Top News and Analysis

US Equities face uncertainty as US Government Shutdown begins – S&P 500, Nasdaq and Dow Jones outlook

The US government shutdown has officially begun, delaying key economic releases like NFP and Jobless Claims. Markets are left relying on ADP data, which missed sharply at –32K vs +52K expected, while ISM Manufacturing PMI rose to 49.1, driven by tariffs-related cost pressures. Rate cut hopes remain intact and stocks are rising.

01-10-2025 15:54 GMT by Elior Manier

Crypto demand spikes as US Government shutdown looms and data delays hit markets

With a US Government shutdown now inevitable, markets face missing key data releases like NFP and Jobless Claims. Traders are turning to alternatives, fueling a breakout in cryptocurrencies. Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Solana lead the surge as digital assets gain traction in volatile conditions.

01-10-2025 14:26 GMT by Elior Manier

Markets Today: Euro Area Inflation Ticks Up, Gold Eyes $3900/oz, DAX Breaches Confluence Level & US Government Shutdown in Focus

Euro Area inflation ticks up, gold eyes $3900/oz, DAX breaches confluence level & US government shutdown in focus. Japanese stocks sell-off, Nikkei at three-week lows. European stocks rise, led by healthcare. US dollar drops, gold surges to record high. Economic calendar and technical analysis of DAX index.

01-10-2025 11:25 GMT by Zain Vawda

EUR/USD bearish move below parity on hold for now

EUR/USD: Euro bulls ignite as US government shuts down

The US government has shut down for the first time in nearly seven years, fueling EUR/USD gains as political brinkmanship heightens ahead of the 2026 midterms. Rising unemployment risks and Trump’s proposal for mass layoffs have boosted Fed rate cut bets, steepening the Eurozone/US policy rate spread. With momentum shifting, EUR/USD’s medium-term uptrend remains intact, eyeing resistances at 1.1820–1.1910 in the near-term.

01-10-2025 08:50 GMT by Kelvin Wong

AUD/USD Forecast: Are Fresh Highs Incoming After RBA Rate Hold?

AUD/USD rises after RBA rate hold, with eyes on US government shutdown and NFP data. Technical analysis suggests further upside, with resistance levels at 0.6684, 0.6750, and 0.7000. Support levels are 0.6542, 0.6522, and 0.6500.

30-09-2025 22:32 GMT by Zain Vawda

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Erratic September Month-end flows – Market wrap for the North American session - September 30

September 30th North-American Session Recap – Erratic flows to wrap-up this September month, with some interesting fundamental contradictions for the US. Check up the Daily asset and FX performance, what changed fundamentally and what's coming up tomorrow.

30-09-2025 20:41 GMT by Elior Manier

Japanese yen could be one of the best performers for the end of the year

The Japanese yen is regaining strength, challenging the AUD as the week’s top FX performer. With political shifts, stronger economic data, and the Bank of Japan signaling a move toward policy normalization, USD/JPY and other yen crosses face pivotal levels into year-end.

30-09-2025 19:44 GMT by Elior Manier

How Currencies are Affected by Commodities: A Guide for Forex Traders

Taking a step back – key long-term market charts and levels

With daily headlines blurring long-term trends, traders benefit from stepping back to higher timeframes. This weekly outlook reviews the S&P 500, Bitcoin, Oil, and Gold, highlighting prevailing market direction and key support/resistance levels to watch in the coming sessions.

30-09-2025 16:37 GMT by Elior Manier

Madame Lagarde speaking now, German inflation got released – Euro intraday levels

German inflation rose 0.2% m/m, slightly above forecasts, lifting y/y to 2.4%. The data keeps ECB policy expectations unchanged, with markets now shifting focus to Eurozone retail sales and employment. Lagarde’s live speech in Helsinki could add context to the Euro’s next move—see key levels and charts inside.

30-09-2025 12:58 GMT by Elior Manier

Silver (XAG/USD): Minor mean reversion decline in progress below US$47.17

Silver (XAG/USD) has soared 16.1% month-to-date and 27.5% in Q3, marking its strongest quarterly gain since Q3 2020, outperforming Gold’s 15.5% rise. However, short-term signals point to a minor mean reversion decline below US$47.17, with potential support at 45.22, 43.75, and 43.10/42.95. A break above US$47.17 would negate the bearish setup, opening room for further gains toward 48.14 and 49.45.

30-09-2025 10:18 GMT by Kelvin Wong

Markets Today: Gold Retreats from Fresh Highs, China Manufacturing PMI at 6 Months Highs, FTSE Retests Support

Gold retreats from fresh highs, China manufacturing PMI at 6-month highs, and the FTSE retests support. European stocks are cautious amid a potential US government shutdown. Oil prices dropped due to increased supply expectations. The economic calendar shows mixed data for Europe, with central bank speakers and US consumer confidence ahead. The FTSE 100 index is at a critical technical juncture

30-09-2025 09:17 GMT by Zain Vawda

AUD/NZD: Bullish en route towards a 10-year high at 1.1470 with a less dovish RBA

The RBA is expected to hold rates at 3.6% today after August’s third cut this year, as Australia’s labour market stays tight and CPI rose to 3% y/y in August, its highest since July 2024. In contrast, New Zealand faces rising unemployment at 5.2%, fueling expectations of a more dovish RBNZ. Widening AU–NZ yield spreads continue to support AUD/NZD strength, with the pair near a three-year high at 1.1390 and eyeing resistance at 1.1470.

30-09-2025 04:03 GMT by Kelvin Wong

Peace in the Middle East ? – Market wrap for the North American session - September 29

September 29th North-American Session Recap – Peace in the Middle East could be close with the latest deal announcement. Government shutdown in the US may also shake things up in Markets in the waiting of Friday's NFP report . Check up the Daily asset and FX performance, what changed fundamentally and what's coming up tomorrow.

29-09-2025 21:24 GMT by Elior Manier

Bitcoin climbs 5% from recent lows but crypto rally lacks depth

Bitcoin has bounced nearly 5% from last Friday’s $108,600 low, helping risk sentiment recover. But unlike typical synchronized moves, smaller altcoins and memecoins are lagging. The lack of market depth recalls equities’ “Mag 7” phase in 2023, raising questions about the sustainability of this crypto rebound.

29-09-2025 19:28 GMT by Elior Manier

Gold (XAU/USD) soars to fresh all-time highs in today's session - Potential targets and price forecast

Trading at $3825.41 per troy ounce in today’s session, up a remarkable +1.74%, gold (XAU/USD) has once again renewed all-time highs, further extending yearly gains. As things stand, the yellow metal is on pace for its best yearly performance since 1979, up an astounding +45.75% year-to-date.

29-09-2025 18:40 GMT by Christian Norman

US Oil (WTI) retreats after yet-another failed breakout

Oil markets swung sharply last week, rallying 7% on Trump’s criticism of Europe’s Russian crude purchases before selling off as Iraq reopened Kurdish exports. WTI climbed from $62.20 to $67.80, only to retreat on supply news. TotalEnergies also announced a major asset shift, keeping only Europe, US and Brazil positions.

29-09-2025 15:37 GMT by Elior Manier

Markets Today: Gold Rallies 1.5% to Trade Above $3800/oz, US Government Shutdown in Focus & FTSE 100 Runs Into Resistance

Gold rallies, US government shutdown concerns, and FTSE 100 resistance dominate markets. Asia sees mixed results with Topix at an all-time high and Nikkei retreating. European stocks are up, led by healthcare and tech. The US dollar weakens, while the euro and pound strengthen. Oil prices fall due to increased supply, and gold surges past $3,800/oz on rate cut expectations. Economic data and central bank speakers are in focus.

29-09-2025 09:04 GMT by Zain Vawda

The UN assembly continues to make headlines – Market wrap for the North American session - September 26

September 26th North-American Session Recap – The week wraps on mean-reversion flows and UN Assembly headlines. Check up the Daily asset and FX performance, what changed fundamentally and what's coming up tomorrow.

26-09-2025 20:55 GMT by Elior Manier

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Markets Weekly Outlook – getting ready for September NFP week

A week ahead preview: Markets are preparing for yet another NFP release as psotivie US data worked to price out a lot of the US Cuts. Get ready for the upcoming week by looking at the past week's Market performance, what changed and the key events to expect in next week (including the infamous NFP report, all eyes are on this).

26-09-2025 19:49 GMT by Elior Manier

US Dollar Index (DXY): How Sustainable is the Recent Rally? Morningstar Pattern Hints at Further Upside

US Dollar Index (DXY) rallies on strong US data, with a Morningstar pattern hinting at further upside. Economic growth, consumer spending, and durable goods orders show improvement, while jobless claims drop. Upcoming data, including housing and jobs, will determine if the USD can maintain its gains. The Federal Reserve is expected to cut interest rates in October and December. Technical analysis shows a break of the long-term descending trendline and bullish momentum.

26-09-2025 18:12 GMT by Zain Vawda