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Fed's Warsh and Ceasefire-end triggers Market Double tops – Dow Jones and US Stock Market Outlook
S&P 500, Dow Jones, Nasdaq Analysis and Trading Levels: Wall Street's bullish momentum stalls as the odds for an April 30 US-Iran peace deal plummet below 30% amid a standoff over the Strait of Hormuz blockade. Meanwhile, Fed Chair nominee Kevin Warsh's Senate testimony on balance sheet reform weighs on equities, forming intraday double-tops across benchmarks. Explore an intraday technical analysis of the markets as the Wednesday ceasefire deadline ticks closer.
by Elior Manier
The Dollar is forecasting tougher times ahead – EUR/USD, AUD/USD & Dollar Index (DXY) overview
US Dollar, AUD/USD and EUR/USD Analysis: The US Dollar halts its post-ceasefire decline, signaling potential turbulence ahead as tomorrow's critical peace deadline looms. While a hot NZ CPI report and rate hike pricing buoy the Kiwi, fading hopes for a swift US-Iran deal revive safe-haven demand across the broader currency market. Explore a technical analysis of the Dollar Index, EUR/USD, and AUD/USD to navigate the evolving trend.
by Elior Manier
Chart alert: Bullish flag formation in Copper (XCU/USD) as 2nd US-Iran peace talks loom
Copper (XCU/USD) remains supported after a 17% rally from March lows, driven by improving risk sentiment amid US–Iran ceasefire optimism. Price action is consolidating in a bullish flag pattern, suggesting potential continuation higher. A breakout above 6.0680 may trigger further upside toward 6.29, while downside risks remain if key support at 5.8790 fails. Strong global manufacturing activity continues to underpin demand, reinforcing copper’s constructive outlook.
by Kelvin Wong
Chart alert: NZD/USD’s 3-day decline ends, potential bullish reversal above 0.5846 key support
NZD/USD is showing signs of a bullish reversal after holding above key support at 0.5846, supported by stronger-than-expected inflation and rising expectations of RBNZ rate hikes. Yield spreads are turning in favour of the kiwi, reinforcing upside momentum. A break above 0.5929 could drive gains toward 0.6030, while a drop below 0.5846 may trigger a short-term pullback.
by Kelvin Wong
Metals in focus with Ceasefire uncertainty – Silver (XAG/USD) & Gold (XAU/USD) intraday outlook
XAU/USD, XAG/USD Outlook: Traditional safe havens face an identity crisis as the April 22 US-Iran ceasefire deadline approaches without a finalized deal. While Gold could explode higher if peace talks collapse and oil remains contained below the $100 mark, industrial-leaning metals like Silver face heavy downside risks at their current relative highs. Explore an intraday technical analysis of XAG/USD and XAU/USD to navigate this binary environment.
by Elior Manier
Back at all-time highs, Investors take a break – Dow Jones and US Stock Market Outlook
S&P 500, Dow Jones, Nasdaq Analysis and Trading Levels: Euphoria cools across US equities as a critical Wednesday deadline for the US-Iran ceasefire approaches. As JD Vance kicks off high-stakes negotiations in Islamabad and energy markets hold WTI near $90, a glaring divergence between the lagging Dow Jones and tech-heavy benchmarks highlights growing skepticism among smart money. Explore the critical technical levels for the major indexes ahead of this pivotal week.
by Elior Manier
Chart alert: Nasdaq 100 gap-down stalled above 26,288/142 key support, bulls are still in control
Nasdaq 100 remains in a strong bullish trend despite a recent gap-down triggered by renewed US–Iran tensions. The index has stabilised above key support at 26,288, with improving market breadth reinforcing upside momentum. A sustained hold above support keeps the path open toward 27,140/27,380, while a breakdown below 26,142 could trigger a short-term correction.
by Kelvin Wong
A real peace process or a fantasy? – Markets Weekly Outlook
A week ahead preview: The Peace repricing continues and Bulls can't get enough, with an upcoming second round of US-Iran talks expected to produce significant results this weekend. Get ready for the upcoming week by looking at the past week's Market performance, what changed and the key events to expect in next week)
by Elior Manier
USD/JPY forms a major Head & Shoulders pattern as Oil crumbles – FX Analysis
USD/JPY Technical Analysis: The Japanese Yen enters corrective phase as the US and Iran announce the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz, easing the immense pressure on Asia's energy imports. With the Bank of Japan's rate hike expectations fading and a bearish Head and Shoulders pattern taking shape, traders weigh an end to the US Dollar's recent dominance. Explore a multi-timeframe analysis of the Gopher.
by Elior Manier
Chart alert: The laggard Dow Jones (DJIA) is in the process of a bullish catch-up above 47,895 key support
The Dow Jones Industrial Average is showing signs of a bullish catch-up as improving macro conditions support upside momentum. After lagging other US indices, stabilisation in the yield curve is boosting financial sector outlooks. Technically, the DJIA is holding above key support at 47,895, with a break above 48,850 opening the path toward 49,715/49,835, while downside risks remain if support levels fail.
by Kelvin Wong
Chart alert: Gold (XAU/USD) potential bullish breakout above $4,900
Gold (XAU/USD) is poised for a potential breakout above $4,900 as improving macro conditions support bullish momentum. A softer US dollar, rising Fed rate cut expectations, and falling real yields are creating a favourable backdrop. After lagging equities, gold may stage a catch-up rally, with technical signals pointing to further upside toward $5,100 if resistance is cleared.
by Kelvin Wong
WTI and Brent Oil bounce with US-Iran news still awaited – What's next? Intraday Analysis
WTI and Brent Oil update: Energy markets navigate complex supply dynamics as the ongoing pricing of a US-Iran peace deal fuels a frantic equity rally. While stock markets surge, crude oil faces a massive disconnect between real-world physical demand and futures pricing, marked by steep backwardation and regional supply shortages in Asia. Explore an intraday technical analysis of WTI and Brent, outlining scenarios for potential breakouts or breakdowns.
by Elior Manier
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