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USD-CHF-02-06-2025-New-York
US Stock Market outlook – S&P 500 breaks channel, Equities in the red to close the week
After a stellar run for tech and growth stocks, markets are turning cautious. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq hit new highs before retreating amid a sharp profit-taking wave and stronger U.S. Dollar. Heavyweights like Nvidia, Meta, and Amazon slid roughly 3%, dragging sentiment lower. Still, the Nasdaq remains resilient, holding near key support as traders assess the depth of this pullback.
10-10-2025 16:05 GMT by Elior Manier
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Canadian employment makes a comeback – USD/CAD reverses
Canada’s labor market delivered a major surprise, adding 60K jobs versus just 5K expected — a sharp turnaround from last month’s decline. Most of the new roles were full-time, signaling a more resilient recovery. With USD/CAD rejecting the 1.40 level and trade talks between Ottawa and Washington showing progress, traders are watching if the loonie’s fortunes are turning.
10-10-2025 14:17 GMT by Elior Manier
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Gold (XAU/USD): Overstretched uptrend, risk of minor pull-back below $4,012
Gold (XAU/USD) extended its seven-week rally to a new all-time high of US$4,059, gaining 8.5% since late September. Supported by sticky U.S. inflation and growing fiscal concerns driving the “debasement trade,” the yellow metal’s major uptrend remains intact. However, momentum signals now suggest the rally is overstretched, with risks of a short-term pullback below US$4,012 before the next potential bullish leg resumes.
10-10-2025 07:05 GMT by Kelvin Wong
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How investors and traders can gauge the US labor market amid the BLS shutdown
The US government shutdown, already one of the longest in history, has paralyzed key agencies, including the Bureau of Labor Statistics. With vital data like Non-Farm Payrolls and Jobless Claims unavailable, market participants must turn to alternative sources to gauge employment trends and economic momentum. Here’s how traders can stay informed.
09-10-2025 20:07 GMT by Elior Manier
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US stocks sector divergence raises red flags
US equities have extended their record-setting run, with the S&P 500 and Nasdaq posting new highs. Yet, the rally’s foundations are uneven — the Dow’s modest 3.6% gain versus the S&P’s 9.5% highlights narrowing market breadth. Tariffs, a strong USD, and weaker industrials weigh on sentiment, raising questions about the sustainability of the bull trend.
09-10-2025 15:36 GMT by Elior Manier
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An unusual pattern emerges in NZD/USD after the 50 bps cut
The New Zealand Dollar faced intense pressure after a surprise GDP contraction and a larger-than-expected 50 bps RBNZ cut. Yet, instead of falling further, NZD/USD rebounded — signaling markets may believe the worst is behind. With policy expectations shifting, the pair’s reaction hints at a potential trend change. Let’s explore the key technical levels ahead.
09-10-2025 14:43 GMT by Elior Manier
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Europe on the brink of the heating season, yet gas remains cheap
Despite the approaching heating season, European gas prices remain low (around 30–32 euro per MWh) thanks to high storage levels and strong U.S. LNG inflows. Lower Chinese demand and increased Russian pipeline exports to Asia have eased global pressure. However, Norwegian production issues and potential cold weather could push TTF prices up to 40-45 euro per MWh by year-end.
09-10-2025 14:00 GMT by Łukasz Zembik
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Nasdaq 100: Short to medium-term bullish trends intact amid AI bubble fears
The Nasdaq 100 extended its rally, climbing 1.2% to a fresh record close at 25,137 on 8 October 2025, supported by strong momentum in AI-linked stocks despite growing AI bubble concerns. Reports of US$1 trillion in circular AI deals among OpenAI, Nvidia, AMD, and Oracle have raised valuation risks. Still, the technical setup remains bullish, with the uptrend intact above 24,795, targeting resistance near 25,640 in the short term.
09-10-2025 11:26 GMT by Kelvin Wong
EUR/USD bearish move below parity on hold for now
Trade Setup to Watch: EUR/USD Breaks Ascending Trendline, Further Downside Ahead?
EUR/USD breaks ascending trendline, hinting at further downside despite mixed fundamental and technical signals. The US Dollar Index (DXY) rallied after the FOMC meeting and US government shutdown. Technical analysis shows a break of the 1.16300 confluence level, suggesting a move towards 1.14000 or 1.1058. However, the RSI is in oversold territory, which could lead to a short-term bounce.
09-10-2025 11:07 GMT by Zain Vawda
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Markets Today: Softbank Surges 11%, HSBC Falls 6.6%, US Dollar Continues to Advance. DAX Eyes Further Gains
Softbank surges 11%, HSBC falls 6.6%, and the US Dollar continues to advance. The article covers Asia market wrap-up with Nikkei rallying on AI and robotics excitement, European shares opening lower due to banking sector issues, the US dollar reaching a two-month high against the euro and yen, flat oil prices, and gold prices dropping after hitting a record high.
09-10-2025 09:18 GMT by Zain Vawda
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USD/JPY: Current JPY weakness is driven by short-term sentiment as it disconnects from US-Japan yields
The Japanese yen weakened sharply, losing 3.7% against the US dollar to hit 153.00 following the election of fiscal and monetary dove Sanae Takaichi, expected to become Japan’s next prime minister. The move, dubbed the “Takaichi Trade,” has softened expectations of a near-term BoJ rate hike. However, improving consumer confidence, an upward-trending policy rate curve, and a narrowing US-Japan yield spread suggest the yen’s weakness may be short-lived.
09-10-2025 06:12 GMT by Kelvin Wong
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North American mid-week Market update – US-Canada deal approaching
Mid-Week update for North-American Markets – North American currencies regain some strength with the US-Canada Deal approaching and better Diplomatic outlooks for the US with Middle East peace also close. Taking a look at NA index and currency performance combined with a USDCAD intraday chart to spot what's next for American Markets.
08-10-2025 19:45 GMT by Elior Manier
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What to take from the October 2025 FOMC Minutes
The September FOMC Minutes reaffirmed the Fed’s patient stance on rate cuts, noting that while financial conditions have eased, inflation risks persist. Policymakers highlighted stronger GDP projections through 2028 and rising employment concerns. With the ongoing US government shutdown clouding incoming data, the Fed remains cautious but open to future easing if conditions allow.
08-10-2025 18:36 GMT by Elior Manier
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AUD/USD Forecast: Navigating US Government Shutdown & Technical Signals
This article analyzes the AUD/USD forecast, considering the impact of a potential US government shutdown and technical signals. It explores whether the Aussie Dollar is poised for gains, examining factors like RBA rate holds, Fed rate cuts, and commodity market rallies. Technical analysis highlights key support and resistance levels, while client sentiment data offers a contrarian view.
08-10-2025 18:15 GMT by Zain Vawda
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USD/CHF breaks above 0.80000 key level on dollar upside - Potential targets and price forecast
Finding support yesterday, USD/CHF trades 0.54% higher in today’s session, at 0.80251, crucially above the key level of 0.8000 for the first time since late September. In recent memory, the 0.80000 psychological level has presented a key area of resistance; therefore, the subsequent few sessions remain as important as ever if bullish momentum is to be sustained.
08-10-2025 17:37 GMT by Christian Norman
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Weakness showdown: NZD vs JPY in the FX markets
Two major currencies are under pressure in today’s volatile Forex session. The New Zealand dollar slumped after the RBNZ shocked markets with a 50 bps rate cut, deepening concerns about economic fragility. Meanwhile, Japan’s newly elected LDP leader faces coalition struggles, fueling political uncertainty that has reversed the yen’s pre-election gains.
08-10-2025 15:55 GMT by Elior Manier
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