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Swiss franc leads majors as US session begins and reclaims 2025 crown
Despite the SNB’s dovish stance and Switzerland’s deflation backdrop, traders are bidding the Swiss franc quite largely. Participants are weighing USDCHF technicals ahead of the FOMC for signs of reversal or continuation, therefore let's have a look at the worst performing Major FX pair since the beginning of 2025. Get levels for the pair ahead of the FOMC
by Elior Manier
Breaking News: US August Retail Sales at 5.0% Y/Y vs 3.2% expected, beats consensus
US Retail Sales (YoY) (August): +5.0% vs +3.2% expected, above consensus by +1.8% US Retail Sales (MoM) (August): +0.6% vs +0.2% expected, above consensus by +0.4% US Retail Sales Control Group (MoM) (August): +0.7% vs +0.4% expected, above consensus by +0.3% US Retail Sales ex. Gas/Autos (MoM) (August): +0.7% vs -0.1% expected, above consensus by +0.8% US Retail Sales ex. Autos (MoM) (August): +0.7% vs +0.4% expected, above consensus by +0.3%
by Christian Norman
GBP/USD Technical: Sterling rallied to a new 4-week high, eyeing next resistance at 1.3715/3750 as FOMC looms
GBP/USD extended its recovery, rallying 1.2% to test resistance near 1.3650, supported by strong UK jobs data showing a 232k employment gain and steady 4.7% jobless rate. Sterling’s bullish momentum remains intact above 1.3590/1.3570, with upside targets at 1.3715 and 1.3750. A widening UK–US 2Y yield spread continues to favor the pound, ahead of the Fed’s FOMC decision and updated dot plot projections.
by Kelvin Wong
US indices surge with Nasdaq and S&P 500 leading before the FOMC
US indices extend their rally ahead of the FOMC, with the Nasdaq and S&P 500 leading gains on strong tech momentum. Positive inflation surprises and a weaker dollar fuel risk appetite, while Tesla jumps which adds to the bullish sentiment. Historic pre-FOMC trading amid dovish cut expectations.
by Elior Manier
The US Dollar falls which takes the EUR to August highs – EURUSD and DXY outlooks
The US Dollar Index finally breaks out of its month-long range ahead of Wednesday’s FOMC decision, with traders closing positions and equities rallying to fresh highs. The move adds strength to major currencies like the Euro, Pound, and Aussie, while mean-reversion flows keep the DXY in focus. We analyze key levels for EURUSD and the Dollar Index as markets brace for a potential dovish cut.
by Elior Manier
Hang Seng Index Technical: Bullish consolidation above 26,200 on China housing recovery
The Hang Seng Index is consolidating above 26,200 key support, underpinned by signs of recovery in China’s housing market and a firmer yuan. After breaking out of its 4-week Ascending Triangle range, the index rallied to a 4-year high of 26,583, supported by strength in Chinese Big Tech and easing deflation risks from slowing declines in new home prices. Near-term, a move above 26,530 could open the path to 26,740–26,940.
by Kelvin Wong
Gold (XAU/USD) Technical: Eyeing a new all-time high above US$3,675, supported by positive flows and positioning
Gold (XAU/USD) is consolidating above US$3,600, holding its short-term bullish trend after breaking past its former all-time high of US$3,500 earlier this month. Net speculative positions in gold futures remain elevated but below extreme levels, while ETF inflows have rebounded, signaling renewed institutional and retail demand. Together, these flows and positioning support the case for a potential breakout above US$3,675 toward fresh record highs, with next resistances at US$3,687 and US$3,725
by Kelvin Wong
Nasdaq outperforms while Dow falls and S&P 500 holds steady ahead of FOMC
US indices capped another record-breaking week as CPI and PPI data reignited bullish momentum. Nasdaq quickly reclaimed leadership after yesterday, leaving the Dow and S&P 500 behind. With labor market revisions, tariffs, and sticky core inflation in focus, traders weigh odds of deeper Fed cuts ahead. Check out intraday charts for the Dow Jones, S&P 500 and Nasdaq.
by Elior Manier
UK economy stagnated in July - GBPUSD at a crucial point
UK GDP stagnated in July 2025 (0.0% m/m), confirming an economic slowdown - however, on an annual basis the economy was 1.4% larger than a year earlier. Services and construction supported growth, while manufacturing weighed on the economy – with sharp declines in metal products, transport equipment, and computers & electronics.
by Krzysztof Kamiński
British GDP slows to 0%, pound edges lower
The UK economy continues to soften and fell to 0% in July, matching the market estimate. This supports the BoE lowering rates but this has become difficult as inflation has been moving higher and is expected to hit 4% in September, double the 2% target. US unemployment claims jumped to 263 thousand, the highest number since October 2021.
by Kenneth Fisher
ETH breaks out and SOL surges higher, keeping crypto markets tight
Cryptos have lagged US equities but showed signs of life in recent sessions, led by altcoins. Solana surged ~20% since Monday, while Bitcoin bounced from $107,000 lows off key support. ETF inflows and favorable regulatory signals underlying the lift. We review technical setups for Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Solana ahead of the weekend.
by Elior Manier
WTI Crude Technical: Weakness prevails below US$64.36/barrel as geopolitical risk premium fizzles out
WTI crude remains under pressure, sliding 7% from its early-September peak as weak US labor data weighs on demand. A brief rebound to US$64.27, driven by a modest OPEC+ output hike and an increase in geopolitical risk premium, quickly lost steam. With resistance at US$64.10/64.36 holding, the short-term bias stays bearish, exposing support at US$61.30–60.10 ahead of key US consumer sentiment data later today.
by Kelvin Wong
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