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Markets digest US NFP, further geopolitical tensions and Powell investigation
Join OANDA Senior Market Analyst Kelvin Wong and podcast host Jonny Hart as they review the latest market news and moves. MarketPulse provides up-to-the-minute analysis on forex, commodities and indices from around the world. MarketPulse is an award-winning news site that delivers round-the-clock commentary on a wide range of asset classes, as well as in-depth insights into the major economic trends and events that impact the markets.
by Christian Norman
Key Support Holds for GBP/USD as Traders Eye US Inflation and UK GDP
The GBP/USD surges from a key support confluence at 1.3380 as the US Dollar suffers a selloff amid renewed fears over Federal Reserve independence following the 'Powell vs Trump 2.0' drama. Ahead, traders brace for tomorrow's US inflation report and Thursday's UK GDP data, which could determine the next leg for cable. Technical setup hints at further bullish momentum.
by Zain Vawda
Markets Today: Safe Havens Benefit on Trump-Fed Feud, Silver Gains 5% as Gold Breaches $4600/oz. What Comes Next?
The escalating political clash between President Trump and Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell is causing significant market jitters. Fears over the Fed's independence are driving a sharp drop in the US dollar and a tumble in European and US stock futures. Conversely, safe-haven assets are surging, with gold breaking $4,600/oz and silver jumping over 5% to a new all-time high. Markets are focused on developments in this spat for near-term direction.
by Zain Vawda
CPI is back on time – Markets Weekly Outlook
A week ahead preview: The New Year starts with quite some volatile events, both on the geopolitical and economic side. Markets will be looking closely at next week's US CPI release. Get ready for the upcoming week by looking at the past week's Market performance, what changed and the key events to expect in next week)
by Elior Manier
December US Jobs Report Shows Weaker Hiring
The December US jobs report confirms a continued slowdown in the labor market. Hiring fell short of expectations, job gains were concentrated in leisure and health care, and several key sectors saw employment declines. Despite weaker payroll growth, unemployment edged lower, leaving the Federal Reserve cautious as it weighs the outlook for interest rates and economic growth.
by Krzysztof Kamiński
Why venezuela’s political transition has left oil markets largely unmoved
Oil markets have largely ignored Venezuela’s political transition, as structural constraints prevent any rapid increase in supply. Production capacity is limited, infrastructure is degraded, and investment economics remain unattractive at current prices. While Venezuela’s vast reserves may matter in the 2030s if prices rise and politics stabilize, they pose little risk to global oil balances in the near term.
by Łukasz Zembik
Chart Alert: Silver (XAG/USD) intraday rally is fast approaching key resistance
Silver (XAG/USD) has staged a sharp intraday rebound after a steep sell-off, but technical signals suggest the rally may be corrective rather than the start of a new uptrend. With prices nearing the key US$79.86 resistance ahead of US non-farm payrolls, failure to break higher could trigger another down leg toward US$74 and US$70 in the first step.
by Kelvin Wong
Monetary policy divergence: Australia & Eurozone CPI and the EUR/AUD tumble
Central bank clash! The RBA's fight against sticky core inflation (3.2%) puts a February rate hike on the table, while the ECB celebrates hitting its 2.0% inflation bullseye. This policy divergence is sinking the EUR/AUD cross to a 15-month low. Find out why traders are piling into the Aussie as a high-yield play and what it means for the pair's critical 1.73 support level.
by Moheb Hanna
NFP Preview: Federal Reserve’s Pivot at a Crossroads, Implications for the US Dollar & Nasdaq 100
Preview of the pivotal December Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report, set for release on January 9, 2026. The article examines whether the Federal Reserve's recent easing cycle was justified. It details consensus forecasts (60k-70k jobs), key risks, and outlines the expected market reactions for the US Dollar Index (DXY) and Nasdaq 100 based on deviations from the forecast.
by Zain Vawda
When the radar goes dark: Navigating the market after the COT report delay
The 43-day COT report delay led to a data vacuum, allowing "managed money" to build crowded, unseen positions. The eventual backfilled data caused a "positioning shock" in markets like soybeans, triggering sharp reversals. This event highlights the major risk of market opacity and the potential for a "volatility explosion" when speculative sentiment data is unavailable.
by Moheb Hanna
Chart Alert: Nasdaq 100 bullish momentum is building up
The Nasdaq 100 is showing signs of renewed bullish momentum despite recent underperformance versus other US indices. Technical signals point to a bullish consolidation, with price holding above key support at 25,350 and momentum indicators turning higher. A breakout above the 25,760–25,830 resistance zone could trigger a fresh impulsive move toward record highs.
by Kelvin Wong
Gold (XAU/USD) Slips 1.2% Before 50-Day MA Provides Support. Acceptance Above $4500/oz Remains Key
Gold (XAU/USD) price dipped 1.2% before finding support at the 50-day MA ($4419/oz), but acceptance above $4500/oz is key. Geopolitical risks (US/Venezuela/Russia tensions, Greenland acquisition talks) and softer US employment data (job openings, ADP) are underpinning the metal. Investors now focus on Friday's NFP data, which is set to be the next catalyst. Technical support is strong, but a strong NFP could threaten $4400/oz.
by Zain Vawda
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