Analyst Profile

Łukasz Zembik

Senior Market Analyst

Education:

Łukasz graduated from the University of Warsaw with a degree in Finance and Accounting and holds a certified Financial Markets Dealer license.

Time in MarketPulse:

1 year, 3 months

Łukasz Zembik has 13 years of experience in the financial markets. He specialises in foreign exchange and commodity markets, with a particular focus on central banks' fiscal policies. He's a regular market commentary contributor to leading Polish financial publications as well as international media outlets such as Reuters and Bloomberg. As a financial markets commentator, he combines both fundamental and technical analysis in his market approach.

Łukasz is the author of several educational resources on investing and financial markets for OANDA TMS clients. He also created a popular Live Trading webinar series in Poland, offering practical insights into real-time market dynamics and trading strategies.

Recently published by Łukasz Zembik

Geopolitics, inflation and central banks set the direction for markets

Middle East tensions and energy prices remain central to the market outlook. The US economy is supported by AI investment, while China faces weak domestic demand. Inflation may keep the Fed and ECB cautious. Bond yields could ease temporarily if energy prices fall, while longer-term fiscal pressures remain. Political risks may gradually weigh on the dollar.

25-09-2026 15:20 GMT by Łukasz Zembik

United Kingdom: The Bank of England faces a difficult choice

UK inflation accelerated to 2.9% in August, while core and services inflation remained stable. The data support keeping interest rates unchanged tomorrow but do not eliminate the risk of future tightening. With wage growth slowing and the labour market weakening, the four rate hikes currently priced in by markets still appear too aggressive.

16-09-2026 13:40 GMT by Łukasz Zembik

Yen’s Appreciation Potential May Be Running Out

The yen’s medium-term outlook remains constructive, but much of the expected Bank of Japan tightening may already be priced in. With weak consumption limiting the scope for aggressive rate hikes, USD/JPY may consolidate near 155 unless the BoJ or Japan’s GPIF provides a fresh catalyst.

04-09-2026 13:29 GMT by Łukasz Zembik

Gold awaits Warsh’s Jackson Hole speech

Gold is undergoing a shallow correction ahead of Kevin Warsh’s Jackson Hole speech. A neutral stance on easing financial conditions could support another test of USD 4,775 and USD 4,890 per ounce. A hawkish message, however, could revive expectations of a September rate hike, strengthen the dollar and trigger a deeper pullback.

27-08-2026 11:05 GMT by Łukasz Zembik

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