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Dollar’s Rebound: Tactical Recovery or Structural Decline?
After months of weakness, the US dollar has staged a notable recovery driven by shifting Fed expectations and market repricing. But is this bounce just a tactical correction—or the early signs of a longer-term structural decline? This article explores the policy signals, political pressures, and technical dynamics shaping the dollar’s future.
by Łukasz Zembik
Markets Today: Switzerland Hit with 39% Tariff, Global Stocks Slide, FTSE 100 Eyes Support at 100-day MA. NFP Up Next
Today's market update: Switzerland hit with a 39% tariff, causing global stocks to slide. The FTSE 100 is eyeing support at its 100-day moving average. Investors are keenly awaiting the upcoming Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) data for further market direction. Asian markets are experiencing their worst week since April due to new US tariffs. European markets remain steady.
by Zain Vawda
USD/CHF Technical: Swiss franc’s medium-term bearish trend in progress
The Swiss franc continues to weaken, hitting a fresh low against the US dollar as US tariffs on Swiss goods jump to 39%. This sharp escalation threatens Switzerland’s export-driven economy and may push the SNB to adopt a more dovish stance. With USD/CHF breaking out of its downtrend and momentum indicators staying strong, technical signals point to further upside potential in the near term. Traders now eye 0.8215/8250 and 0.8350/8380 as next resistance zones.
by Kelvin Wong
August Non-Farm Payrolls preview
Tomorrow, August 1st will see the release of the much anticipated August NFP report (publishing July Labor data) – Expect a lot of volatility. Dive into August trends for the economic release, current US Dollar pricing and more details on why NFP is so important.
by Elior Manier
Apple (AAPL) Technical: Toppish below 200-day MA as underperformance persists
Apple (AAPL) has struggled since its December 2024 all-time high, underperforming its “Magnificent 7” peers with a year-to-date loss of 12% as of 28 July 2025. Despite the initial boost from its Apple Intelligence reveal, the lack of clarity around its AI strategy and market positioning has weakened investor confidence. Bearish technical signals below the 200-day moving average suggest continued downside risk in the medium term.
by Kelvin Wong
AUD/JPY Technical: Bearish signals suggest the end of medium-term uptrend as BoJ looms
UD/JPY may face a medium-term trend reversal as bearish signals emerge ahead of the BoJ policy decision. A potential rate hike later in 2025 could support yen strength, adding pressure to AUD/JPY. A bearish double top below key resistance and weakening bond yield spreads point to downside risk. A break below 95.70 may expose 94.80 and 93.95 supports. Only a move above 97.30 would revive bullish momentum.
by Kelvin Wong
A look at US bonds ahead of the July FOMC rate decision
Taking a look at US Treasury Bonds Technical analysis and US Yield Curve. Markets absorbed strong ADP and GDP figures, pushing the US Dollar to new highs. Despite risk-off moments this year, Treasuries have failed to attract lasting demand. Between record deficits, rising inflation expectations, and a reconfiguration of global flows, Gold and CHF have taken the spotlight among safe-havens. We now assess whether bonds can rally amid this backdrop.
by Elior Manier
Meta Platforms (META) Technical: At risk of shaping corrective decline within major uptrend
Meta Platforms has gained 39.12% since the 7 April 2025 market low, closely tracking the “Magnificent 7.” Ahead of its Q2 earnings on 30 July, analysts expect EPS to rise to $5.88 from $5.16 a year ago. However, technical indicators suggest the stock may face a corrective pullback, with key resistance at $747.90 and support at $680.50. A break below this level may signal further downside toward $620.55 amid weakening momentum.
by Kelvin Wong
Microsoft (MSFT) Technical: Bullish trend remains intact above 20-day moving average
Microsoft remains in a medium-term uptrend, gaining 43.48% from its 7 April low through 28 July 2025. It trades above its 50-day moving average and within an ascending channel, with key support at $486.00. Investors await Microsoft’s Q2 earnings on 30 July, with EPS expected at $3.38 vs. $2.95 a year ago. A breakout above $539.55 may extend gains, while a drop below $486.00 could trigger a correction toward $456.20 before $437.00.
by Kelvin Wong
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