Top News and Analysis

USD/CHF carves a bottom after reaching 14-year lows – FX Outlook

USD/CHF Technical Analysis: USD/CHF tests 14-year lows as Switzerland faces 0.1% inflation and the threat of negative rates. We analyze the "Warsh Squeeze" risk, the SNB’s battle with deflation, and why 14-year bearish positioning extremes suggest a major mean-reversion is brewing.

19-02-2026 20:55 GMT by Elior Manier

The costs of hesitation – Dow Jones and US Index Outlook

S&P 500, Dow Jones, Nasdaq Analysis and Trading Levels – Stocks consolidate in a tight 48-hour range as the 2.4% CPI beat meets Trump’s Art of War diplomacy with Iran. With 74% of firms beating earnings but positioning at 5-year extremes, we analyze the current themes and risks ahead of tomorrow’s critical Core PCE report.

19-02-2026 16:58 GMT by Elior Manier

Oil rallies as War Premium returns: WTI retests end-January $66 highs

WTI Oil Update: Oil surges toward $66 as an armada larger than the 2003 Iraq buildup nears Iran. With Polymarket odds for a March strike hitting 60%, we analyze the War Risk Premium, the diplomacy cracks, and the technical levels to watch for a move toward a higher breakout.

19-02-2026 15:26 GMT by Elior Manier

Chart alert: GBP/USD breaks trendline, is a 470-odd pip decline on the way?

GBP/USD Trade Idea: Analyzes the pair's slide due to a trendline break and US Dollar strength. Scenario 1 suggests a potential 470-pip decline, but an oversold RSI hints at a near-term pullback. Scenario 2 highlights the risk from strong US data, which could boost the dollar. Invalidation point is a daily close above 1.3700.

19-02-2026 12:22 GMT by Zain Vawda

Markets Today: FTSE 100 down 100-odd points, Gold hovers at $5000/oz, AliBaBa, Walmart Earnings and US data ahead

Opening Bell - Europe covers a mixed day for global markets. Asian equities rose on tech optimism (Nvidia/Meta deal), but European markets retreated (STOXX -0.1%) due to corporate earnings (Airbus, Rio Tinto) and US-Iran geopolitical friction. Gold and Silver surged on safety-seeking. The US Dollar is challenged despite cautious Fed minutes. Technical analysis is bullish for the FTSE 100.

19-02-2026 10:05 GMT by Zain Vawda

The Battle for 155: Hawkish FOMC minutes fuel USD/JPY breakout hopes

USD/JPY experienced a significant climb after the Federal Reserve's hawkish FOMC minutes boosted the US Dollar. Despite a massive surge in Japanese exports, the Yen's reaction was muted due to the widening Fed/BoJ policy gap. This analysis details the key fundamental and technical drivers, focusing on the pair's critical "battle of the levels" around the 155.00 resistance.

19-02-2026 00:22 GMT by Zain Vawda

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Traders get ready War – North American session Market wrap for February 18

February 18th 2026 North-American Session Recap – Sentiment is turning sour after yesterday's particularly calm session. Check up the Daily asset and FX performance, what changed fundamentally and what's coming up on Monday.

18-02-2026 21:25 GMT by Elior Manier

January FOMC Minutes and Wartime – North American Mid-Week Market update

Mid-Week update for North-American Markets – Wartime and FOMC Minutes add some volatility to NA Markets. Taking a close look at NA index and currency performance combined with a USD/CAD intraday chart to spot what's next for American Markets.

18-02-2026 20:49 GMT by Elior Manier

Gold (XAU/USD) Breaches $5000/oz: Has the bullish trajectory resumed?

Gold (XAU/USD) surges past $5000/oz, raising questions about the return of its bullish trajectory following a pullback driven by a stronger US dollar and market uncertainty. The article analyzes key technical levels for an upside breakout. Upcoming US data, including PCE figures and GDP, will be critical for the metal's next move.

18-02-2026 17:05 GMT by Zain Vawda

Stocks explode despite War rumors, a bull trap? – Dow Jones and US Index Outlook

S&P 500, Dow Jones, Nasdaq Analysis and Trading Levels – Stocks surge as dip-buyers come back after a rough period. While the Mag 7 bounces, Axios reports strong chances of action against Iran within weeks. Is this a trap? We analyze the dual-carrier buildup and why the Dow's return to 50k is being tested by war drums.

18-02-2026 17:02 GMT by Elior Manier

NZD/USD tumbles after the RBNZ hold – A look at the new Governor Anna Breman

NZD/USD Technical Analysis: Anna Breman holds rates at 2.25% in her RBNZ debut, sparking a sharp Kiwi selloff. Despite a slightly higher future rate path, her cautious tone and focus on nascent recovery were read as dovish. We analyze the NZD/USD slide toward .5990 and the multi-timeframe outlook.

18-02-2026 15:41 GMT by Elior Manier

Bitcoin's (BTC/USD) Battle: The $70k wall and technical breakout hint at further downside. Is $50k a possibility?

Analysis of Bitcoin's struggle to break $70,000 amid intensifying geopolitical conflict and regulatory stalls. The piece examines key bearish factors, the pressure on corporate Bitcoin treasuries like MicroStrategy and Metaplanet, and a technical pattern suggesting a potential drop towards $60,000 or $50,000.

18-02-2026 02:03 GMT by Zain Vawda

Calm before the storm? – North American session Market wrap for February 17

February 17th 2026 North-American Session Recap – Another mixed session, but this could leave space for quite some action in the coming days. Check up the Daily asset and FX performance, what changed fundamentally and what's coming up on Monday.

17-02-2026 21:31 GMT by Elior Manier

US Dollar Index (DXY) tries to break 2026 downtrend despite 14-Year record bear positioning

US Dollar (DXY) Analysis & Dollar Update: The DXY rebounds from 5-year lows as Trump and attempts a break higher. With positioning at 14-year bearish extremes, we analyze the Kevin Warsh wildcard, the Senate confirmation battle, and why a strong Core PCE could trigger a short-squeeze.

17-02-2026 20:43 GMT by Elior Manier

Traders are looking for direction – Dow Jones and US Index Outlook

S&P 500, Dow Jones, Nasdaq Analysis and Trading Levels – US traders return to a directionless market as the Dow slips below 50,000. Despite a soft CPI, heavy positioning and record-low cash level suggest the rally is hitting a wall but Stocks remain resilient. We analyze the Feb 20 SCOTUS tariff ruling and the AI bubble fears mounting in February.

17-02-2026 17:22 GMT by Elior Manier

Gold & Precious Metals slide: Iran diplomacy and Lunar New Year drain liquidity

XAU/USD Technical Analysis: Lunar New Year drains liquidity as metals face a cold wind in February. While Geneva talks spark document exchanges and talk of a deal, Gold slides toward $4,900 and Silver plunges. We analyze the "overcrowded" long trade and the incoming US carrier strike group.

17-02-2026 16:17 GMT by Elior Manier

Markets Today: Yen rebounds, Pound Sinks on Labour Data, Gold slides 2% as Market Focus Shifts to Diplomacy

Market wrap for the European open, noting the Yen's rebound, the Pound's fall after UK unemployment hit a 5-year high, and a sharp 2% slide in gold prices. The report highlights steady European markets, a cooling 'AI panic,' and attention on US-Iran nuclear and Ukraine-Russia peace talks. Also covers corporate earnings, technical outlooks for FTSE 100

17-02-2026 10:30 GMT by Zain Vawda

A calm session ahead of a heavy week – North American session Market wrap for February 16

February 16th 2026 North-American Session Recap – Calm Markets as US and Chinese traders took some time off. Check up the Daily asset and FX performance, what changed fundamentally and what's coming up on Monday.

16-02-2026 21:25 GMT by Elior Manier

WTI holds above $63 amid second round of US-Iran talks – US Oil outlook

WTI Oil Update: WTI holds $63 as Geneva hosts high-stakes US-Iran nuclear talks. Despite the Presidents Day lull, Oil remains bid as Washington demands a total ballistic missile freeze. We analyze the 30k+ protest death toll and the persistent $5 geopolitical risk premium.

16-02-2026 20:36 GMT by Elior Manier

Aussie Dollar fatigue? Technical signs hint at an AUD/USD pullback

Technical analysis suggests AUD/USD is facing fatigue after a 500-pip rally, pointing to a potential pullback with key support levels to watch. Fundamentally, central bank divergence (RBA hikes vs. potential Fed cuts) supports the long-term Aussie dollar gain. OANDA client sentiment is net-short, which may signal a short-term rise. Upcoming RBA/Fed minutes and data releases are expected to bring volatility.

16-02-2026 10:23 GMT by Zain Vawda