Top News and Analysis

NZD/JPY Technical: Further Kiwi weakness, torpedoed by an ultra-dovish RBNZ

The RBNZ cut its OCR by 25 bps to 3%, but surprised with dovish guidance, projecting further declines to 2.71% by end-2025 and 2.55% in early 2026. Two officials even pushed for a 50 bps cut, reinforcing easing bias. The Kiwi weakened, with NZD/JPY showing downside potential as bond yield spreads narrow, supporting a bearish medium-term outlook.

20-08-2025 05:35 GMT by Kelvin Wong

RBNZ Meeting Preview: 25 bps Cut Expected. Will it be the Last Cut of 2025?

The RBNZ is set to cut rates by 25 bps. Will this be the last cut of 2025? With inflation still high but the economy slowing, the RBNZ faces a tough balancing act. Explore the potential scenarios for their decision and the crucial forward guidance. Technical analysis for NZD/USD and client sentiment data is also explored.

19-08-2025 23:17 GMT by Zain Vawda

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Peace in Europe coming soon? – Market wrap for the North American session - August 19

August 19th North-American Session Recap – The USD regains some ground with some mean-reversion flows from yearly trends as US credibility regains some ground. Will we see peace in Eastern Europe soon? Check up the Daily asset and FX performance, what changed fundamentally and what's coming up tomorrow.

19-08-2025 20:44 GMT by Elior Manier

Silver (XAG) and other metals fall as Markets price-in ease in Ukraine War

Precious metals face sharp profit-taking after months of outperformance, alongside other 2025 winners like tech and cryptocurrencies. With flows rotating out of the US Dollar, gold and silver had surged on themes of de-globalization and fiat skepticism. Today’s focus shifts to Silver, as markets reassess the sustainability of this rally.

19-08-2025 18:42 GMT by Elior Manier

GBP/USD Forecast: Cable at Crucial 1.3500 Handle as Inflation Data Looms

GBP/USD is at the crucial 1.3500 handle ahead of key UK inflation data, which is expected to rise. The US dollar is vulnerable ahead of FOMC minutes and Jackson Hole. Technical analysis and sentiment both show choppiness and indecision when it comes to GBP/USD . Will we get clarity this week?

19-08-2025 16:22 GMT by Zain Vawda

The Dow Jones racing to new all-time highs on continued index rebalancing flows

Tech earnings triggered profit-taking in the Nasdaq after months of new highs, while the Dow Jones opened strong. With the Nasdaq-to-Dow ratio near 2, flows suggest mean reversion as investors rotate into the US 30 and trim stretched tech exposure. Markets await clearer signals from geopolitics and the rate outlook to guide the next leg.

19-08-2025 14:43 GMT by Elior Manier

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The US Dollar (DXY) pauses at 98.00 as markets await clarity – What's next?

With summer trading volumes subdued and European markets quiet overnight, the Dollar Index is finding a floor near the 98.00 handle. Following a sharp July rally and August retracement, the DXY remains rangebound as traders await clarity from White House-led talks with Russia, Ukraine, and the EU. We analyze if this indecision can persist from a technical standpoint.

19-08-2025 12:58 GMT by Elior Manier

Markets Today: Russia-Ukraine Talks, Nikkei Retreats, FTSE 100 Eyes Gains. Canadian Inflation Ahead

Russia-Ukraine talks, Nikkei retreats, Canadian inflation upcoming, and FTSE 100 poised for gains. Gold hovers at $3340/oz. Trump meets Zelensky, discussing US security guarantees for Ukraine. European stocks open higher, while defense stocks dip. Key UK company news for Assura, IWG, Rio Tinto, Shell, and Shein. Oil steady, copper muted. Technical outlook for FTSE 100 .

19-08-2025 08:06 GMT by Zain Vawda

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EU leaders meet in the White House – Market wrap for the North American session - August 18

August 16th North-American Session Recap – After the Trump-Zelenskyy meeting, EU heads are meeting with Trump to potentially reach a Ceasefire. Another ceasefire in the Middle East might also be happening. Check up the Daily asset and FX performance, what changed fundamentally and what's coming up tomorrow.

18-08-2025 20:20 GMT by Elior Manier

US Oil breaks out as bearish catalysts fade

Geopolitical headwinds are entering global oil markets as Russia continues flooding exports, Ukraine targets pipelines, and Middle East conflicts find potential resolutions. With EU leaders arriving in the White House to disucss the next steps of the Russia-Ukraine war, we analyze WTI to identify potential short- and long-term support levels amid this volatility.

18-08-2025 17:36 GMT by Elior Manier

USD/CAD Eyes Gains Above 100-day MA. Geopolitics, Fed Outlook May Prove to be Stumbling Blocks

USD/CAD is poised for gains above its 100-day MA, but geopolitical risks from the US-Russia-Ukraine situation impacting oil prices, and the dovish outlook from the Federal Reserve, could hinder its ascent. Key data releases like FOMC minutes and Canadian inflation will provide further direction.

18-08-2025 15:17 GMT by Zain Vawda

Nasdaq and tech sector open the week on cautious footing

Tech stocks and the Nasdaq are starting the week on a cautious note, while the Dow holds up better in futures. After weeks of outperformance, the dip in tech could be routine profit-taking—or the start of a broader shift as risk appetite cools. With Walmart, Target, and Home Depot earnings ahead, plus PPI data weighing on sentiment, traders are watching closely for signals of what’s next.

18-08-2025 13:54 GMT by Elior Manier

Cryptocurrencies extend their decline from recent highs

Cryptos face a sharp pullback after signs of exhaustion. Bitcoin’s failure to hold its all-time high and Ethereum’s rejection near $4,870 signaled hesitancy, while altcoins showed weaker demand. With digital assets tied to risk sentiment, fresh geopolitical tensions added pressure, prompting investors to lock in profits. BTC and ETH charts now hold the key to what’s next with an extra update on the Market Cap.

18-08-2025 13:22 GMT by Elior Manier

Gold (XAU/USD) Hovers at $3350/oz, Russia-Ukraine Developments in Focus

Gold prices rallied from an overnight low around the $3323/oz handle to a high of $3360/oz before settling around the $3350/oz mark. The precious metal looks set to continue its choppy price action at the start of a busy week. The recovery in Gold from the overnight low could in part be down to lower US Treasury Yields with the benchmark 10Y US Treasury yield falling from its recent highs.

18-08-2025 12:14 GMT by Zain Vawda

Dow Jones Technical: The laggard has started to play a bullish catch-up

The US Wall Street 30 CFD Index (proxy for Dow futures) extended its bullish upswing from the 1 Aug swing low of 43,335, surging 2.9% to a record intraday high of 45,283 on 15 Aug before closing at 45,032. With price action holding above key moving averages and momentum signals firm, the medium-term bias stays bullish above 44,420, targeting 45,660/45,730 and 46,180, supported by a steeper US yield curve.

18-08-2025 11:25 GMT by Kelvin Wong

WTI Crude Technical: Bearish tone intact as Trump-Zelenskiy meeting looms

WTI crude (West Texas Oil CFD) extended its decline, sliding -3.2% to a three-month low of US$62.19 on 13 Aug and dipping further in Asia trading to US$62.47 after the Trump–Putin meeting. Despite Trump calling the talks “productive,” no ceasefire details emerged, keeping bearish momentum intact. Technical signals suggest further downside risk, with support eyed at US$61.30 and US$60.60/60.10.

18-08-2025 08:34 GMT by Kelvin Wong

Trump–Putin meeting begins – Market wrap for the North American session - August 15

August 15th North-American Session Recap – The much awaited Trump-Putin meeting begins in Anchorage, Markets are closing but awaiting the headlines. Check up the Daily asset and FX performance, what changed fundamentally and what's coming up tomorrow.

15-08-2025 21:07 GMT by Elior Manier

Markets Weekly Outlook – Jackson Hole, NZ Rate Decisions and UK/EU Inflation data

A week ahead preview: US PPI data has moved the September rate cut narrative, with the Jackson Hole Symposium approaching and central bank meetings for NZ and Canada, Markets will get a strong current of new info. Get ready for the upcoming week by looking at what changed and the key events to expect.

15-08-2025 18:07 GMT by Elior Manier

AUDUSD consolidates into new range after the RBA rate cut

AUDUSD faces choppy trading after a pivotal week for both currencies. The RBA’s 25 bps cut to 3.60% briefly lifted the Aussie but saw some reversals yesterday. In the US, a calm CPI was quickly overshadowed by hot PPI data showing tariff-led inflation. With the USD’s gains fading today, traders turn to technicals for clues in this indecisive trading in the Aussie pair.

15-08-2025 15:07 GMT by Elior Manier

Dow Jones (DJIA) Retreats from Fresh All-Time Highs. A Pause Before the Next Leg Higher?

Dow retreats from record highs. US retail sales up, manufacturing down. Global equity funds see inflows, boosted by lower inflation & trade truce. Technical analysis and client sentiment discussed.

15-08-2025 14:43 GMT by Zain Vawda