Analyst Profile

Łukasz Zembik

Senior Market Analyst

Education:

Łukasz graduated from the University of Warsaw with a degree in Finance and Accounting and holds a certified Financial Markets Dealer license.

Time in MarketPulse:

1 year, 4 months

Łukasz Zembik has 13 years of experience in the financial markets. He specialises in foreign exchange and commodity markets, with a particular focus on central banks' fiscal policies. He's a regular market commentary contributor to leading Polish financial publications as well as international media outlets such as Reuters and Bloomberg. As a financial markets commentator, he combines both fundamental and technical analysis in his market approach.

Łukasz is the author of several educational resources on investing and financial markets for OANDA TMS clients. He also created a popular Live Trading webinar series in Poland, offering practical insights into real-time market dynamics and trading strategies.

Recently published by Łukasz Zembik

Fed and ECB: December rate hikes look increasingly likely

Persistent inflation is strengthening the case for December rate hikes by both the Fed and the ECB. US core price pressures remain stubborn, while European policymakers increasingly favour further tightening. For EUR/USD, the key will be which central bank signals a greater overall need to raise rates.

16-10-2026 16:00 GMT by Łukasz Zembik

France: Debt risks are mounting

French bond spreads have narrowed, but high debt and resistance to reform continue to undermine confidence. Pressure on Italian bonds signals contagion risks. Stronger banks and ECB intervention tools reduce the likelihood of a repeat sovereign debt crisis, although lasting stability requires a credible French fiscal plan.

09-10-2026 15:27 GMT by Łukasz Zembik

US: Softer jobs data strengthen the case for a Fed pause

US payrolls rose by just 29,000 in September, while revisions cut July and August employment by a combined 60,000. Unemployment increased to 4.2% and annual wage growth slowed to 3.0%. The report strengthens the case for an October Fed pause, potentially weighing on the dollar and Treasury yields while supporting gold.

02-10-2026 16:00 GMT by Łukasz Zembik

Geopolitics, inflation and central banks set the direction for markets

Middle East tensions and energy prices remain central to the market outlook. The US economy is supported by AI investment, while China faces weak domestic demand. Inflation may keep the Fed and ECB cautious. Bond yields could ease temporarily if energy prices fall, while longer-term fiscal pressures remain. Political risks may gradually weigh on the dollar.

25-09-2026 15:20 GMT by Łukasz Zembik

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