Top News and Analysis

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The Powell/TACO combo lifts Wall Street from early losses
North American markets started the week on shaky ground amid renewed US-China trade tensions, but sentiment reversed sharply after USTR Greer’s comments and Jerome Powell’s dovish speech. The Nasdaq and S&P 500 recovered early losses as traders embraced a potential rate cut and easing geopolitical concerns.
by Elior Manier
USD/CAD Price Outlook: Consolidation Above Key 1.4000 Handle. What Next for the Loonie?
USD/CAD price outlook: consolidation above key 1.4000 handle. The loonie has recovered in the US session, driven by the US dollar. Technical analysis shows USD/CAD has broken above 1.4000 and the 200-day MA, suggesting a potential bullish move if the 200-day MA support holds. Fundamental factors include the US government shutdown and a lack of high-impact US, Canadian data. Client sentiment data hints at a potential near-term rise for USD/CAD.
by Zain Vawda
UK labor report gives pound a reality check: What's next for GBP
The latest UK labor report signaled cracks in the economy, with wage growth slowing and employment softening. Persistent inflation leaves the BoE limited room to cut rates, heightening stagflation risks. After months of resilience, the pound’s outlook is clouded by weaker fundamentals and fragile consumer demand.
by Elior Manier
WTI Oil tumbles as US-China trade tensions flare up again
WTI crude tumbled below $60 as renewed US-China trade tensions and soft global data pressured sentiment. Despite brief optimism from Trump’s remarks, China reaffirmed its hard stance, adding fresh worries over demand. With easing Middle East risks and solid Russian supply, fundamentals still point lower unless a new shock emerges.
by Elior Manier
A EUR/USD guide on how long-term trends reverse
After a remarkable 1.01 to 1.19 rally this year, EUR/USD shows signs of fatigue as a bearish divergence and double top emerge near yearly highs. While some traders expect a deeper reversal, strong trends rarely collapse in one move. The pair’s structure suggests a longer-run correction phase — let’s break down the key levels across multiple timeframes.
by Elior Manier
US-China trade war scare: What happened Friday and where things stand now
Markets were shaken late last week as China tightened rare earth export controls and President Trump threatened 100% tariffs on all Chinese goods. The selloff sent risk assets plunging, with the S&P 500 down 2.7% and Bitcoin off 8%. But calmer remarks from U.S. officials and Trump’s softened tone over the weekend helped trigger a sharp rebound in global risk sentiment to start the week.
by Elior Manier
Gold (XAU/USD) Price Eyes Acceptance Above $4100/oz on US-China Trade War Fears, Up 2% on the Day
Gold prices surged 2% to $4100/oz amid escalating US-China trade tensions, with new 100% tariffs announced by Trump. Despite a softened stance and scheduled talks, China warns of countermeasures. Gold continues to rally, shrugging off USD strength. Upcoming Fed speeches and delayed CPI report are key market events. Technical analysis suggests further upside, with support at 4050.
by Zain Vawda
Markets Weekly Outlook – Geopolitical peace and turmoil ; Third week of shutdown
A week ahead preview: Turning to the third week of BLS data delaying PPI, Retail Sales and CPI – Key geopolitic developments and volatile flows shake Markets this week. Get ready for the upcoming week by looking at the past week's Market performance, what changed and the key events to expect in next week (including the infamous NFP report, all eyes are on this).
by Elior Manier
US Stock Market outlook – S&P 500 breaks channel, Equities in the red to close the week
After a stellar run for tech and growth stocks, markets are turning cautious. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq hit new highs before retreating amid a sharp profit-taking wave and stronger U.S. Dollar. Heavyweights like Nvidia, Meta, and Amazon slid roughly 3%, dragging sentiment lower. Still, the Nasdaq remains resilient, holding near key support as traders assess the depth of this pullback.
by Elior Manier
Canadian employment makes a comeback – USD/CAD reverses
Canada’s labor market delivered a major surprise, adding 60K jobs versus just 5K expected — a sharp turnaround from last month’s decline. Most of the new roles were full-time, signaling a more resilient recovery. With USD/CAD rejecting the 1.40 level and trade talks between Ottawa and Washington showing progress, traders are watching if the loonie’s fortunes are turning.
by Elior Manier
Gold (XAU/USD): Overstretched uptrend, risk of minor pull-back below $4,012
Gold (XAU/USD) extended its seven-week rally to a new all-time high of US$4,059, gaining 8.5% since late September. Supported by sticky U.S. inflation and growing fiscal concerns driving the “debasement trade,” the yellow metal’s major uptrend remains intact. However, momentum signals now suggest the rally is overstretched, with risks of a short-term pullback below US$4,012 before the next potential bullish leg resumes.
by Kelvin Wong
How investors and traders can gauge the US labor market amid the BLS shutdown
The US government shutdown, already one of the longest in history, has paralyzed key agencies, including the Bureau of Labor Statistics. With vital data like Non-Farm Payrolls and Jobless Claims unavailable, market participants must turn to alternative sources to gauge employment trends and economic momentum. Here’s how traders can stay informed.
by Elior Manier
US stocks sector divergence raises red flags
US equities have extended their record-setting run, with the S&P 500 and Nasdaq posting new highs. Yet, the rally’s foundations are uneven — the Dow’s modest 3.6% gain versus the S&P’s 9.5% highlights narrowing market breadth. Tariffs, a strong USD, and weaker industrials weigh on sentiment, raising questions about the sustainability of the bull trend.
by Elior Manier
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