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ECB: Rates on hold, debate heats up
The ECB is expected to keep interest rates unchanged at its next meeting, but internal debate is intensifying due to diverging views on the inflation outlook. New projections may show inflation below target in 2026–27 and above target in 2028, complicating policy signals. Economic resilience supports a cautious stance, while a hawkish tone could further lift EUR/USD.
by Łukasz Zembik
NFP Preview: Rate Path Divergence & Implications for the DXY, Gold (XAU/USD)
The December NFP report is crucial for the Fed's 2026 rate strategy, with market bets diverging sharply from official forecasts. Experts advise focusing on November job creation and Average Hourly Earnings (AHE) due to temporary data distortions. This divergence creates asymmetric upside risk for the US Dollar (DXY) and a dual bullish catalyst for Gold (XAU/USD) regardless of the outcome.
by Zain Vawda
US Stock Index Outlook: Weak sentiment ahead of NFP
US Indexes Technical Analysis and Key levels for Dow Jones, Nasdaq and S&P 500: We analyze the sentiment shift as Fed dissenters warn of inflationary risks, stalling the rally. With conflicting narratives and weak momentum, we break down the intraday setups ahead of the critical jobs report to see where the market stands.
by Elior Manier
Markets Today: China Industrial Output at 15-Month Lows, Softbank Down 6%, Gold & Silver Hold High Ground
A comprehensive look at Monday's market action, including Asia's Nikkei dropping over "AI bubble" concerns (SoftBank -6%), slower-than-expected industrial output in China (15-month low), and a positive start to the week for European shares (STOXX 600 up 0.4%). The report also covers a geopolitical update on Ukraine's NATO status, FX movements, stable gold and oil prices, and a technical/sentiment analysis for the DAX Index.
by Zain Vawda
From the FOMC to NFP and CPI – Markets Weekly Outlook
A week ahead preview: We are closing a highly volatile week after the Fed's 25 bps cut. With 2026 cuts heavily relying on softer data, next week will present some huge data (US NFP and CPI). Get ready for the upcoming week by looking at the past week's Market performance, what changed and the key events to expect in next week)
by Elior Manier
Winners and Losers of the FOMC Rate Cut – Market Overview
Winners and Losers since the Fed Cut: We analyze the winners and losers following the Federal Reserve rate cut. While cuts generally boost assets, the divergence between short and long-term yields creates varied impacts. We break down performance across stocks, crypto, and bonds to spot the top segments dominating the charts.
by Elior Manier
Gold (XAU/USD) Forecast: $4250/oz Holds the Key for Bullish Continuation
Gold (XAU/USD) prices are range-bound following a mixed FOMC rate cut. The article analyzes the Fed's 'wait-and-see' stance, shifts in market rate expectations, the potential for US Dollar seasonal weakness, and the impact of the US-Venezuela geopolitical dynamic. Technically, $4250/oz is the key for bullish continuation
by Zain Vawda
Post-FOMC weakness: US Dollar breakdown continues after 25bps cut
US Dollar Index (DXY) Technical Analysis: The Greenback slides after the rate cut, despite a neutral stance and conservative outlook. Mechanical outflows are benefiting exotic currencies. With the Chair emphasizing inflation while flying blind on data, upcoming reports are critical. We analyze chart levels to see how deep the correction can go.
by Elior Manier
Markets Today: SNB Hold Rates, SoftBank Falls 7.7%, Gold Slips Post FOMC. DAX Holds Above Psychological 24000 Handle
Asian markets closed lower with SoftBank's plunge leading the decline following Oracle's disappointing forecast. The Swiss National Bank held rates at 0%. European shares edged lower due to tech sector weakness, overshadowing a less-hawkish US Fed. Oil and Gold slipped, but Silver hit a new record high. The US Dollar saw a small rebound, while the DAX Index holds a key psychological level at 24000.
by Zain Vawda
Nasdaq 100: Post-FOMC gains wiped out, but technicals are still bullish
The post-FOMC rally faded quickly as Nasdaq 100 and S&P 500 futures reversed on renewed US–China geopolitical tension and fresh AI valuation concerns. DeepSeek’s alleged use of smuggled Nvidia Blackwell chips and Oracle’s weak revenue hit sentiment. Still, Nasdaq 100 technicals remain constructive, with improving market breadth supporting a continued medium-term bullish bias.
by Kelvin Wong
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