Top News and Analysis

Tariffs struck down, major volatility ahead? – North American session Market wrap for February 20

February 20th 2026 North-American Session Recap – US Tariffs got officially struck down by the Supreme Court. With volatility contained, expect a lot of action next week. Check up the Daily asset and FX performance, what changed fundamentally and what's coming up on Monday.

20-02-2026 21:35 GMT by Elior Manier

GBP/JPY marks a major top – Will it revert to 200.00? FX Technical Analysis

FX Technical Outlook: GBP/JPY faces a 215.00 reversal risk as UK unemployment hits 5.2% and BoE cut bets rise. While the US tariff takedown supports risk-on flows, the Yen gains on fiscal stability. We analyze the 200.00 support target and technical triggers for GBP/JPY's next major move.

20-02-2026 20:46 GMT by Elior Manier

The U.S. is slowing, but inflation won’t let up. GDP, PMI and tariffs in one “difficult” mix

The U.S. economy cooled sharply at the end of 2025, with GDP growth slowing to 1.4% annualized as consumer demand, exports, and government spending weakened. February 2026 PMI data still point to expansion, but at the slowest pace in months—while price pressures re-accelerate, complicating the Fed’s next steps. Markets briefly rallied after “emergency” tariffs were blocked, yet renewed tariff threats keep uncertainty elevated.

20-02-2026 20:35 GMT by Krzysztof Kamiński

Nasdaq dominates as tariffs get cancelled – Dow Jones and US Index Outlook

S&P 500, Dow Jones, Nasdaq Analysis and Trading Levels – US Equities are rallying after the SCOTUS announcement to remove US tariffs. Explore Technical Levels and themes ahead of weekend risk.

20-02-2026 16:54 GMT by Elior Manier

Silver (XAG/USD) rallies back above $80, more incoming? – Technical Outlook

Silver (XAG/USD) Technical Analysis: XAG stabilizes in a 2–3% daily range after January's volatility. While COMEX registered silver stocks have dipped below the critical 100M oz threshold, the market remains rangebound. We analyze the Iran War Premium risk and provide a multi-timeframe breakout guide.

20-02-2026 14:56 GMT by Elior Manier

Poland: easing inflation trends reinforce expectations for a march rate cut

Poland’s latest data point to broad based economic cooling and deepening producer price deflation, strengthening the case for a March rate cut. Weak industrial output, softer wage dynamics and subdued cost pressures reinforce the disinflation narrative and support expectations of further monetary easing.

20-02-2026 12:41 GMT by Łukasz Zembik

Anxiety mounts – North American session Market wrap for February 19

February 19th 2026 North-American Session Recap – A bizarre trading session ahead of a huge trading day. Week-end risk preparing. Check up the Daily asset and FX performance, what changed fundamentally and what's coming up on Monday.

19-02-2026 21:30 GMT by Elior Manier

USD/CHF carves a bottom after reaching 14-year lows – FX Outlook

USD/CHF Technical Analysis: USD/CHF tests 14-year lows as Switzerland faces 0.1% inflation and the threat of negative rates. We analyze the "Warsh Squeeze" risk, the SNB’s battle with deflation, and why 14-year bearish positioning extremes suggest a major mean-reversion is brewing.

19-02-2026 20:55 GMT by Elior Manier

The costs of hesitation – Dow Jones and US Index Outlook

S&P 500, Dow Jones, Nasdaq Analysis and Trading Levels – Stocks consolidate in a tight 48-hour range as the 2.4% CPI beat meets Trump’s Art of War diplomacy with Iran. With 74% of firms beating earnings but positioning at 5-year extremes, we analyze the current themes and risks ahead of tomorrow’s critical Core PCE report.

19-02-2026 16:58 GMT by Elior Manier

Oil rallies as War Premium returns: WTI retests end-January $66 highs

WTI Oil Update: Oil surges toward $66 as an armada larger than the 2003 Iraq buildup nears Iran. With Polymarket odds for a March strike hitting 60%, we analyze the War Risk Premium, the diplomacy cracks, and the technical levels to watch for a move toward a higher breakout.

19-02-2026 15:26 GMT by Elior Manier

Chart alert: GBP/USD breaks trendline, is a 470-odd pip decline on the way?

GBP/USD Trade Idea: Analyzes the pair's slide due to a trendline break and US Dollar strength. Scenario 1 suggests a potential 470-pip decline, but an oversold RSI hints at a near-term pullback. Scenario 2 highlights the risk from strong US data, which could boost the dollar. Invalidation point is a daily close above 1.3700.

19-02-2026 12:22 GMT by Zain Vawda

Markets Today: FTSE 100 down 100-odd points, Gold hovers at $5000/oz, AliBaBa, Walmart Earnings and US data ahead

Opening Bell - Europe covers a mixed day for global markets. Asian equities rose on tech optimism (Nvidia/Meta deal), but European markets retreated (STOXX -0.1%) due to corporate earnings (Airbus, Rio Tinto) and US-Iran geopolitical friction. Gold and Silver surged on safety-seeking. The US Dollar is challenged despite cautious Fed minutes. Technical analysis is bullish for the FTSE 100.

19-02-2026 10:05 GMT by Zain Vawda

The Battle for 155: Hawkish FOMC minutes fuel USD/JPY breakout hopes

USD/JPY experienced a significant climb after the Federal Reserve's hawkish FOMC minutes boosted the US Dollar. Despite a massive surge in Japanese exports, the Yen's reaction was muted due to the widening Fed/BoJ policy gap. This analysis details the key fundamental and technical drivers, focusing on the pair's critical "battle of the levels" around the 155.00 resistance.

19-02-2026 00:22 GMT by Zain Vawda

OrganisationG7,G8,G20_International_Flags

Traders get ready War – North American session Market wrap for February 18

February 18th 2026 North-American Session Recap – Sentiment is turning sour after yesterday's particularly calm session. Check up the Daily asset and FX performance, what changed fundamentally and what's coming up on Monday.

18-02-2026 21:25 GMT by Elior Manier

January FOMC Minutes and Wartime – North American Mid-Week Market update

Mid-Week update for North-American Markets – Wartime and FOMC Minutes add some volatility to NA Markets. Taking a close look at NA index and currency performance combined with a USD/CAD intraday chart to spot what's next for American Markets.

18-02-2026 20:49 GMT by Elior Manier

Gold (XAU/USD) Breaches $5000/oz: Has the bullish trajectory resumed?

Gold (XAU/USD) surges past $5000/oz, raising questions about the return of its bullish trajectory following a pullback driven by a stronger US dollar and market uncertainty. The article analyzes key technical levels for an upside breakout. Upcoming US data, including PCE figures and GDP, will be critical for the metal's next move.

18-02-2026 17:05 GMT by Zain Vawda

Stocks explode despite War rumors, a bull trap? – Dow Jones and US Index Outlook

S&P 500, Dow Jones, Nasdaq Analysis and Trading Levels – Stocks surge as dip-buyers come back after a rough period. While the Mag 7 bounces, Axios reports strong chances of action against Iran within weeks. Is this a trap? We analyze the dual-carrier buildup and why the Dow's return to 50k is being tested by war drums.

18-02-2026 17:02 GMT by Elior Manier

NZD/USD tumbles after the RBNZ hold – A look at the new Governor Anna Breman

NZD/USD Technical Analysis: Anna Breman holds rates at 2.25% in her RBNZ debut, sparking a sharp Kiwi selloff. Despite a slightly higher future rate path, her cautious tone and focus on nascent recovery were read as dovish. We analyze the NZD/USD slide toward .5990 and the multi-timeframe outlook.

18-02-2026 15:41 GMT by Elior Manier

Bitcoin's (BTC/USD) Battle: The $70k wall and technical breakout hint at further downside. Is $50k a possibility?

Analysis of Bitcoin's struggle to break $70,000 amid intensifying geopolitical conflict and regulatory stalls. The piece examines key bearish factors, the pressure on corporate Bitcoin treasuries like MicroStrategy and Metaplanet, and a technical pattern suggesting a potential drop towards $60,000 or $50,000.

18-02-2026 02:03 GMT by Zain Vawda

Calm before the storm? – North American session Market wrap for February 17

February 17th 2026 North-American Session Recap – Another mixed session, but this could leave space for quite some action in the coming days. Check up the Daily asset and FX performance, what changed fundamentally and what's coming up on Monday.

17-02-2026 21:31 GMT by Elior Manier