Top News and Analysis

FOMC Minutes, Stocks yo-yo and FED's Cook-ed – Market wrap for the North American session - August 20

August 20th North-American Session Recap – Stocks dawdle around and FOMC Minutes fail to provide more info on the Sep Meeting. Check up the Daily asset and FX performance, what changed fundamentally and what's coming up tomorrow.

20-08-2025 20:52 GMT by Elior Manier

Bitcoin (BTC/USD) Price Outlook: Mixed Signals as Bearish Potential Grows, $108600 May Hold the Key

Bitcoin faces mixed signals and growing bearish potential. Despite ETF outflows, total crypto funds are up, showing investor hope. However, new money inflows are modest, and the market eyes a test of the $108600 support level, the average price for recent buyers. Client sentiment is overwhelmingly long, suggesting a potential deeper pullback. Will Bulls or Bears prevail?

20-08-2025 18:55 GMT by Zain Vawda

Diplomatic advances fail to prevent Stocks correction— North American Mid-Week Market Update

Mid-Week update for North-American Markets – US Indices retract from their highs despite the US regaining some geopolitical credibility. Taking a look at NA index and currency performance combined with a USDCAD intraday chart to spot what's next for American Markets.

20-08-2025 17:15 GMT by Elior Manier

Nasdaq breaks 23,000, leads downside as US indices continue to slide

The Nasdaq selloff is deepening, with the index extending Monday’s sharp losses as overbought conditions and extreme positioning finally catch up to the tech sector. After weeks of relentless all-time highs, profit-taking and shifting market flows suggest a potential trend reversal may be brewing. This article reviews the technical setup, positioning data, and broader macro themes driving the move.

20-08-2025 14:58 GMT by Elior Manier

The Kiwi (NZD) drops from dovish RBNZ meeting, NZDUSD technical levels

The RBNZ delivered an expected 25 bps cut, but its dovish tone surprised markets. Lower inflation projections, reduced OCR forecasts, and weaker growth and employment outlooks weighed heavily on the Kiwi, sending it lower against major peers. Traders now reassess NZD’s path as policy looks set to stay accommodative.

20-08-2025 13:51 GMT by Elior Manier

WTI Oil Eyes a Bullish Bounce but Bearish Pressure Remains in Play

WTI Oil eyes bullish bounce despite bearish pressure & choppy price action. API shows crude stock drop, but EIA data & Ukraine war updates are key.

20-08-2025 13:39 GMT by Zain Vawda

Markets Today: UK Inflation Hits 18-Month Highs, RBNZ Deliver Dovish Rate Cut, Tech Stocks Drag Indices Lower

UK inflation soars to 18-month highs, RBNZ delivers a dovish rate cut, and tech stocks face a downturn. Delve into how gold, oil, and European shares are reacting to these significant economic developments and geopolitical updates.

20-08-2025 09:37 GMT by Zain Vawda

NZD/JPY Technical: Further Kiwi weakness, torpedoed by an ultra-dovish RBNZ

The RBNZ cut its OCR by 25 bps to 3%, but surprised with dovish guidance, projecting further declines to 2.71% by end-2025 and 2.55% in early 2026. Two officials even pushed for a 50 bps cut, reinforcing easing bias. The Kiwi weakened, with NZD/JPY showing downside potential as bond yield spreads narrow, supporting a bearish medium-term outlook.

20-08-2025 05:35 GMT by Kelvin Wong

RBNZ Meeting Preview: 25 bps Cut Expected. Will it be the Last Cut of 2025?

The RBNZ is set to cut rates by 25 bps. Will this be the last cut of 2025? With inflation still high but the economy slowing, the RBNZ faces a tough balancing act. Explore the potential scenarios for their decision and the crucial forward guidance. Technical analysis for NZD/USD and client sentiment data is also explored.

19-08-2025 23:17 GMT by Zain Vawda

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Peace in Europe coming soon? – Market wrap for the North American session - August 19

August 19th North-American Session Recap – The USD regains some ground with some mean-reversion flows from yearly trends as US credibility regains some ground. Will we see peace in Eastern Europe soon? Check up the Daily asset and FX performance, what changed fundamentally and what's coming up tomorrow.

19-08-2025 20:44 GMT by Elior Manier

Silver (XAG) and other metals fall as Markets price-in ease in Ukraine War

Precious metals face sharp profit-taking after months of outperformance, alongside other 2025 winners like tech and cryptocurrencies. With flows rotating out of the US Dollar, gold and silver had surged on themes of de-globalization and fiat skepticism. Today’s focus shifts to Silver, as markets reassess the sustainability of this rally.

19-08-2025 18:42 GMT by Elior Manier

GBP/USD Forecast: Cable at Crucial 1.3500 Handle as Inflation Data Looms

GBP/USD is at the crucial 1.3500 handle ahead of key UK inflation data, which is expected to rise. The US dollar is vulnerable ahead of FOMC minutes and Jackson Hole. Technical analysis and sentiment both show choppiness and indecision when it comes to GBP/USD . Will we get clarity this week?

19-08-2025 16:22 GMT by Zain Vawda

The Dow Jones racing to new all-time highs on continued index rebalancing flows

Tech earnings triggered profit-taking in the Nasdaq after months of new highs, while the Dow Jones opened strong. With the Nasdaq-to-Dow ratio near 2, flows suggest mean reversion as investors rotate into the US 30 and trim stretched tech exposure. Markets await clearer signals from geopolitics and the rate outlook to guide the next leg.

19-08-2025 14:43 GMT by Elior Manier

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The US Dollar (DXY) pauses at 98.00 as markets await clarity – What's next?

With summer trading volumes subdued and European markets quiet overnight, the Dollar Index is finding a floor near the 98.00 handle. Following a sharp July rally and August retracement, the DXY remains rangebound as traders await clarity from White House-led talks with Russia, Ukraine, and the EU. We analyze if this indecision can persist from a technical standpoint.

19-08-2025 12:58 GMT by Elior Manier

Markets Today: Russia-Ukraine Talks, Nikkei Retreats, FTSE 100 Eyes Gains. Canadian Inflation Ahead

Russia-Ukraine talks, Nikkei retreats, Canadian inflation upcoming, and FTSE 100 poised for gains. Gold hovers at $3340/oz. Trump meets Zelensky, discussing US security guarantees for Ukraine. European stocks open higher, while defense stocks dip. Key UK company news for Assura, IWG, Rio Tinto, Shell, and Shein. Oil steady, copper muted. Technical outlook for FTSE 100 .

19-08-2025 08:06 GMT by Zain Vawda

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EU leaders meet in the White House – Market wrap for the North American session - August 18

August 16th North-American Session Recap – After the Trump-Zelenskyy meeting, EU heads are meeting with Trump to potentially reach a Ceasefire. Another ceasefire in the Middle East might also be happening. Check up the Daily asset and FX performance, what changed fundamentally and what's coming up tomorrow.

18-08-2025 20:20 GMT by Elior Manier

US Oil breaks out as bearish catalysts fade

Geopolitical headwinds are entering global oil markets as Russia continues flooding exports, Ukraine targets pipelines, and Middle East conflicts find potential resolutions. With EU leaders arriving in the White House to disucss the next steps of the Russia-Ukraine war, we analyze WTI to identify potential short- and long-term support levels amid this volatility.

18-08-2025 17:36 GMT by Elior Manier

USD/CAD Eyes Gains Above 100-day MA. Geopolitics, Fed Outlook May Prove to be Stumbling Blocks

USD/CAD is poised for gains above its 100-day MA, but geopolitical risks from the US-Russia-Ukraine situation impacting oil prices, and the dovish outlook from the Federal Reserve, could hinder its ascent. Key data releases like FOMC minutes and Canadian inflation will provide further direction.

18-08-2025 15:17 GMT by Zain Vawda

Nasdaq and tech sector open the week on cautious footing

Tech stocks and the Nasdaq are starting the week on a cautious note, while the Dow holds up better in futures. After weeks of outperformance, the dip in tech could be routine profit-taking—or the start of a broader shift as risk appetite cools. With Walmart, Target, and Home Depot earnings ahead, plus PPI data weighing on sentiment, traders are watching closely for signals of what’s next.

18-08-2025 13:54 GMT by Elior Manier

Cryptocurrencies extend their decline from recent highs

Cryptos face a sharp pullback after signs of exhaustion. Bitcoin’s failure to hold its all-time high and Ethereum’s rejection near $4,870 signaled hesitancy, while altcoins showed weaker demand. With digital assets tied to risk sentiment, fresh geopolitical tensions added pressure, prompting investors to lock in profits. BTC and ETH charts now hold the key to what’s next with an extra update on the Market Cap.

18-08-2025 13:22 GMT by Elior Manier