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Greenland as the trigger of a new trade war
Rising tensions over Greenland risk reviving an EU-US trade conflict, with Washington once again using tariffs as a tool of political pressure. Germany appears most exposed to the potential economic fallout, while cohesion within the EU remains uncertain. Beyond trade effects, renewed tariff threats are weighing on confidence in the US dollar and fueling concerns about lasting damage to transatlantic relations and the broader global economic order.
by Łukasz Zembik
Impact on US-EU tensions: Risk-off, US dollar subdued, heightened demand for Gold and Silver
Escalating US–EU tensions over Greenland and fresh US tariff threats against NATO allies have sparked a global risk-off move. Asian equities and US index futures slid, while the US dollar weakened as safe-haven flows rotated into precious metals. Gold and silver surged to new record highs, reinforcing their role as geopolitical hedges amid rising policy and trade uncertainty.
by Kelvin Wong
Markets enter Tension-Mode – Markets Weekly Outlook
A week ahead preview: A packed week is expected between Davos and geopolitical events, without mentioning a bunch of Economic releases throughout the Globe. Get ready for the upcoming week by looking at the past week's Market performance, what changed and the key events to expect in next week)
by Elior Manier
Chart Alert: Japanese yen short squeeze risk,158.15 key USD/JPY trigger
USD/JPY is entering a high-risk zone as intervention threats intensify and speculative JPY shorts reach a one-year extreme. Price action near the 159.45–159.75 resistance echoes past BoJ intervention levels, while fading momentum raises the risk of a downside break below 158.15. A move lower could trigger a sharp JPY short squeeze, with key supports at 157.50–156.12 now in focus.
by Kelvin Wong
WTI Oil sinks as Iran tensions abate – Where to look now?
WTI Oil Analysis: Crude rejects $62 to finish lower as Gulf leaders talk down US intervention threats. Yet, with Iranian revolts intensifying and a 30% chance of attack still priced in, the risk premium remains. We analyze the technical targets for WTI pending the emergency UN Security Council meeting.
by Elior Manier
Nikkei 225 Forecast: Bullish acceleration above 53,370 key support
The Nikkei 225 has emerged as one of the strongest global equity performers in early 2026, rising 7.9% year-to-date and outperforming major US indices. Supported by improving earnings revisions, resilient technical momentum, and potential political tailwinds from a snap election, the index remains bullish above the critical 53,370 support, with further upside risks toward the 55,000 zone.
by Kelvin Wong
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