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USD/JPY Technical: Yen eyeing a medium-term bullish breakout against USD from a 5-month range
USD/JPY remains under pressure, holding near key support at 145.95 after slipping to 146.20 in Asia trade. While the US dollar has broadly weakened in recent weeks, its bearish momentum versus the yen has lagged. With the FOMC decision, dot plot, and Powell’s remarks in focus, momentum signals point to potential further downside. A break below 145.95 may trigger a medium-term bearish move toward 145.20.
by Kelvin Wong
Dow Jones (DJIA) Technical: Resting at key support ahead of FOMC, watch the US Treasury yield curve to trigger a bullish move
The Dow Jones (DJIA) staged a bullish breakout above 45,780, hitting a new all-time high of 46,140 before pulling back -1.1% to 45,645 ahead of the Fed’s policy decision and dot plot release. The index’s outlook remains tied to the US Treasury yield curve, where a potential re-steepening on dovish Fed guidance could fuel the next bullish leg. Key support is at 45,780/45,690, with resistance at 46,180 and 46,570.
by Kelvin Wong
Swiss franc leads majors as US session begins and reclaims 2025 crown
Despite the SNB’s dovish stance and Switzerland’s deflation backdrop, traders are bidding the Swiss franc quite largely. Participants are weighing USDCHF technicals ahead of the FOMC for signs of reversal or continuation, therefore let's have a look at the worst performing Major FX pair since the beginning of 2025. Get levels for the pair ahead of the FOMC
by Elior Manier
Breaking News: US August Retail Sales at 5.0% Y/Y vs 3.2% expected, beats consensus
US Retail Sales (YoY) (August): +5.0% vs +3.2% expected, above consensus by +1.8% US Retail Sales (MoM) (August): +0.6% vs +0.2% expected, above consensus by +0.4% US Retail Sales Control Group (MoM) (August): +0.7% vs +0.4% expected, above consensus by +0.3% US Retail Sales ex. Gas/Autos (MoM) (August): +0.7% vs -0.1% expected, above consensus by +0.8% US Retail Sales ex. Autos (MoM) (August): +0.7% vs +0.4% expected, above consensus by +0.3%
by Christian Norman
GBP/USD Technical: Sterling rallied to a new 4-week high, eyeing next resistance at 1.3715/3750 as FOMC looms
GBP/USD extended its recovery, rallying 1.2% to test resistance near 1.3650, supported by strong UK jobs data showing a 232k employment gain and steady 4.7% jobless rate. Sterling’s bullish momentum remains intact above 1.3590/1.3570, with upside targets at 1.3715 and 1.3750. A widening UK–US 2Y yield spread continues to favor the pound, ahead of the Fed’s FOMC decision and updated dot plot projections.
by Kelvin Wong
US indices surge with Nasdaq and S&P 500 leading before the FOMC
US indices extend their rally ahead of the FOMC, with the Nasdaq and S&P 500 leading gains on strong tech momentum. Positive inflation surprises and a weaker dollar fuel risk appetite, while Tesla jumps which adds to the bullish sentiment. Historic pre-FOMC trading amid dovish cut expectations.
by Elior Manier
The US Dollar falls which takes the EUR to August highs – EURUSD and DXY outlooks
The US Dollar Index finally breaks out of its month-long range ahead of Wednesday’s FOMC decision, with traders closing positions and equities rallying to fresh highs. The move adds strength to major currencies like the Euro, Pound, and Aussie, while mean-reversion flows keep the DXY in focus. We analyze key levels for EURUSD and the Dollar Index as markets brace for a potential dovish cut.
by Elior Manier
Hang Seng Index Technical: Bullish consolidation above 26,200 on China housing recovery
The Hang Seng Index is consolidating above 26,200 key support, underpinned by signs of recovery in China’s housing market and a firmer yuan. After breaking out of its 4-week Ascending Triangle range, the index rallied to a 4-year high of 26,583, supported by strength in Chinese Big Tech and easing deflation risks from slowing declines in new home prices. Near-term, a move above 26,530 could open the path to 26,740–26,940.
by Kelvin Wong
Gold (XAU/USD) Technical: Eyeing a new all-time high above US$3,675, supported by positive flows and positioning
Gold (XAU/USD) is consolidating above US$3,600, holding its short-term bullish trend after breaking past its former all-time high of US$3,500 earlier this month. Net speculative positions in gold futures remain elevated but below extreme levels, while ETF inflows have rebounded, signaling renewed institutional and retail demand. Together, these flows and positioning support the case for a potential breakout above US$3,675 toward fresh record highs, with next resistances at US$3,687 and US$3,725
by Kelvin Wong
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