EUR/USD, and AUD/USD.
Asia open: S&P 500 rally pauses before Fed, Nikkei 225 eyeing 70,000, crude oil plunges to 3-month low
Global markets paused ahead of the Federal Reserve’s June policy decision as investors await the debut of Fed Chair Kevin Warsh. The S&P 500 retreated while the Nasdaq 100 fell nearly 2% amid semiconductor weakness. Meanwhile, crude oil plunged to a three-month low as a US-Iran peace agreement and the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz moved closer to reality. The Dow Jones hit a record high as investors rotated from technology stocks into financials and industrials.
