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US: Softer jobs data strengthen the case for a Fed pause
US payrolls rose by just 29,000 in September, while revisions cut July and August employment by a combined 60,000. Unemployment increased to 4.2% and annual wage growth slowed to 3.0%. The report strengthens the case for an October Fed pause, potentially weighing on the dollar and Treasury yields while supporting gold.
by Łukasz Zembik
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Geopolitics, inflation and central banks set the direction for markets
Middle East tensions and energy prices remain central to the market outlook. The US economy is supported by AI investment, while China faces weak domestic demand. Inflation may keep the Fed and ECB cautious. Bond yields could ease temporarily if energy prices fall, while longer-term fiscal pressures remain. Political risks may gradually weigh on the dollar.
by Łukasz Zembik
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