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Risk-off session: What's going on in markets?
Markets are showing renewed volatility as risk-off flows dominate midday trading. Equities opened higher but quickly reversed as shutdown fears deepen and treasury buying accelerates. With Gold also paring gains, today’s move reflects a complex mix of profit-taking, uncertainty, and positioning shifts ahead of key political updates.
by Elior Manier
RBNZ Preview: Why a 50bps Cut is on the Table
The RBNZ is set to announce its latest interest rate decision. With disappointing economic data, market participants are split between a 25bps and 50bps cut. This article explores the arguments for each scenario, the potential impact on the NZD, and the broader economic context influencing the Monetary Policy Committee's decision.
by Zain Vawda
USDCAD steadies as Carney-Trump meeting boosts North American currencies
Canada’s trade data missed expectations again, but optimism over a potential easing of tariffs during today’s Carney-Trump meeting is lifting both the US and Canadian dollars. With the loonie at its weakest level against the euro since 2009, traders are watching USDCAD for fresh multi-timeframe opportunities.
by Elior Manier
EUR/USD Slides on French Political Turmoil and USD Rebound, Lagarde/Fed Speakers Up Next
EUR/USD continued its slide this morning due to US Dollar strength and French political drama. President Macron has given the outgoing Prime Minister until Wednesday to get parliament to agree on a new prime minister. The US Dollar's resilience is attributed to a high one-week interest rate and an IMF report. Technically, EUR/USD is approaching a key confluence level, with support at 1.1584 and resistance at 1.1700.
by Zain Vawda
Nikkei 225: Rallied above 48,000, key levels to watch next as new Japanese PM ignites bulls
The Nikkei 225 extended its bullish momentum, surging 6.5% to a record high of 48,668 as markets priced in expansionary fiscal policies under Japan’s incoming Prime Minister, Sanae Takaichi. The steepening of Japan’s government bond yield curves continues to support the rally, reinforcing a bullish medium-term outlook. Key support sits at 45,930, with potential upside targets at 50,090–51,220 amid a risk of minor corrective pullback.
by Kelvin Wong
Gold (XAU/USD) set to challenge $4,000 as prices renew all-time highs in today’s session - Potential targets and price forecast
In today’s session, gold (XAU/USD) trades at $3960 per troy ounce, up an astounding +1.91%, and has yet again comfortably renewed all-time highs. With gold pricing up over 50% year-to-date, markets now turn their gaze to the key level of $4,000, having only rallied above $3,000 for the first time in history less than seven months ago.
by Christian Norman
Markets Today: Gold Smashes $3900/oz, Bitcoin Hits Fresh Highs as Japan Election Triggers Frenzy. DAX Eyes Potential Rally
Global markets were boosted over the weekend as stock prices soared while currencies and bonds fell. Investors turned to gold and Bitcoin for safety as Japan’s election of a pro-stimulus leader fueled expectations for aggressive fiscal spending. European stock markets were a little quiet on Monday, with the main STOXX 600 index dipping 0.1%.
by Zain Vawda
The Dow Jones reaches 47,000 and breaks its Rising Wedge
US indices are pushing higher with the Dow Jones clearing 47,000 and breaking an ascending wedge pattern. A weak ISM Services PMI initially triggered selling, but markets flipped into full risk-on mode. With October’s Fed cut nearly assured and deeper 2026 cuts priced, equities shrug off shutdown risks for now.
by Elior Manier
Cryptocurrencies are loving the rally in Bitcoin – Crypto outlook
After weeks of volatility and profit-taking, crypto markets are finding fresh support. Bitcoin formed a higher low, altcoins surged, and diversification flows rose as the US shutdown pushed investors toward digital assets. With NFP data delayed, ETH, SOL, and XRP are now in focus on intraday charts for momentum signals.
by Elior Manier
USD/JPY Price Outlook: Key Levels, BoJ, and Political Risks
USD/JPY faces growing pullback risk due to external headwinds on the US Dollar and emerging structural drivers for Japanese Yen strength. The Bank of Japan's normalization path, including sustained wage growth and spreading services inflation, suggests a policy shift. Political risks from the LDP leadership election could also impact the Yen. Technical analysis shows support at 100-day MA, with resistance at 150.00.
by Zain Vawda
SPX 500: Bullish trend undeterred by US government shutdown, en route to 6,800/850 next
The SPX 500 remains firmly bullish despite the US government shutdown, climbing to a fresh record high of 6,745 on 3 October. Optimism is fueled by rising odds of Fed rate cuts, with markets pricing a 98% chance in October and 87% in December. The index holds above key support at 6,690, with the next targets at 6,800 and 6,850. Strong momentum and sector rotation into cyclicals reinforce the bullish trend.
by Kelvin Wong
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