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Europe moves to diverge from Russian oil – WTI outlook
Europe’s reliance on Russian oil keeps shrinking, with Trump vowing stricter sanctions on buyers. NATO countries get tested in Eastern and Northern Europe are getting tested by Russia and WTI prices rise for a second straight session as supply risks mount. We look at key oil charts and levels driving the market.
by Elior Manier
Nasdaq 100: Short-term bullish trend remains intact above 24,535 key support
The Nasdaq 100’s short-term bullish trend remains intact above 24,535 support, despite a -0.7% pullback on 23 September amid profit-taking in mega-cap tech. Recent AI-driven optimism, fuelled by Nvidia’s $100B and Oracle’s $300B investments into OpenAI, continues to underpin momentum. Technicals point to potential upside toward 24,890–25,270, while a break below 24,535 could trigger a deeper corrective move.
by Kelvin Wong
Gold Rally Driven by Massive ETF Inflows
Gold prices hit record highs, fueled by massive ETF inflows, with SPDR Gold Shares at the forefront. Despite Fed rate cut expectations remaining stable, strong institutional demand, geopolitical risks, and investor appetite for safe-haven assets are driving the rally. Silver follows suit, reaching its highest level in 14 years and approaching its historic $50 barrier.
by Łukasz Zembik
AUD/USD: Bullish reversal towards 0.6700 major resistance as Australia's monthly CPI rose to a 13-month high
AUD/USD rebounded from its 22 Sep low of 0.6575 after a -2% pull-back, with bullish momentum reinforced by stronger monthly CPI data (3.0% y/y, a 13-month high) and narrowing yield spreads. In today’s Asia session, the AUD outperformed majors, with the USD down -0.4% versus AUD. Near-term bias stays bullish above 0.6580, eyeing resistances at 0.6655 and 0.6680/0.6700, while a break below 0.6580 risks exposing 0.6555.
by Kelvin Wong
Nikkei 225: Bullish reversal above 45,000, no negative impact from BoJ’s ETF unwind
The Nikkei 225 extended its bullish run, hitting a record high of 45,956 on 18 Sep before a 3.2% pullback after the BoJ announced plans to unwind ¥79.5T in ETF holdings over decades. Despite this, Japanese equities remain supported by steady earnings upgrades, with the Citigroup Earnings Revision Index rising to 0.34. Technicals favor a bullish bias above 45,000, with resistances at 46,430/46,580 and 46,870.
by Kelvin Wong
GBPJPY rejects 200.00 mark as sellers defend the range
GBPJPY remains trapped in a year-long consolidation despite its reputation as one of FX’s most volatile pairs. After climbing from April lows near 184.50 to just above 201.00, sellers defended the 200.00 handle, halting momentum. We review multi-timeframe charts to assess whether this rejection signals a deeper pullback or a looming breakout.
by Elior Manier
Gold (XAU/USD): Short-term bullish acceleration intact towards new all-time highs above US$3,660 key support
Gold (XAU/USD) extended its bullish run, hitting a fresh record high of US$3,720 in today’s Asia session, 22 September 2025, after rebounding from a brief 2.2% post-FOMC pullback. The metal held firm above the key US$3,660 support, keeping short-term bullish momentum intact. With 10-year US Treasury real yields capped below resistance, Gold remains supported, with upside targets at US$3,750 and US$3,776 in the near term.
by Kelvin Wong
GBP outlook as GBP/USD gets rejected from pre-FOMC highs
The Pound’s rally above 1.37 quickly reversed as GBP/USD dropped 1.7% following Powell’s balanced FOMC tone and a re-anchored US Dollar. With UK inflation still high and BoE cuts pushed further out, traders now question if this pullback signals a broader correction across European currencies.
by Elior Manier
Where to Next, EUR/USD? Policy gap between ECB and Fed
The U.S. Federal Reserve has cut interest rates by 25 basis points to 4.00–4.25%, marking its first adjustment in nine months. The move, driven by risk management rather than crisis response, highlights concerns about a cooling labor market. In Europe, the ECB kept its accommodative stance unchanged, with officials signaling inflation is near target and future cuts remain possible but not urgent.
by Krzysztof Kamiński
Caution Over Speed: How the Fed Framed Its First Cut
The Fed cut rates by 25 bps to 4.00–4.25% after a nine-month pause but kept a cautious tone. Powell called it “risk management,” signaling this isn’t the start of a fast easing cycle. The statement flagged growing employment-side risks, and the new dot plot points to a 3.6% median for 2025—implying two more cuts this year, though views are widely dispersed.
by Łukasz Zembik
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