Top News and Analysis

The Bank of Japan's FX Intervention: Mechanism, Impact, and Historical Precedent

Bank of Japan's FX intervention. Explains the mechanism: MOF sets policy, BoJ executes. Details how interventions are funded (reserves vs. FBs) and their dual channels: Portfolio Balance and Signaling. Discusses why ZIRP limits effectiveness, making Signaling and credibility key. Includes historical precedents (2003-04 JPY-weakening, 2022/2024 JPY-strengthening).

27-11-2025 15:26 GMT by Zain Vawda

Markets Today: German Consumer Sentiment Improves, Gold Holds Near 2-Week Highs, Thanksgiving Holiday in the US

Asian shares extended gains, while European stocks were mostly flat ahead of the ECB minutes. Key movers include Puma (shares up 13% on buyout rumors). The US dollar is weakening ahead of the Thanksgiving holiday, set for its largest weekly drop in four months. Oil fell slightly on ceasefire hopes, and gold is stable near 2-week highs

27-11-2025 10:01 GMT by Zain Vawda

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Markets are back in Euphoria – Market Wrap for the North American session - November 26

November 26th North-American Session Recap – Market Euphoria is back! Check up the Daily asset and FX performance, what changed fundamentally and what's coming up tomorrow.

26-11-2025 21:51 GMT by Elior Manier

North American mid-week Market update – December FOMC rate cut hopes saves the Market

Mid-Week update for North-American Markets – A return of the Doves boosted the struggling Stock Market while the Dollar might have posted a top. Taking a close look at NA index and currency performance combined with a USD/CAD intraday chart to spot what's next for American Markets.

26-11-2025 20:34 GMT by Elior Manier

Gold (XAU/USD) Price Up 2.5% for the Week. Is a Break of $4200/oz a Certainty?

Gold (XAU/USD) maintains a robust uptrend near two-week highs, supported by aggressive market expectations of US Federal Reserve monetary easing. The article details foundational drivers, a strong technical outlook with an RSI above 50, and key near-term resistance/support levels.

26-11-2025 18:14 GMT by Zain Vawda

Forex technicals: GBP/JPY nears 15-month peak in rally ; Intervention from the Bank of Japan?

GBP/JPY is getting bought, driven by recent trends for the UK and Japan. PM Takaichi approved a massive $¥21$ trillion stimulus, which paradoxically increases pressure on the BoJ for a rate hike by Dec 18th. Meanwhile, the UK Budget's fiscally conservative stance is boosting the Pound, making it a top performer. If the current rally extends, the pair will target its July 2024 peak. We dive into a multi-timeframe analysis of GBP/JPY.

26-11-2025 17:47 GMT by Elior Manier

US stocks turn green for the pre-Thanksgiving trading session

U.S. markets are rebounding ahead of the Thanksgiving break, erasing fears from a week of volatility and broken October lows. Overnight trading provided a strong sentiment kicker, but the primary driver expected December Fed rate cut. With volume set to taper off ahead of the holiday closures (closed Thursday, early close Friday), Watch reactions to key US Index levels (6,800 S&P 500, 25,000 Nasdaq and 47,000 DJIA).

26-11-2025 15:39 GMT by Elior Manier

Markets Today: RBNZ Cut Rates, Gold Hits Two-Week Highs, FTSE 100 Trades Above 200-day MA Ahead of UK Budget

RBNZ cut rates, but strong Australian inflation lifted the AUD, while the NZD also jumped. Asian and European stocks extended gains, boosted by US rate cut hopes and Ukraine peace talks, ahead of the UK Budget. Gold hit a two-week high on a weaker dollar, and oil prices rose slightly. The Fed's Beige Book is due later today.

26-11-2025 08:29 GMT by Zain Vawda

So, it's a cut. Right ? – Market wrap for the North American session - November 25

November 25th North-American Session Recap – Rate pricing goes up and down, and the same for Stock Markets which rebounded sharply today. Check up the Daily asset and FX performance, what changed fundamentally and what's coming up tomorrow.

25-11-2025 21:55 GMT by Elior Manier

US Dollar takes a hit as Dovish Fed U-turn boosts AUD, EUR, and JPY outlook

The U.S. Dollar is reversing its month-long rally. Recent weak U.S. data—including misses in Retail Sales, PPI, and Private Labor Data—has confirmed the Fed's more protective tone. We analyze the strong reversals this shift has caused in major FX pairs (USD/JPY, EUR/USD, AUD/USD).

25-11-2025 21:12 GMT by Elior Manier

Silver (XAG/USD) Price Outlook: Failed Breakout and Double-Top hints at Rangebound action

Silver has stalled its gigantic rally after forming a double top, retracing lower to graze the $50 mark. Despite seller pressure, its resilience suggests underlying strength remains, fueled by dovish signals from NY Fed President Williams and weak U.S. data (downside surprises in Retail Sales and ADP). The prospect of gradual rate easing keeps supporting the metal, leading to a new range formation. We dive into a multi-timeframe analysis.

25-11-2025 17:10 GMT by Elior Manier

Oil falls below $58 as Ukraine agrees to 19-point Peace Plan

Oil (WTI) has taken another hit, falling below the $58 mark, as reports confirm a revised 19-point Russia-Ukraine peace framework has been agreed upon by Kyiv. The agreement is a "living paper," but the imminent hope of a resolution has reduced supply route. Stuck in a downward sequence, we analyze the WTI charts to see how these major geopolitical fundamental swings are impacting price action.

25-11-2025 15:57 GMT by Elior Manier

UK Budget 2025 Preview: Fiscal Drag, Wealth Tax, and Market Impact on GBP & Gilts

Previewing the Labour government's November 26 UK Budget. Chancellor Rachel Reeves faces a £20–30 billion fiscal hole, compelling the use of "stealth" taxation via fiscal drag and new wealth taxes (Capital Gains Tax, 'mansion tax'). This analysis explores the pressure from the OBR downgrade and the critical market implications for the British Pound (GBP/USD) and UK Gilts.

25-11-2025 14:46 GMT by Zain Vawda

Gold Price Forecast: Bullion rallies to $4,118 key level as markets increase Fed rate cut bets

Currently trading at $4,118 per troy ounce, gold has started the week on an encouraging note, finding support in Monday’s session. Rallying by staggering 1.70% in yesterday’s trading, which, albeit by recent accounts, seems to be perfectly normal, dovish comments made by Fed Williams last week have offered a new lease of life to current gold upside.

25-11-2025 13:05 GMT by Christian Norman

Markets Today: Rate Cut Bets Surge, FTSE 100 Eyes Retest of 200-day MA, Geopolitics and US Retail Sales in Focus

Global stock markets rise on rate cut expectations from the Federal Reserve. Asian shares post modest gains, while European stocks are subdued ahead of key US economic data like producer inflation and retail sales. The report also covers a stable US dollar, falling oil prices, and rising gold prices on "dovish" Fed comments. Geopolitical developments in the Russia-Ukraine conflict and technical analysis for the FTSE 100 are also discussed.

25-11-2025 09:55 GMT by Zain Vawda

Dow Jones (DJIA): Outperforming the US mega-cap technology stocks

The Dow Jones remains resilient despite the recent AI-driven tech sell-off, supported by stronger value factors and a re-steepening US yield curve. Intermarket signals highlight potential medium-term outperformance versus the Nasdaq 100. The index is still holding its ascending channel, with key support at 45,650/45,020 and upside targets toward 48,460 and 49,130/49,220.

25-11-2025 09:51 GMT by Kelvin Wong

How fast the tides turn – Market wrap for the North American session - November 24

November 24th North-American Session Recap – Market Sentiment becomes positive once again as Dovish hopes come back. Check up the Daily asset and FX performance, what changed fundamentally and what's coming up tomorrow.

24-11-2025 21:38 GMT by Elior Manier

The Crypto Bloodbath Stalls: Is a Bottom In?

The crypto bloodbath has stalled, suggesting a definitive bottom may be in. After plunging to stark lows (Bitcoin $80K, Ethereum $2,800), prices are recovering, driven by dip-buying off key technical areas. Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs saw their first renewed inflows after six weeks of outflows, pushing the Total Market Cap back above the pivotal $3 trillion mark. Analysis focuses on BTC and ETH weekly and 8H charts.

24-11-2025 20:19 GMT by Elior Manier

Markets rebound for Thanksgiving week as Fed comments and Tech giants boost sentiment

Markets rebound to start Thanksgiving week after breaking October lows. NY Fed President Williams fueled the rally by signaling a rate cut "in the near term" is still appropriate, lifting December cut odds back to 70%. Improved geopolitical prospects (Ukraine, US-China talks) and corporate performance are boosting sentiment. We analyze the intraday outlook for the Dow, Nasdaq, and S&P 500.

24-11-2025 17:04 GMT by Elior Manier

US Dollar Index (DXY) Technical Outlook: Pivotal Week for the US Dollar as Acceptance Above 100.00 Remains Key

The US Dollar Index (DXY) faces a pivotal week hovering above the crucial 100.00 level. Technical analysis suggests a potential double-top pattern, while macroeconomic drivers include the short Thanksgiving week, Ukraine peace talks, and the upcoming Fed Beige Book, which could renew discussions about a December interest rate cut.

24-11-2025 13:49 GMT by Zain Vawda