Top News and Analysis

January FOMC Minutes and Wartime – North American Mid-Week Market update

Mid-Week update for North-American Markets – Wartime and FOMC Minutes add some volatility to NA Markets. Taking a close look at NA index and currency performance combined with a USD/CAD intraday chart to spot what's next for American Markets.

18-02-2026 20:49 GMT by Elior Manier

Gold (XAU/USD) Breaches $5000/oz: Has the bullish trajectory resumed?

Gold (XAU/USD) surges past $5000/oz, raising questions about the return of its bullish trajectory following a pullback driven by a stronger US dollar and market uncertainty. The article analyzes key technical levels for an upside breakout. Upcoming US data, including PCE figures and GDP, will be critical for the metal's next move.

18-02-2026 17:05 GMT by Zain Vawda

Stocks explode despite War rumors, a bull trap? – Dow Jones and US Index Outlook

S&P 500, Dow Jones, Nasdaq Analysis and Trading Levels – Stocks surge as dip-buyers come back after a rough period. While the Mag 7 bounces, Axios reports strong chances of action against Iran within weeks. Is this a trap? We analyze the dual-carrier buildup and why the Dow's return to 50k is being tested by war drums.

18-02-2026 17:02 GMT by Elior Manier

NZD/USD tumbles after the RBNZ hold – A look at the new Governor Anna Breman

NZD/USD Technical Analysis: Anna Breman holds rates at 2.25% in her RBNZ debut, sparking a sharp Kiwi selloff. Despite a slightly higher future rate path, her cautious tone and focus on nascent recovery were read as dovish. We analyze the NZD/USD slide toward .5990 and the multi-timeframe outlook.

18-02-2026 15:41 GMT by Elior Manier

Bitcoin's (BTC/USD) Battle: The $70k wall and technical breakout hint at further downside. Is $50k a possibility?

Analysis of Bitcoin's struggle to break $70,000 amid intensifying geopolitical conflict and regulatory stalls. The piece examines key bearish factors, the pressure on corporate Bitcoin treasuries like MicroStrategy and Metaplanet, and a technical pattern suggesting a potential drop towards $60,000 or $50,000.

18-02-2026 02:03 GMT by Zain Vawda

Calm before the storm? – North American session Market wrap for February 17

February 17th 2026 North-American Session Recap – Another mixed session, but this could leave space for quite some action in the coming days. Check up the Daily asset and FX performance, what changed fundamentally and what's coming up on Monday.

17-02-2026 21:31 GMT by Elior Manier

US Dollar Index (DXY) tries to break 2026 downtrend despite 14-Year record bear positioning

US Dollar (DXY) Analysis & Dollar Update: The DXY rebounds from 5-year lows as Trump and attempts a break higher. With positioning at 14-year bearish extremes, we analyze the Kevin Warsh wildcard, the Senate confirmation battle, and why a strong Core PCE could trigger a short-squeeze.

17-02-2026 20:43 GMT by Elior Manier

Traders are looking for direction – Dow Jones and US Index Outlook

S&P 500, Dow Jones, Nasdaq Analysis and Trading Levels – US traders return to a directionless market as the Dow slips below 50,000. Despite a soft CPI, heavy positioning and record-low cash level suggest the rally is hitting a wall but Stocks remain resilient. We analyze the Feb 20 SCOTUS tariff ruling and the AI bubble fears mounting in February.

17-02-2026 17:22 GMT by Elior Manier

Gold & Precious Metals slide: Iran diplomacy and Lunar New Year drain liquidity

XAU/USD Technical Analysis: Lunar New Year drains liquidity as metals face a cold wind in February. While Geneva talks spark document exchanges and talk of a deal, Gold slides toward $4,900 and Silver plunges. We analyze the "overcrowded" long trade and the incoming US carrier strike group.

17-02-2026 16:17 GMT by Elior Manier

Markets Today: Yen rebounds, Pound Sinks on Labour Data, Gold slides 2% as Market Focus Shifts to Diplomacy

Market wrap for the European open, noting the Yen's rebound, the Pound's fall after UK unemployment hit a 5-year high, and a sharp 2% slide in gold prices. The report highlights steady European markets, a cooling 'AI panic,' and attention on US-Iran nuclear and Ukraine-Russia peace talks. Also covers corporate earnings, technical outlooks for FTSE 100

17-02-2026 10:30 GMT by Zain Vawda

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A calm session ahead of a heavy week – North American session Market wrap for February 16

February 16th 2026 North-American Session Recap – Calm Markets as US and Chinese traders took some time off. Check up the Daily asset and FX performance, what changed fundamentally and what's coming up on Monday.

16-02-2026 21:25 GMT by Elior Manier

WTI holds above $63 amid second round of US-Iran talks – US Oil outlook

WTI Oil Update: WTI holds $63 as Geneva hosts high-stakes US-Iran nuclear talks. Despite the Presidents Day lull, Oil remains bid as Washington demands a total ballistic missile freeze. We analyze the 30k+ protest death toll and the persistent $5 geopolitical risk premium.

16-02-2026 20:36 GMT by Elior Manier

Aussie Dollar fatigue? Technical signs hint at an AUD/USD pullback

Technical analysis suggests AUD/USD is facing fatigue after a 500-pip rally, pointing to a potential pullback with key support levels to watch. Fundamentally, central bank divergence (RBA hikes vs. potential Fed cuts) supports the long-term Aussie dollar gain. OANDA client sentiment is net-short, which may signal a short-term rise. Upcoming RBA/Fed minutes and data releases are expected to bring volatility.

16-02-2026 10:23 GMT by Zain Vawda

Markets Today: Europe gains on financials, Gold & Oil Remain Flat, Japan GDP underwhelms as FTSE 100 edges higher

European stocks, led by financials, rose as the STOXX 600 gained. Japan's surprisingly weak GDP (0.1% vs 0.4% expected) caused the yen to weaken. Gold and oil were flat amid quiet trading due to US and China holidays. Investors await European industrial production data and key US reports (Core PCE, GDP) for future rate direction.

16-02-2026 08:50 GMT by Zain Vawda

Supreme Court tariff decision and key tests ahead – Markets Weekly Outlook

A week ahead preview: Global Macro is back and a key Supreme Court decision on tariffs is awaited. Get ready for the upcoming week by looking at the past week's Market performance, what changed and the key events to expect in next week)

13-02-2026 21:20 GMT by Elior Manier

Bitcoin, Interest Rates, and Trump: A Crypto Market Review 2024-2025

Is $60,000 Bitcoin’s tripwire that could unleash a cascade of selloffs?

Bitcoin’s $60,000 level has become a critical front line for the market. A sustained break below it could amplify volatility as heavy put positioning on Deribit, dealer hedging flows, BTC-backed loan liquidations, and leveraged forced selling potentially combine into a cascading move. With the 200-week moving average near $58,000 and growing focus on downside scenarios, traders are watching whether support can hold—or whether a deeper slide could follow.

13-02-2026 21:07 GMT by Krzysztof Kamiński

Some CPI morning bullishness – Dow Jones and US Index Outlook

S&P 500, Dow Jones, Nasdaq Analysis and Trading Levels – CPI Rebound: Stocks erase early losses as the softest inflation print in five years (2.4%) fuels bets for a March rate cut. While the Mag 7 lags, broad contagion pushes the Dow and S&P higher. We analyze the Feb 20 Supreme Court tariff deadline and the fading Iran risk premium.

13-02-2026 17:18 GMT by Elior Manier

It's an everything rally after the CPI miss – Market Reactions

CPI Market Reactions: Inflation hits a 4-year low at 2.4%, fueling a surge in Treasuries and Gold ($5,100). While AI creative destruction initially dragged tech, a swift intraday rebound is underway. We explore the key charts to this morning's action with Dow Jones, Gold, 10Y Bonds and more.

13-02-2026 15:47 GMT by Elior Manier

US inflation slows, Fed may cut rates more than the market prices in

US inflation continued to ease in January, with both headline and core readings showing gradual moderation. Tariff effects remain limited and rent pressures have slowed. The Fed is likely to stay on hold in the near term, but markets expect rate cuts from mid year, pricing in close to two and a half reductions by year end.

13-02-2026 14:38 GMT by Łukasz Zembik

EUR/USD bearish move below parity on hold for now

EUR/USD's Next Move: Hot inflation to 1.1785 or cooling jobs to 1.2000?

EUR/USD is tightly coiled ahead of the crucial U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) release, which was delayed this month. The pair's fate hangs on two factors: Inflation Realities and Labor Market Strength. A "hot" CPI print is expected to reinforce the Fed's hawkish pause, potentially driving EUR/USD down to the 1.1785 support. Conversely, further signs of a cooling U.S. labor market, like rising jobless claims, could weaken the Dollar and allow the Euro to retest the 1.2000 psychological barrier.

13-02-2026 11:12 GMT by Zain Vawda