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Asia open: Trump’s Iran strike threat and tech rout spark stagflation
Global markets turned sharply risk-off as President Trump’s threat of hard strikes on Iran sent WTI crude back above US$90 and revived stagflation fears. Hot US CPI data reinforced expectations of a higher-for-longer Federal Reserve stance, pressuring equities, bonds, and precious metals. Technology stocks led losses as stretched AI valuations and mega-IPO liquidity concerns weighed on sentiment, while Asia Pacific markets opened broadly lower amid renewed currency stress.
by Kelvin Wong
Chart alert: USD/JPY advances toward the next 161.60/95 key intervention levels
USD/JPY remains on a bullish footing as widening US-Japan yield spreads reinforce demand for the US dollar ahead of key US inflation data and the Bank of Japan’s policy meeting. Markets are increasingly pricing a Federal Reserve rate hike later this year, while the BOJ is expected to raise rates but potentially slow its bond tapering programme. Technically, USD/JPY continues to trend higher toward the critical intervention zone near 160.65, where Japanese authorities may step in again.
by Kelvin Wong
Asia open: Tech rout and geopolitical volatility ignite risk-off
Global markets turned risk-off as technology stocks extended their recent correction, geopolitical tensions between the US and Iran resurfaced, and investors prepared for key US inflation data. Semiconductor shares remained volatile amid concerns over AI valuations and liquidity pressures from upcoming mega-IPOs such as SpaceX and OpenAI. Meanwhile, Bank Indonesia surprised markets with an emergency rate hike, while the Bank of Japan signalled flexibility on bond market support.
by Kelvin Wong
Chart alert: SPX 500 weak market breadth and Fed rate hike fears signal further downside risk
The S&P 500 is showing signs of increasing vulnerability as weak market breadth, rising Treasury yields, and growing expectations of Federal Reserve rate hikes weigh on investor sentiment. Despite a strong rebound in semiconductor stocks, only a handful of sectors participated in the recovery. Technical indicators, including a bearish divergence in the NYSE Advance/Decline line and resistance at the 20-day moving average, suggest further downside risks for US equities in the near term.
by Kelvin Wong
Asia open: Dip buyers spark tech rebound on weak market breadth
Global markets rebounded as dip buyers returned aggressively to semiconductor and AI-related stocks, driving the Nasdaq 100 higher despite weak market breadth. A temporary Israel-Iran ceasefire helped contain oil prices and ease geopolitical concerns, while Treasury yields remained elevated amid expectations of a prolonged higher-rate environment. Investors are also preparing for the record-breaking SpaceX IPO, which could reshape liquidity flows across global equity markets.
by Kelvin Wong
Asia open: Tech rout deepens and Middle East tensions fuel market tremors
Global markets entered a risk-off phase amid a deep technology selloff, escalating Middle East tensions, and stronger-than-expected US employment data. Semiconductor stocks led losses amid growing concerns over AI valuations, while rising oil prices following Iran-Israel hostilities revived inflation fears. Meanwhile, robust US payrolls data reinforced expectations of a Federal Reserve rate hike, pushing Treasury yields and the US dollar higher while pressuring global equities.
by Kelvin Wong
Chart alert: EUR/USD finds support as ECB hawkishness offsets Fed strength ahead of NFP
EUR/USD is showing resilience ahead of the closely watched US Nonfarm Payrolls report as investors weigh diverging economic growth trends against converging central bank hawkishness. While the US labour market remains stable enough to support a higher-for-longer Federal Reserve stance, the ECB is expected to continue tightening policy amid persistent inflation. Technical analysis suggests EUR/USD is building a potential base above key support levels, supporting a near-term bullish outlook.
by Kelvin Wong
Asia open: AI Rally stalls on Broadcom miss, while ‘Sell Indonesia’ sweeps markets
Global markets turned mixed as the AI rally stumbled following Broadcom’s weaker-than-expected outlook, triggering a sharp selloff in technology shares. While the Nasdaq and the semiconductor sector came under pressure, the Dow Jones surged to a record high as falling oil prices eased inflation concerns. Meanwhile, Indonesia’s financial markets extended their sharp decline amid growing investor concerns over policy intervention, highlighting broader risks facing emerging markets across Asia.
by Kelvin Wong
Chart alert: Dow Jones (DJIA) under pressure, medium-term uptrend at risk
The Dow Jones Industrial Average is showing signs of technical deterioration after underperforming other major US equity indices throughout the current bull cycle. Rising geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, higher Treasury yields, and a bear-flattening yield curve are tightening financial conditions and weighing on cyclical sectors. Technical indicators, including a breakdown below ascending channel support and bearish RSI divergence, suggest near-term downside risks remain elevated.
by Kelvin Wong
Asia open: Middle East tensions drive oil higher as S&P 500 snaps winning streak
Global markets retreated as renewed U.S.-Iran tensions disrupted ceasefire hopes and pushed oil prices higher. The S&P 500 snapped a nine-day winning streak while technology shares came under pressure after Broadcom issued weaker-than-expected AI growth guidance. Meanwhile, rising energy costs, strong labour markets, and persistent inflation reinforced expectations of further monetary tightening from major central banks, weighing on investor sentiment worldwide.
by Kelvin Wong
Chart alert: Bitcoin (BTC/USD) potential near-term bullish reversal emerging from the sub-$70K plunge
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) has suffered a sharp 16% correction after MicroStrategy’s unexpected sale of part of its Bitcoin holdings triggered a breakdown in market sentiment and accelerated ETF outflows. However, technical and on-chain indicators are now pointing toward potential selling exhaustion. Oversold RSI conditions, elevated long liquidations, and continued accumulation by long-term holders suggest Bitcoin may be nearing a bullish reversal if it can maintain support above US$62,250.
by Kelvin Wong
Asia open: AI exuberance rotates into small caps amid sticky inflation and looming central bank tightening
Global stock markets climbed to record highs as AI-driven investment expanded beyond mega-cap technology firms into small-cap industrial and infrastructure companies. Alphabet’s surprise US$80 billion capital raise underscored the enormous funding demands of the AI supercycle, while stronger U.S. labour data and rising Eurozone inflation reinforced expectations for tighter monetary policy. Investors are now balancing growth optimism against mounting interest-rate risks.
by Kelvin Wong
Asia open: US stock futures dipped on conflicting US-Iran news after S&P 500 scaled a historic high
Global stock markets reached new record highs as investors embraced AI-driven growth and improving U.S.-Iran diplomatic prospects. Strong U.S. manufacturing data reinforced confidence in the AI infrastructure boom, while major technology firms such as Nvidia, Dell, and Oracle led gains. However, beneath the surface, consumer savings have fallen to near post-financial-crisis lows and market leadership remains heavily concentrated in a handful of AI-related stocks, raising concerns over long-term
by Kelvin Wong
Chart alert: WTI crude is entrenched in a minor downtrend below 20-day and 50-day moving averages
WTI crude oil prices remain under pressure after a sharp May selloff driven by improving US-Iran ceasefire negotiations and easing geopolitical tensions around the Strait of Hormuz. WTI has turned into the worst-performing major asset class in May 2026, with technical indicators pointing to continued near-term weakness. Price action remains trapped below the 20-day and 50-day moving averages within a descending channel, exposing further downside risks toward key support levels.
by Kelvin Wong
Asia open: S&P 500 nabs records on US - Iran ceasefire extension amid Hot PCE inflation shock
The S&P 500 and Nasdaq reached fresh record highs after the US and Iran extended their ceasefire agreement, improving global risk sentiment and easing energy market tensions. However, hotter-than-expected US core PCE inflation at 3.3% y/y reinforced expectations for prolonged restrictive Federal Reserve policy. Meanwhile, the AI infrastructure boom continued to dominate markets as major technology firms delivered strong earnings and funding milestones.
by Kelvin Wong
Memorandum is finalized but its agreement is still pending – Dow Jones, Nasdaq and S&P 500 Intraday Levels
S&P 500, Dow Jones, Nasdaq Analysis and Trading Levels: Wall Street digests the details of a historic diplomatic breakthrough reported by Axios, including a 30-day timeline to lift the naval blockade and reopen the Strait of Hormuz. As WTI Crude languishes below $90 and international premiums evaporate, explore critical technical levels for the S&P 500, Nasdaq, and Dow Jones.
by Elior Manier
Chart alert: Gold (XAU/USD) bearish breakdown below 200-day MA, further potential weakness ahead
Gold (XAU/USD) remains under pressure after breaking below its key 200-day moving average for the first time since March 2026. Rising US Treasury real yields and persistent bearish momentum continue to weigh on the precious metal as investors rotate toward yield-bearing assets. Technical analysis suggests gold may face further downside below the $4,456 resistance level, with key support zones now monitored near $4,320 and $4,250 amid a strengthening medium-term downtrend.
by Kelvin Wong
Asia open: AI Capex mania fuels world stocks to all-time highs as US-Iran peace deal skepticism lingers
Global stock markets surged to fresh record highs as relentless AI infrastructure spending continued to fuel risk appetite despite mounting macroeconomic and geopolitical headwinds. Investors are closely watching conflicting US-Iran peace deal developments, while sticky inflation pressures and increasingly hawkish central bank signals strengthen expectations for higher interest rates. Markets now shift focus to the crucial US PCE inflation report and the evolving AI-driven equity supercycle.
by Kelvin Wong
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