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Markets Today: Rate Cut Bets Surge, FTSE 100 Eyes Retest of 200-day MA, Geopolitics and US Retail Sales in Focus
Global stock markets rise on rate cut expectations from the Federal Reserve. Asian shares post modest gains, while European stocks are subdued ahead of key US economic data like producer inflation and retail sales. The report also covers a stable US dollar, falling oil prices, and rising gold prices on "dovish" Fed comments. Geopolitical developments in the Russia-Ukraine conflict and technical analysis for the FTSE 100 are also discussed.
by Zain Vawda
Dow Jones (DJIA): Outperforming the US mega-cap technology stocks
The Dow Jones remains resilient despite the recent AI-driven tech sell-off, supported by stronger value factors and a re-steepening US yield curve. Intermarket signals highlight potential medium-term outperformance versus the Nasdaq 100. The index is still holding its ascending channel, with key support at 45,650/45,020 and upside targets toward 48,460 and 49,130/49,220.
by Kelvin Wong
The Crypto Bloodbath Stalls: Is a Bottom In?
The crypto bloodbath has stalled, suggesting a definitive bottom may be in. After plunging to stark lows (Bitcoin $80K, Ethereum $2,800), prices are recovering, driven by dip-buying off key technical areas. Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs saw their first renewed inflows after six weeks of outflows, pushing the Total Market Cap back above the pivotal $3 trillion mark. Analysis focuses on BTC and ETH weekly and 8H charts.
by Elior Manier
Markets rebound for Thanksgiving week as Fed comments and Tech giants boost sentiment
Markets rebound to start Thanksgiving week after breaking October lows. NY Fed President Williams fueled the rally by signaling a rate cut "in the near term" is still appropriate, lifting December cut odds back to 70%. Improved geopolitical prospects (Ukraine, US-China talks) and corporate performance are boosting sentiment. We analyze the intraday outlook for the Dow, Nasdaq, and S&P 500.
by Elior Manier
Markets Weekly Outlook - UK Budget in Focus as Global Equities Eye Recovery
A review of a volatile week in global markets where US equities recovered despite rate cut uncertainty. The US Dollar saw a strong week, but FX intervention fears grew around the Japanese Yen. The outlook for the week ahead focuses on the highly anticipated UK budget, key data releases from China and Japan, and a quiet US Thanksgiving week. Also includes a technical analysis of the US Dollar Index (DXY).
by Zain Vawda
Ethereum (ETH) reaches Key Support, Has the Crypto Bear Market begun?
A red wave is washing over the crypto world, amplified by high leverage, sending altcoins into a punishing bearish loop. While Ethereum is holding relatively better, it faces aggressive repricing and is fast approaching the critical technical zone of $2,700. Has the Crypto Bear Market started, or is this just another shakeout? We dive into a multi-timeframe analysis of ETH to determine if it will hold or break.
by Elior Manier
Why this Weekly Close Matters as Fear takes over US Stocks
US Stocks have endured a rough week, despite strong earnings from Walmart and Nvidia. Sentiment is hurt by fears of peaking AI investment, a topping labor market, and tariffs biting the consumer. NY Fed President Williams helped swinging the December rate cut probability back to $73. After a 2% drop, the weekly close is critical: a breach of October lows confirms a breakdown; a rebound suggests frustrated, rangebound action.
by Elior Manier
EUR/USD technical analysis: Spotting Mean Reversion in the 2,000 pip Range
The EUR/USD is actively contracting into a tight 2,000-pip consolidation range between 1.15 and 1.17. Recent dollar demand from hawkish Fed repricing is being offset by dovish comments from NY Fed President Williams, which put the December rate cut back on the table (70% priced in). We analyze the EUR/USD in this rangebound, non-trending environment.
by Elior Manier
Nasdaq 100: 8% sell-off damages medium-term uptrend, potential multi-week corrective decline ahead
The US stock market suffered its sharpest reversal since April as Nvidia’s post-earnings rally collapsed, erasing nearly $400 billion in market value and triggering broad tech-led selling. The Nasdaq 100 now faces mounting downside risk, with weakening market breadth and bearish technical signals pointing to a potential medium-term downturn as sentiment deteriorates across major US indices.
by Kelvin Wong
Euro Area Business Activity Remains Solid as EUR/USD Hovers Near Key Levels
Euro Area business activity remains solid in November, driven by services, but faces mixed signals with slowing new orders and rising costs. Q3 negotiated wages disappointed at 1.87% YoY. Technically, EUR/USD eyes a lower low, but this is contingent on the US Dollar Index not forming a double top. All eyes are on ECB President Lagarde's speech today regarding strengthening the Euro's world stage role.
by Zain Vawda
Gold Price Forecast: Bullion settles at $4077 on mixed NFP data, Fed increasingly hawkish
At the time of writing, gold trades at $4070 per troy ounce, having erased gains made prior to the months-delayed September US Nonfarm Payrolls release. Relatively unchanged at -0.02% in today’s session, gold currently trades approximately 7.00% shy of all-time highs made in October, and remains on pace to secure a remarkable yearly gain of over 50% in 2025. What’s next for XAU/USD?
by Christian Norman
Altcoins make new lows, Total Market Cap falls below the 2021 record
Cryptocurrencies are enduring a brutal selloff, with Bitcoin breaching recent lows and altcoins like Solana shedding nearly 50% of their value. Panic is gripping the market. Explore potential strategies, risk definition, and diversification. We dive into the charts for Solana, XRP, and Cardano to assess if the panic is just starting or if the worst is over.
by Elior Manier
Bank of Japan on high alert: USD/JPY tests Key 158.00 Resistance
The USD/JPY pair is racing towards 158.00, up over 3% since November, driven by U.S. Dollar strength and the fiscally dovish stance of PM Takaichi. The rally persists despite high-level meetings and BoJ concern, forcing active pricing of intervention. Traders are testing the BoJ's resilience. We dive into a multi-timeframe analysis of USD/JPY from Weekly to intraday charts.
by Elior Manier
Nasdaq rebounds: Nvidia (NVDA) earnings beat ends AI winter fears
Fears of an "AI investment winter" are falling as Nvidia delivers stellar earnings and ecstatic forward guidance, sending the stock and lifting the entire tech sector. The Nasdaq formed a sturdy technical base (triple bottom) and is now flying on renewed sentiment. We dive into a multi-timeframe analysis for the Nasdaq.
by Elior Manier
Markets Today: NFP in Focus as Rate Cut Bets Tumble, NVIDIA Earnings Boost Sentiment
Global markets rally on Nvidia's strong earnings, easing AI bubble fears. Asia and Europe see broad gains in tech and chip stocks. The US Dollar surges to a six-week high as hawkish Fed notes temper rate cut bets, pushing EUR, GBP, and JPY lower. Oil edges up on falling US supplies, but Gold is pressured. The focus now shifts to the long-delayed NFP report
by Zain Vawda
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