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Rout in the US Dollar – A warning for Non-Farm Payrolls?
US Dollar and Market outlook – The Greenback slides as dovish NFP bets rise, but bonds remain flat. We analyze the impact of Takaichi’s Japan victory, China’s 15th month of Gold buying, and why this drop to 96.50 support may be a mean-reversion trap ahead of Retail Sales. Checking the key charts of the session
by Elior Manier
Chart alert: USD/JPY rebound fades as intervention fears signal renewed downside risk below 157.50
USD/JPY’s rebound has stalled after failing to hold above 157.50, raising the risk of a renewed bearish reversal. Despite Japan’s ruling coalition securing a supermajority, the expected yen sell-off faded quickly as intervention fears resurfaced. With bearish engulfing signals and weakening momentum, a break below 156.36 could reopen downside toward the 155.66–153.85 support zone.
by Kelvin Wong
US NFP and CPI double-decker – Markets Weekly Outlook
A week ahead preview: Next week brings back its bag of economic releases, with high-tier drops next week with US CPI, NFP and Retail Sales. Get ready for the upcoming week by looking at the past week's Market performance, what changed and the key events to expect in next week)
by Elior Manier
Markets Weekly Outlook - NFP, CPI, and Japan’s high-stakes election
A summary of a week that saw the Dow hit 50,000, a major tech-sector split over AI spending, and uneven central bank meetings. This outlook then sets the stage for a critical week featuring the rescheduled US NFP and CPI data, a high-stakes snap election in Japan, and key GDP releases from the UK and Eurozone.
by Zain Vawda
Precious metals after the correction: stabilisation, not a new rally
Gold and silver have partially recovered after a sharp correction, but valuations remain elevated. The recent rally was not supported by falling real rates or higher inflation expectations, leaving prices vulnerable. Safe haven demand driven by geopolitical and policy uncertainty remains strong, limiting downside risks, but future gains are likely to be slower and more volatile.
by Łukasz Zembik
Bitcoin tumbles to $63,000 amid global Tech selloff – BTC/USD Outlook
Bitcoin multi-timeframe and Crypto Crash Analysis: Bitcoin plunges 50% from its $126k peak, mirroring the brutal 2021 collapse. With Solana down 70% and market cap erasing post-election gains, we analyze the "bubble burst" mechanics, the risk of a slide to $30,000, and how to spot accumulation zones without catching a falling knife.
by Elior Manier
Beyond the Rate Hold: Examining the ECB's path forward amidst Euro strength
The European Central Bank (ECB) held interest rates, as widely expected. However, the rapidly strengthening Euro—up 13% against the dollar—is a major concern. President Lagarde downplayed the currency's rise and attributed low inflation to temporary factors, but her comments left experts confused. The article also details the ECB's plan to expand its Eurep program to enhance the Euro's global role.
by Zain Vawda
Another red wave – Dow Jones & Nasdaq higher timeframe Outlook
Dow Jones and Nasdaq high timeframe analysis and Trading Levels – Market Update: Stocks slide as JOLTS drop to 6.54M and layoffs hit 2009 highs, fueling recession fears. We analyze the massive rotation from Tech to Defensives, the Bitcoin breakdown below $70k, and why this "Warsh Shock" selloff may just be starting.
by Elior Manier
WTI in focus with US-Iran talks cancelled – US Oil Outlook
WTI Oil Update: WTI Oil rebounds to $65 as US-Iran talks in Turkey are cancelled. Markets brace for escalation after Washington demands action on ballistic missiles. We analyze the "regime change" debate, the intervention risks, and why the $61.50 gap-fill was short-lived.
by Elior Manier
Rebalancing continues as Tech dives – Dow Jones & US Index Outlook
S&P 500, Dow Jones, Nasdaq Analysis and Trading Levels – Market Regime Change: Passive tech investing is over. As AI enters creative destruction, capital rotates from digital middlemen to tangible Value sectors like Farming and Railroads. With the Dow/Nasdaq ratio reclaiming 2.00, we analyze the new trend and key levels for US indices.
by Elior Manier
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