Analyst Profile

Łukasz Zembik

Senior Market Analyst

Education:

Łukasz graduated from the University of Warsaw with a degree in Finance and Accounting and holds a certified Financial Markets Dealer license.

Time in MarketPulse:

1 year, 3 months

Łukasz Zembik has 13 years of experience in the financial markets. He specialises in foreign exchange and commodity markets, with a particular focus on central banks' fiscal policies. He's a regular market commentary contributor to leading Polish financial publications as well as international media outlets such as Reuters and Bloomberg. As a financial markets commentator, he combines both fundamental and technical analysis in his market approach.

Łukasz is the author of several educational resources on investing and financial markets for OANDA TMS clients. He also created a popular Live Trading webinar series in Poland, offering practical insights into real-time market dynamics and trading strategies.

Recently published by Łukasz Zembik

Yen’s Appreciation Potential May Be Running Out

The yen’s medium-term outlook remains constructive, but much of the expected Bank of Japan tightening may already be priced in. With weak consumption limiting the scope for aggressive rate hikes, USD/JPY may consolidate near 155 unless the BoJ or Japan’s GPIF provides a fresh catalyst.

04-09-2026 13:29 GMT by Łukasz Zembik

Gold awaits Warsh’s Jackson Hole speech

Gold is undergoing a shallow correction ahead of Kevin Warsh’s Jackson Hole speech. A neutral stance on easing financial conditions could support another test of USD 4,775 and USD 4,890 per ounce. A hawkish message, however, could revive expectations of a September rate hike, strengthen the dollar and trigger a deeper pullback.

27-08-2026 11:05 GMT by Łukasz Zembik

Treasury Intervention Puts the Dollar Under Pressure

A sharp rise in US Treasury yields dominated the week before the Treasury Department expanded its long-term bond buyback programme. The move improved market liquidity and briefly reduced borrowing costs, but also weakened the dollar. With oil prices elevated and US debt exceeding USD40 trillion, investors are questioning whether Washington is becoming more willing to tolerate currency depreciation in order to stabilise the bond market.

21-08-2026 12:37 GMT by Łukasz Zembik

Dollar faces a tougher period as Fed expectations may shift

The dollar remains supported by relatively hawkish Fed expectations, but this advantage may weaken. A US-Iran de-escalation could lower energy prices and inflation risks, reducing the case for further US tightening. If markets begin to price a softer Fed policy path, the dollar could come under pressure and EUR/USD could gradually move higher.

07-08-2026 15:05 GMT by Łukasz Zembik

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