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Week of May 19th, 2025: RBA rate cut, Canadian CPI, and AUD/CAD analysis
This article provides an analysis of the financial events occurring during the week of May 19th, 2025. It focuses on the Reserve Bank of Australia's (RBA) decision to cut interest rates by 25 basis points due to concerns about a global economic slowdown, and the subsequent impact on the Australian Dollar. Additionally, it examines the release of Canadian CPI data and its implications for the Bank of Canada's (BOC) monetary policy. The article concludes with a technical analysis of the AUD/CAD.
by Moheb Hanna
AUD tumbles 0.9%, CAD CPI beats - NA Mid-Session Update
North-American Mid-Session: The RBA cut rates by 25 bps as expected, but surprise dovish hints of a 50 bps cut sent the AUD tumbling. Canadian CPI beat forecasts at 1.7% y/y, cutting June rate cut odds to 35%. The CHF leads majors, European stocks rise, Nasdaq dips 0.5%, and gold jumps 1.5% amid broad position shifts.
by Elior Manier
Europe Mid-Session Bell: Markets Eye Trade Deals, DAX Breaches 24000
European markets eye trade deals as DAX hits a new all-time high, breaching 24000. Analysis examines potential for consolidation or further gains, noting overbought RSI and key support/resistance levels. US-China trade pause and other global trade talks are monitored for market impact. Focus on ECB policy, Canadian CPI, and Fed speakers for further volatility.
by Zain Vawda
Gold (XAU/USD) Forecast: Stagflation Risk May Reignite Bulls
(XAU/USD) surged 19% in Q1 2025, outperforming major assets. After hitting a record high of $3,500, it corrected 10% but now shows signs of a bullish reversal amid stagflation concerns and key technical support at the 50-day MA. Eyes are on $3,305 for confirmation.
by Kelvin Wong
Crude Oil Recovers After Chinese Data, Goldman Upgrade
Explore Brent Oil's recovery amid Chinese data and Goldman Sachs' updated demand forecast. Dive into technical analysis revealing potential resistance and support levels. Learn how client sentiment may impact WTI prices. This article covers key factors influencing the oil market, including US economic outlook concerns and potential trade war impacts
by Zain Vawda
USD/JPY Forecast: Yen Strength Revival Below 149.00 Resistance
USD/JPY remains volatile amid shifting risk sentiment and BoJ policy signals. After testing 140.00 support in late April, the pair rebounded to 148.65 on 12 May, driven by optimism around US-China trade. However, weaker US dollar momentum and narrowing US- yield spreads have capped gains. BoJ’s less hawkish outlook and technical weakness below key resistance at 149.00 suggest downside risks remain for USD/JPY.
by Kelvin Wong
Gold (XAU/USD) Surges Beyond $3200/oz on Weak US Data, DXY Slips
Gold surges above $3200/oz as a weaker US dollar and concerning economic data fuel demand. US retail sales slow, and small business optimism declines, impacting the dollar. Technical analysis suggests potential for further gains in gold, but client sentiment indicates caution.
by Zain Vawda
Europe Mid-Session Bell: DAX Consolidates After All-Time Highs
European markets see DAX consolidate after record highs. Oil prices drop due to potential US-Iran deal. Gold struggles, while yen and Swiss franc strengthen. US retail data and Powell's comments are key focus points. S&P 500 and Nasdaq turn red after initial gains. Traders eye DAX support levels for next moves.
by Zain Vawda
Gold (XAU/USD) Slides 2.2% to One-Month Lows. $3150 incoming?
Gold (XAU/USD) sees a 2.2% drop to one-month lows. Easing US-China tensions, Trump's Gulf investments, and potential trade deals with Japan, South Korea, and India pressure safe-haven demand. Russia-Ukraine talks could further impact prices. Technical analysis shows key support levels and OANDA client sentiment is 73% net-long.
by Zain Vawda
Dow Jones Dip, S&P 500 & Nasdaq Rise After Inflation Data
US inflation data reveals surprising trends. While S&P 500 & Nasdaq surge, the Dow Jones dips. Dive into how markets reacted to easing inflation, Federal Reserve policy implications, & key stock movers like Nvidia & Coinbase. Technical analysis of the S&P 500 & critical support/resistance levels also covered.
by Zain Vawda
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