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Gold (XAU/USD) Price Forecast: Bullish Breakout Gathers Pace as Fed Pivot Expectations Firm, $4250/oz Incoming?
Gold (XAU/USD) is strongly bullish, fueled by firming expectations for a Federal Reserve interest rate cut following weak US economic data. The technical setup, including a triangle breakout, targets $4250/oz, with $4100/oz acceptance critical. However, contrarian analysis of the 76% net-long client sentiment suggests a potential near-term price slide.
by Zain Vawda
Why the end of the US shutdown sparks a huge rally in Stocks
The end of the US government shutdown has sparked a strong market rebound, lifting sentiment across equities. Tech giants like Nvidia and Tesla lead the rally, while defensive sectors lag with Buffet's retirement. Yet, gold rallying and bonds falling show investors remain focused on America’s fiscal challenges.
by Elior Manier
WTI crude oil at $60: Is key psychological support holding?
WTI crude oil trades near the $60 mark — a key psychological and technical support. Despite volatility tied to geopolitics and OPEC+ production, bearish fundamentals dominate amid weak trade and high output but better economic prospects might be ahead. We analyze multiple timeframes for Oil to determine if this level can hold or if further downside awaits.
by Elior Manier
Canadian employment shoots higher – CAD takes the lead
With US labor data absent due to the government shutdown, Canada delivered a major surprise: job growth clocked in at 66.6K (vs. -2.5K expected). This beat provides a boost to the Canadian Dollar (CAD), suggesting a slow regaining of business confidence despite biting tariffs. Looking at a multi-timeframe chart technical analysis for the USD/CAD FX pair.
by Elior Manier
Markets Today: China Exports & Imports Slide, ITV Jumps 18%, FTSE Eyes 100-Day MA. Michigan Sentiment Data Ahead
Asian tech stocks tumbled amid concerns about the valuation of the AI boom. China's exports unexpectedly fell 1.1% to an eight-month low due to cautious buyers and US-China trade uncertainty. European stocks edged up, with ITV soaring 18% on sale talks, while Rightmove sank 24%. The US dollar is set to end the week slightly higher, and gold prices rose.
by Zain Vawda
Stocks get slammed again after a hopeful rebound
Sellers are reappearing after a rough start to the month. Despite strong fundamentals, the relentless march to new records raises the question: are valuations too high? Can things get much better from here? Some early warning signs are appearing. We analyze how high volatility is impacting traders versus investors and look at the intraday charts for the Dow, Nasdaq, and S&P 500.
by Elior Manier
Bitcoin holds above $100,000, but for how long?
Bitcoin and cryptos start to correct after a huge 2025 rally. Better regulation and dollar diversification fueled the rise, but recent price dips and a flash crash signal cracks in confidence. With the total crypto market cap falling 20% from highs, we analyze whether the current corrective sequence in Bitcoin presents a dip-buying opportunity or a trap.
by Elior Manier
BoE Hold Rates Steady in Close 5-4 Vote Split, GBP/USD Continues Rally
BoE holds rates at 4% in a close 5-4 vote, with slowing inflation (now 3.8%) suggesting a bias toward future cuts. Attention shifts to the UK Autumn Budget, which will influence GBP based on fiscal sustainability. GBP/USD experienced an initial 30-40 pip selloff before reversing to trade around the 1.3100 handle.
by Zain Vawda
Services PMI and ADP beats fuel US stock market return
US indices stage a widespread rally as positive economic data reduce fears of a deteriorating labor market and slowing service sector. ADP report and Services PMI beat expectations, fueling a dip-buying recovery that helped the S&P 500 fill its recent gap. We review intraday charts and levels.
by Elior Manier
US Dow Jones: A star performer amid the current US AI stocks sell-off
The Dow Jones outperformed amid the US AI stocks sell-off, dipping just 0.5% as the Nasdaq 100 and S&P 500 slumped 2.1% and 1.2% following an 8% plunge in Palantir. Despite concerns over lofty AI valuations, US financial giants like JPMorgan and Goldman Sachs held firm, supporting Dow resilience. Technical signals now point to a potential short-term bullish reversal as the index tests its 20-day moving average.
by Kelvin Wong
Markets Today: China Services PMI Hits 3-Month Low, Equities Slide, FTSE 100 Eyes Fresh Highs
Market Turmoil: Asian tech shares and European stocks fell globally amid worries over high valuations. Japan and South Korea saw the steepest drops, while China's market closed higher despite its Services PMI hitting a three-month low. The US dollar stayed strong as focus shifts to the ADP jobs report for hints on the Fed's rate cuts. Oil and gold saw mixed movements. FTSE 100 eyes correction.
by Zain Vawda
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