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Bears take the advantage but Trump saves the day – Dow Jones and US Stock Market Outlook
S&P 500, Dow Jones, Nasdaq Analysis and Trading Levels: Equity dip-buyers face a reality check as Iran rejects a ceasefire plan ahead of an 8:00 PM ET deadline, but hopes remain as Trump could push it back further. With WTI Crude breaking new weekly highs and pressuring stocks, bulls need a proper truce to reclaim the 47,000 level on the Dow Jones. Explore an intraday technical analysis of the markets
by Elior Manier
10 Hours to $150 Oil? The looming deadline threatening the Strait of Hormuz
Geopolitical tensions between the US and Iran have peaked with a deadline to reopen the Strait of Hormuz. Reports of strikes on Kharg Island and a threat to close the Bab al-Mandeb Strait risk a massive oil supply shock, potentially driving crude prices toward $150/bbl. We break down the three key price scenarios for WTI and Brent.
by Zain Vawda
Chart alert: Japan’s Nikkei 225 is flashing bearish breakdown conditions below the 50-day MA
Japan’s Nikkei 225 has turned into a laggard as rising oil prices and prolonged US–Iran tensions fuel stagflation fears. The index has dropped over 9% since late February, weighed by Japan’s reliance on energy imports and weakening earnings outlook. Technically, Nikkei remains in a bearish descending triangle below key resistance, signalling further downside risk unless a breakout above 54,095 materialises.
by Kelvin Wong
Easter bunnies are out in a calm session – Dow Jones and US Stock Market Outlook
S&P 500, Dow Jones, Nasdaq Analysis and Trading Levels: Global stocks find relief as the US Dollar takes a step back, but a looming Tuesday evening deadline for a US-Iran deal keeps volatility high. With the Islamic regime rejecting peace terms and US CPI data approaching on Friday, market participants weigh the risk of imminent rate hikes. Explore an intraday technical analysis of the major indexes.
by Elior Manier
Chart alert: WTI crude oil whipsawed above 20-day MA ahead of Trump’s speech and US-Iran ceasefire hopes
WTI crude oil remains volatile as prices whipsaw above $110 amid shifting US–Iran ceasefire expectations and Trump’s latest rhetoric. After breaking above $102.25, oil surged toward $116 before reversing, highlighting fragile sentiment. Prediction market sees a higher chance of a ceasefire by June rather than April, keeping geopolitical risk elevated. The bullish trend remains intact, but key support at $102.25 is critical to sustain further upside.
by Kelvin Wong
The first War inflation tests – Markets Weekly Outlook
A week ahead preview: Markets went on a roller coaster ride throughout this week from back and forth communications regarding the next phase of the US-Iran conflict. Get ready for the upcoming week by looking at the past week's Market performance, what changed and the key events to expect in next week)
by Elior Manier
Turns out it was an April's Fool – North American Session Market Wrap for April 2
April 2nd, 2026 North-American Session Recap – Markets couldn't withhold their optimism which turned out to resemble an April's Fool joke as the narrative soured. Stocks remained resilient and traders prepare for more uncertainty ahead. Check up the latest trends and developments, daily asset and FX performance, what changed fundamentally and what's coming up in the session ahead.
by Elior Manier
Crude Oil (WTI & Brent) keeps playing tricks on Markets 32 days into the Iran War
WTI and Brent Oil update: Market skepticism grows as President Trump’s optimistic rhetoric clashes with a 14% spike in WTI prices. As traders pivot toward tomorrow's NFP data and potential weekend escalations, the Oil-Stock inverse correlation persists amid the ongoing Hormuz blockade. Explore an intraday outlook and technical levels for WTI and Brent.
by Elior Manier
Dow Jones & US Stock Market NFP levels: Wall Street scrambles for impossible certainty after the April Fool's fakeout
S&P 500, Dow Jones, Nasdaq Analysis and Trading Levels: Market certainty vanishes as President Trump’s latest U-turn and reported Iranian attacks on US infrastructure shatter de-escalation hopes. With WTI struggling to close below the $100 mark and the Pentagon preparing for limited ground operations, equity benchmarks face a fragile holiday session. Explore an intraday technical analysis of the markets ahead of the NFP release.
by Elior Manier
Euro area inflation rises on energy shock, core trends stay limited
Euro area inflation rose to 2.5% mainly due to higher energy prices driven by tensions in Iran, while core inflation remained subdued. Price pressures have not broadly spread across the economy, but second-round effects may emerge over time. The European Central Bank is likely to respond cautiously, with limited need for aggressive rate hikes.
by Łukasz Zembik
Chart alert: Risk off after Trump’s speech - intraday outlook on S&P 500, Nasdaq 100, AUD/USD, Gold (XAU/USD), and WTI crude oil
Global markets have shifted back into risk-off mode after Trump’s hawkish stance on Iran dampened de-escalation hopes. Equities and AUD/USD weakened as bearish momentum resumed, while the US dollar strengthened. WTI crude oil surged above $102.25, supported by supply concerns, but gold’s recent rally shows signs of exhaustion. Technical signals suggest further downside risks for risk assets unless key resistance levels are reclaimed.
by Kelvin Wong
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