Top News and Analysis

SPX 500: Bullish trend undeterred by US government shutdown, en route to 6,800/850 next

The SPX 500 remains firmly bullish despite the US government shutdown, climbing to a fresh record high of 6,745 on 3 October. Optimism is fueled by rising odds of Fed rate cuts, with markets pricing a 98% chance in October and 87% in December. The index holds above key support at 6,690, with the next targets at 6,800 and 6,850. Strong momentum and sector rotation into cyclicals reinforce the bullish trend.

03-10-2025 09:49 GMT by Kelvin Wong

Markets Today: US Dollar on Course for Worst Week Since July, Gold Steady, DAX eyes Retracement Ahead of Bullish Continuation

This article provides a comprehensive market update, covering steady Swiss inflation, a surge in Asian and European stock markets driven by the tech sector and OpenAI partnerships, the US dollar's struggle, and a slight rise in gold and oil prices. It also includes a technical analysis of the DAX Index.

03-10-2025 09:40 GMT by Zain Vawda

GBP/USD snaps four-day winning streak, hovers around 1.34500 - Potential targets and price forecast

Having rallied substantially from lows made last week, the GBP/USD broke a four-day winning streak in yesterday's trading, falling by 0.28%. Today, and at the London open, GBP/USD currently trades at ~1.34521, up 0.10%.

03-10-2025 08:22 GMT by Christian Norman

Tech Stocks Extend Gains as NFP Release Questions Grow – Market wrap for the North American session - October 2

October 2 North-American Session Recap – The week is heading to an intriguing end as it appears NFP data will not be released on Friday complicating matters for the Fed. Check up the Daily asset and FX performance, what changed fundamentally and what's coming up tomorrow.

02-10-2025 20:56 GMT by Zain Vawda

Markets Today: Swiss Inflation Steady, Gold Nears $3900/oz, DAX Eyes Potential 900 Point Move

This article provides a comprehensive market update, covering steady Swiss inflation, a surge in Asian and European stock markets driven by the tech sector and OpenAI partnerships, the US dollar's struggle, and a slight rise in gold and oil prices. It also includes a technical analysis of the DAX Index.

02-10-2025 09:28 GMT by Zain Vawda

USD/JPY: A medium-term yen bullish breakout looms, watch 146.30

The Japanese yen is poised for a medium-term breakout against the US dollar as macro factors and momentum align with the BoJ’s gradual policy normalization. The Q3 Tankan survey showed further improvement, while narrowing US-Japan yield spreads and a weakening US Treasury premium add pressure on USD/JPY. A break below 146.30 could trigger a bearish impulse, shifting the pair into a multi-week downtrend.

02-10-2025 05:14 GMT by Kelvin Wong

S&P 500 and Nasdaq reach ATH despite the US Shutdown – Market wrap for the North American session - October 1

October 1st North-American Session Recap – A new month welcomes buying flows in Gold and US Stocks yet again despite the US Government shutdown. Check up the Daily asset and FX performance, what changed fundamentally and what's coming up tomorrow.

01-10-2025 20:48 GMT by Elior Manier

USD lower, Stocks higher from the US Government shutdown — North American mid-week Market update

Mid-Week update for North-American Markets – USD takes a hit but stocks don't care much woth the US Government shutdown currently ongoing. Taking a look at NA index and currency performance combined with a USDCAD intraday chart to spot what's next for American Markets.

01-10-2025 19:46 GMT by Elior Manier

US Equities face uncertainty as US Government Shutdown begins – S&P 500, Nasdaq and Dow Jones outlook

The US government shutdown has officially begun, delaying key economic releases like NFP and Jobless Claims. Markets are left relying on ADP data, which missed sharply at –32K vs +52K expected, while ISM Manufacturing PMI rose to 49.1, driven by tariffs-related cost pressures. Rate cut hopes remain intact and stocks are rising.

01-10-2025 15:54 GMT by Elior Manier

Crypto demand spikes as US Government shutdown looms and data delays hit markets

With a US Government shutdown now inevitable, markets face missing key data releases like NFP and Jobless Claims. Traders are turning to alternatives, fueling a breakout in cryptocurrencies. Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Solana lead the surge as digital assets gain traction in volatile conditions.

01-10-2025 14:26 GMT by Elior Manier

Markets Today: Euro Area Inflation Ticks Up, Gold Eyes $3900/oz, DAX Breaches Confluence Level & US Government Shutdown in Focus

Euro Area inflation ticks up, gold eyes $3900/oz, DAX breaches confluence level & US government shutdown in focus. Japanese stocks sell-off, Nikkei at three-week lows. European stocks rise, led by healthcare. US dollar drops, gold surges to record high. Economic calendar and technical analysis of DAX index.

01-10-2025 11:25 GMT by Zain Vawda

EUR/USD bearish move below parity on hold for now

EUR/USD: Euro bulls ignite as US government shuts down

The US government has shut down for the first time in nearly seven years, fueling EUR/USD gains as political brinkmanship heightens ahead of the 2026 midterms. Rising unemployment risks and Trump’s proposal for mass layoffs have boosted Fed rate cut bets, steepening the Eurozone/US policy rate spread. With momentum shifting, EUR/USD’s medium-term uptrend remains intact, eyeing resistances at 1.1820–1.1910 in the near-term.

01-10-2025 08:50 GMT by Kelvin Wong

AUD/USD Forecast: Are Fresh Highs Incoming After RBA Rate Hold?

AUD/USD rises after RBA rate hold, with eyes on US government shutdown and NFP data. Technical analysis suggests further upside, with resistance levels at 0.6684, 0.6750, and 0.7000. Support levels are 0.6542, 0.6522, and 0.6500.

30-09-2025 22:32 GMT by Zain Vawda

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Erratic September Month-end flows – Market wrap for the North American session - September 30

September 30th North-American Session Recap – Erratic flows to wrap-up this September month, with some interesting fundamental contradictions for the US. Check up the Daily asset and FX performance, what changed fundamentally and what's coming up tomorrow.

30-09-2025 20:41 GMT by Elior Manier

Japanese yen could be one of the best performers for the end of the year

The Japanese yen is regaining strength, challenging the AUD as the week’s top FX performer. With political shifts, stronger economic data, and the Bank of Japan signaling a move toward policy normalization, USD/JPY and other yen crosses face pivotal levels into year-end.

30-09-2025 19:44 GMT by Elior Manier

How Currencies are Affected by Commodities: A Guide for Forex Traders

Taking a step back – key long-term market charts and levels

With daily headlines blurring long-term trends, traders benefit from stepping back to higher timeframes. This weekly outlook reviews the S&P 500, Bitcoin, Oil, and Gold, highlighting prevailing market direction and key support/resistance levels to watch in the coming sessions.

30-09-2025 16:37 GMT by Elior Manier

Madame Lagarde speaking now, German inflation got released – Euro intraday levels

German inflation rose 0.2% m/m, slightly above forecasts, lifting y/y to 2.4%. The data keeps ECB policy expectations unchanged, with markets now shifting focus to Eurozone retail sales and employment. Lagarde’s live speech in Helsinki could add context to the Euro’s next move—see key levels and charts inside.

30-09-2025 12:58 GMT by Elior Manier

Silver (XAG/USD): Minor mean reversion decline in progress below US$47.17

Silver (XAG/USD) has soared 16.1% month-to-date and 27.5% in Q3, marking its strongest quarterly gain since Q3 2020, outperforming Gold’s 15.5% rise. However, short-term signals point to a minor mean reversion decline below US$47.17, with potential support at 45.22, 43.75, and 43.10/42.95. A break above US$47.17 would negate the bearish setup, opening room for further gains toward 48.14 and 49.45.

30-09-2025 10:18 GMT by Kelvin Wong

Markets Today: Gold Retreats from Fresh Highs, China Manufacturing PMI at 6 Months Highs, FTSE Retests Support

Gold retreats from fresh highs, China manufacturing PMI at 6-month highs, and the FTSE retests support. European stocks are cautious amid a potential US government shutdown. Oil prices dropped due to increased supply expectations. The economic calendar shows mixed data for Europe, with central bank speakers and US consumer confidence ahead. The FTSE 100 index is at a critical technical juncture

30-09-2025 09:17 GMT by Zain Vawda

AUD/NZD: Bullish en route towards a 10-year high at 1.1470 with a less dovish RBA

The RBA is expected to hold rates at 3.6% today after August’s third cut this year, as Australia’s labour market stays tight and CPI rose to 3% y/y in August, its highest since July 2024. In contrast, New Zealand faces rising unemployment at 5.2%, fueling expectations of a more dovish RBNZ. Widening AU–NZ yield spreads continue to support AUD/NZD strength, with the pair near a three-year high at 1.1390 and eyeing resistance at 1.1470.

30-09-2025 04:03 GMT by Kelvin Wong