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Forex technicals: GBP/JPY nears 15-month peak in rally ; Intervention from the Bank of Japan?
GBP/JPY is getting bought, driven by recent trends for the UK and Japan. PM Takaichi approved a massive $¥21$ trillion stimulus, which paradoxically increases pressure on the BoJ for a rate hike by Dec 18th. Meanwhile, the UK Budget's fiscally conservative stance is boosting the Pound, making it a top performer. If the current rally extends, the pair will target its July 2024 peak. We dive into a multi-timeframe analysis of GBP/JPY.
by Elior Manier
US stocks turn green for the pre-Thanksgiving trading session
U.S. markets are rebounding ahead of the Thanksgiving break, erasing fears from a week of volatility and broken October lows. Overnight trading provided a strong sentiment kicker, but the primary driver expected December Fed rate cut. With volume set to taper off ahead of the holiday closures (closed Thursday, early close Friday), Watch reactions to key US Index levels (6,800 S&P 500, 25,000 Nasdaq and 47,000 DJIA).
by Elior Manier
Silver (XAG/USD) Price Outlook: Failed Breakout and Double-Top hints at Rangebound action
Silver has stalled its gigantic rally after forming a double top, retracing lower to graze the $50 mark. Despite seller pressure, its resilience suggests underlying strength remains, fueled by dovish signals from NY Fed President Williams and weak U.S. data (downside surprises in Retail Sales and ADP). The prospect of gradual rate easing keeps supporting the metal, leading to a new range formation. We dive into a multi-timeframe analysis.
by Elior Manier
Oil falls below $58 as Ukraine agrees to 19-point Peace Plan
Oil (WTI) has taken another hit, falling below the $58 mark, as reports confirm a revised 19-point Russia-Ukraine peace framework has been agreed upon by Kyiv. The agreement is a "living paper," but the imminent hope of a resolution has reduced supply route. Stuck in a downward sequence, we analyze the WTI charts to see how these major geopolitical fundamental swings are impacting price action.
by Elior Manier
UK Budget 2025 Preview: Fiscal Drag, Wealth Tax, and Market Impact on GBP & Gilts
Previewing the Labour government's November 26 UK Budget. Chancellor Rachel Reeves faces a £20–30 billion fiscal hole, compelling the use of "stealth" taxation via fiscal drag and new wealth taxes (Capital Gains Tax, 'mansion tax'). This analysis explores the pressure from the OBR downgrade and the critical market implications for the British Pound (GBP/USD) and UK Gilts.
by Zain Vawda
Markets Today: Rate Cut Bets Surge, FTSE 100 Eyes Retest of 200-day MA, Geopolitics and US Retail Sales in Focus
Global stock markets rise on rate cut expectations from the Federal Reserve. Asian shares post modest gains, while European stocks are subdued ahead of key US economic data like producer inflation and retail sales. The report also covers a stable US dollar, falling oil prices, and rising gold prices on "dovish" Fed comments. Geopolitical developments in the Russia-Ukraine conflict and technical analysis for the FTSE 100 are also discussed.
by Zain Vawda
Dow Jones (DJIA): Outperforming the US mega-cap technology stocks
The Dow Jones remains resilient despite the recent AI-driven tech sell-off, supported by stronger value factors and a re-steepening US yield curve. Intermarket signals highlight potential medium-term outperformance versus the Nasdaq 100. The index is still holding its ascending channel, with key support at 45,650/45,020 and upside targets toward 48,460 and 49,130/49,220.
by Kelvin Wong
The Crypto Bloodbath Stalls: Is a Bottom In?
The crypto bloodbath has stalled, suggesting a definitive bottom may be in. After plunging to stark lows (Bitcoin $80K, Ethereum $2,800), prices are recovering, driven by dip-buying off key technical areas. Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs saw their first renewed inflows after six weeks of outflows, pushing the Total Market Cap back above the pivotal $3 trillion mark. Analysis focuses on BTC and ETH weekly and 8H charts.
by Elior Manier
Markets rebound for Thanksgiving week as Fed comments and Tech giants boost sentiment
Markets rebound to start Thanksgiving week after breaking October lows. NY Fed President Williams fueled the rally by signaling a rate cut "in the near term" is still appropriate, lifting December cut odds back to 70%. Improved geopolitical prospects (Ukraine, US-China talks) and corporate performance are boosting sentiment. We analyze the intraday outlook for the Dow, Nasdaq, and S&P 500.
by Elior Manier
Markets Weekly Outlook - UK Budget in Focus as Global Equities Eye Recovery
A review of a volatile week in global markets where US equities recovered despite rate cut uncertainty. The US Dollar saw a strong week, but FX intervention fears grew around the Japanese Yen. The outlook for the week ahead focuses on the highly anticipated UK budget, key data releases from China and Japan, and a quiet US Thanksgiving week. Also includes a technical analysis of the US Dollar Index (DXY).
by Zain Vawda
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