Top News and Analysis

Markets Weekly Outlook – Moving forward from NFP, onto Inflation week

A week ahead preview: After this week's huge NFP report, the puzzle for the upcoming 17th Sep FOMC Meeting is still missing its inflation pieces, coming up with the ECB Rate Decision. Get ready for the upcoming week by looking at the past week's Market performance, what changed and the key events to expect in next week (including the infamous NFP report, all eyes are on this).

08-09-2025 12:25 GMT by Elior Manier

WTI Oil Rallies 1.8% as Russian Supply Concerns Outweigh Modest OPEC + Output Hike

Oil prices gained 1.8% as Russian supply concerns outweighed a modest OPEC+ output hike. Goldman Sachs forecasts a slight oil surplus in 2026. OPEC+ will gradually reverse production cuts, increasing output by 137,000 bpd from October. Saudi Arabia is leveraging its spare capacity to gain market share. Technical analysis shows WTI eyeing recovery, but fundamentals may limit sustained gains. Client sentiment is net-long.

08-09-2025 11:33 GMT by Zain Vawda

Nikkei 225 Technical: Bullish trend remains intact despite Japan’s PM resignation

The Japan 225 CFD Index (a proxy for Nikkei 225 futures) staged a bullish reversal after testing key support at 41,760 on 2 Sept, rallying 3.6% to 43,203 and extending gains to 43,850 in today’s Asia session, near its all-time high. Momentum was boosted by PM Ishiba’s resignation, with contenders favoring fiscal stimulus. Technicals remain bullish above 43,060/42,850, targeting 44,050/44,110 and 44,840/44,970.

08-09-2025 09:32 GMT by Kelvin Wong

Markets Today: Japan PM Resigns, Gold Above $3600/oz, China Exports Miss Forecasts, FTSE 100 Holds at Support

Japan PM resigns, China exports slump, gold hold above $3600, and FTSE 100 finds support. Dive into key economic data, currency movements, and stock performance across Asia and Europe. Discover insights on the French no-confidence vote and rising bond yields to start the week.

08-09-2025 08:31 GMT by Zain Vawda

EUR/USD bearish move below parity on hold for now

EUR/USD Breaks Channel as Rate Cut Bets Ramp Up… Potential 370 Pip Rally Incoming?

This article discusses the recent breakout of EUR/USD from its channel, fueled by increasing rate cut expectations and a weakening US Dollar after a soft jobs report. It explores the implications for the Fed, potential policy divergence aiding the Euro, upcoming economic data, and technical analysis suggesting a potential 370-pip rally for EUR/USD.

05-09-2025 15:15 GMT by Zain Vawda

US Indices technicals as they open higher despite the miss in NFP – Cuts pricing boost stocks but sellers appear

US Indices are opening higher despite a sharp NFP miss (22K vs 75K expected) and downward revisions. While the weak data paints a bleak labor picture, stocks find support in renewed Fed cut bets, with 75 bps now priced for 2025. As the Fed enters blackout, market focus shifts to Timiraos’ hints on the September decision. Levels for Dow Jones, S&P 500 and Nasdaq.

05-09-2025 14:17 GMT by Elior Manier

US Non-Farm Payrolls finally release and they miss! 22K vs 75K consensus, Canadian Jobs data regress (-65K vs +10K)

The Non-Farm Payrolls for August finally release, and they missed again: 22K vs 75K expectations. Canadian Dollar also falls off due to a large Canadian Employment miss. Check our reactions to the US Dollar, FX Markets and US Equities Futures

05-09-2025 12:46 GMT by Elior Manier

GBP/USD Technical: Corrective decline ended, potential bullish reversal in progress for sterling as NFP looms

GBP/USD has completed its expected -1.9% corrective slide, bottoming at 1.3333 on 3 September, just above the 1.3315/1.3280 key medium-term support. Price action now signals a potential short-term bullish reversal, with bias above 1.3395 for a move toward 1.3545 and 1.3650. Strengthening UK gilt–US Treasury yield spreads further support sterling’s upside, ahead of today’s US non-farm payrolls release.

05-09-2025 09:51 GMT by Kelvin Wong

Markets Today: UK Retail Sales Beat Estimates, Trump Signs Japan Deal, FTSE 100 Bounces Off 100-Day MA. NFP Next

UK retail sales beat estimates, Trump signs Japan trade deal, and FTSE 100 bounces. All eyes on US NFP report today. Read our full analysis and forecasts for GBP/USD, Hang Seng, and the FTSE 100.

05-09-2025 08:31 GMT by Zain Vawda

Hang Seng Index Technical: Recent sell-off overdone, bullish trend remains intact

The Hong Kong 33 CFD Index (proxy for Hang Seng futures) fulfilled its bullish run from 13–25 Aug, peaking at 25,946 before entering a brief -4.3% correction. With fundamentals improving, China’s EPS growth recovering, and PMIs back in expansion, deflation risks have eased, supporting equities. Technically, a fresh bullish phase may be underway above 24,880 support, with upside targets at 25,690–26,120.

05-09-2025 06:52 GMT by Kelvin Wong

OrganisationG7,G8,G20_International_Flags

Non-Farm Payrolls send markets on fire – Market wrap for the North American session - September 5

September 5th North-American Session Recap – Non-Farm Payrolls have largely decreased the economic projections which had been holding tight despite tariffs, but markets are awaiting for more next week. Check up the Daily asset and FX performance, what changed fundamentally and what's coming up tomorrow.

04-09-2025 20:57 GMT by Elior Manier

Markets rally ahead of NFP and Miran testifies– Market wrap for the North American session - September 4

September 4th North-American Session Recap – Markets can't wait for NFP, Stephen Miran also testifies at the FED. Check up the Daily asset and FX performance, what changed fundamentally and what's coming up tomorrow.

04-09-2025 20:44 GMT by Elior Manier

US Indices all regain their recent tops as fears for tomorrow's data abate – Key levels for the Dow, S&P 500 and Nasdaq ahead of the NFP

Levels for Dow Jones, S&P 500 and Nasdaq ahead of tomorrow’s NFP: US data offered relief with ADP near forecasts, tame labor costs, steady jobless claims and a Services PMI beat. Equities reclaimed recent highs, while markets weigh Fed rate cut odds at the September 17 meeting. The upcoming payrolls release will be the true test for momentum.

04-09-2025 20:04 GMT by Elior Manier

NFP Preview: US Jobs Report & Implications for the DXY, Gold (XAU/USD) & Dow Jones (DJIA)

Discover what to expect from the US Jobs Report (NFP) and its potential impact on the DXY, Gold (XAU/USD), and Dow Jones (DJIA). The report is crucial for the US job market and the Fed's policy path, with job growth slowing and unemployment rising. A weak report could solidify the case for a Fed rate cut, boosting stocks and gold, while the Fed faces a dilemma between faltering job creation and persistent wage growth.

04-09-2025 18:23 GMT by Zain Vawda

Silver nears its all-time highs, where to look next? XAG higher timeframe outlook

Silver has surged back to levels not seen since 2011, outperforming peers as Gold hits fresh records and concerns over Fed independence intensify. With geopolitical shifts, tariff effects, and the upcoming NFP release, traders are eyeing major trading levels. Explore the bigger-picture XAG outlook, 2011 daily trading and charts ahead.

04-09-2025 16:08 GMT by Elior Manier

Markets Already Looking to NFP

Markets are watching August NFP, with a baseline of +74k and unemployment rising to 4.3% from 4.2%. July’s +73k and -258k revisions intensified political pressure on the BLS. Cooling labour demand—Job Switchers wage growth at 4.3% y/y and NFIB reporting easier hiring—supports a 17 Sep Fed cut. Upside surprises or data-quality doubts could curb dovish pricing and keep volatility high.

04-09-2025 10:35 GMT by Łukasz Zembik

Markets Today: Nikkei Up 1.5%, Gold Slips on Profit Taking, Swiss MoM Deflation, DAX Holds Steady Above Support

Asian stocks struggle, Nikkei up 1.5%. Swiss inflation steady, MoM deflation. European stocks cautious; travel sector hit, Porsche slips. Euro gains, Pound struggles. Oil prices fall on OPEC+ output expectations. Gold slips on profit-taking after record high. Upcoming US jobs report and Eurozone debt auctions eyed. DAX holds support.

04-09-2025 08:53 GMT by Zain Vawda

USD/CHF Technical: Potential Swiss franc bullish range breakout as NFP looms

The USD/CHF remains in a narrowing range ahead of Friday’s US NFP release, with risk building for a bearish breakout. Meanwhile, signs of stabilization in Swiss data, manufacturing PMI at 49.0, and services PMI rebounding from a five-year low, suggest the SNB’s aggressive rate-cut cycle may be ending. With yield spreads between US Treasuries and Swiss bonds narrowing, downside pressure on USD/CHF is likely to persist.

04-09-2025 06:19 GMT by Kelvin Wong

It's all about Gold and other metals – Market wrap for the North American session - September 3

September 3rd North-American Session Recap – Gold beats its prior day ATH in another strong session for metals, discover why. Check up the Daily asset and FX performance, what changed fundamentally and what's coming up tomorrow.

03-09-2025 21:46 GMT by Elior Manier

Hesitant equities and (maybe) better relations between US and Canada — North American mid-week Market update

Mid-Week update for North-American Markets – North American Markets are awaiting desperately for Friday's Employment data, but some interesting charts are building. Taking a look at NA index and currency performance combined with a USDCAD intraday chart to spot what's next for American Markets.

03-09-2025 19:37 GMT by Elior Manier