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Asia open: US PPI surges as Inflation heat derails rate cut hopes ahead of Trump-Xi summit
US producer price inflation surged to 6.0% year-over-year in April, strengthening the Federal Reserve’s higher-for-longer stance and erasing remaining hopes for 2026 rate cuts. Markets now focus on the high-stakes Trump-Xi Beijing summit, where AI competition, semiconductor restrictions, and geopolitical tensions are taking center stage. Despite rising Treasury yields and inflation fears, the Nasdaq 100 and S&P 500 continued climbing to record highs as AI-driven optimism supported equities.
by Kelvin Wong
Chart alert: Nasdaq 100 faces pullback risk as semiconductor rally shows signs of exhaustion
Nasdaq 100 surged to a fresh all-time high of 29,390 as semiconductor and AI-related stocks continued to fuel the rally. However, growing signs of bullish exhaustion in the semiconductor sector, particularly within the SOXX ETF, are raising the risk of a short-term corrective pullback. Bearish RSI divergence, stretched price action above the 20-day moving average, and elevated volatility conditions suggest the Nasdaq 100 may face a minor mean reversion decline below the 29,505/615 resistance.
by Kelvin Wong
Asia open: US inflation reaccelerates to 3.8%, and chip stocks falter
US inflation surged to 3.8% in April, the highest level in three years, wiping out Federal Reserve rate cut expectations and pushing Treasury yields and the US dollar higher. Meanwhile, semiconductor stocks sharply reversed after a massive six-week rally, dragging the Nasdaq 100 lower. USD/JPY climbed toward the key 157.90 intervention risk level as traders monitored possible Japanese authorities’ action amid rising market volatility and fading US-Iran peace hopes.
by Kelvin Wong
Gold (XAU/USD) rises slow and steady – In-depth Gold technical analysis
Gold (XAU/USD) update: Gold (XAU/USD) remains remarkably resilient, consolidating within a wide $4,500 to $4,900 range despite a hot US CPI print and a surging Dollar. As the metals complex digests China’s 45-month high inflation and pivots toward the high-stakes Trump-Xi summit, explore our in-depth technical analysis for Gold’s next major move.
by Elior Manier
Chart alert: WTI crude is poised for a potential volatility bullish breakout above $102.54/bbl
WTI crude oil is approaching a potential bullish volatility breakout above the key $102.54 resistance level as fading US-Iran peace prospects and prolonged Strait of Hormuz disruptions continue to tighten global energy supplies. Oil remains one of 2026’s top-performing asset classes, with WTI futures up 42% since late February. Technical indicators including bullish candlestick formations, suggest further upside risks towards 108 before 116/119.
by Kelvin Wong
Chart alert: Nikkei 225 bullish run is facing minor exhaustion below 64,145
The Nikkei 225 rallied to a fresh all-time high of 63,788 after a powerful technology-led surge driven by SoftBank Group and Murata Manufacturing. However, technical indicators now signal growing exhaustion risks beneath the 64,145 resistance level. A developing bearish Head & Shoulders formation, combined with RSI bearish divergence and Elliott Wave analysis, suggests the Japanese benchmark may enter a short-term corrective pullback despite its broader medium-term bullish trend remaining intact
by Kelvin Wong
Asia open: Stocks hit new highs on AI optimism as US-Iran ceasefire hangs by a thread
Global stocks surged to new record highs as AI optimism continued to dominate market sentiment despite escalating concerns over the fragile US-Iran ceasefire. The Nasdaq 100, S&P 500, Nikkei 225, and KOSPI extended gains while semiconductor shares and AI infrastructure themes remained key drivers. Meanwhile, rising oil prices and stronger inflation expectations lifted Treasury yields and reinforced a hawkish Federal Reserve outlook ahead of the crucial US CPI report.
by Kelvin Wong
Tech does not wait on CPI and Geopolitics – Dow Jones, Nasdaq and S&P 500 CPI Levels
S&P 500, Dow Jones, Nasdaq Analysis and Trading Levels: US stock benchmarks settle into a cautious range as markets brace for tomorrow's high-stakes CPI report. Despite a weekend diplomatic stalemate between the US and Iran and steadily rising oil prices, the "China Summit" optimism continues to bolster the Nasdaq and S&P 500. Explore our pre-CPI technical analysis of the major indexes.
by Elior Manier
Asia open: US futures dipped as US-Iran peace deal hopes dimmed
US futures slipped in early Asian trade as optimism surrounding a US-Iran peace agreement faded after President Trump rejected Tehran’s latest proposal. Meanwhile, a stronger-than-expected US jobs report reinforced expectations that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates elevated through 2026. Despite geopolitical uncertainty, AI-driven market momentum remains strong, with semiconductor stocks, hyperscaler capex, and industrial AI investments continuing to support global equity markets and
by Kelvin Wong
Are metals overdue for a rally? – Silver (XAG/USD) & Gold (XAU/USD) Outlook
XAU/USD, XAG/USD Outlook: Precious metals show signs of a bullish awakening as the traditional inverse relationship with crude oil begins to fade. With Copper breaking year-to-date highs and Gold printing a massive weekly hammer candle, the "war-driven" bear trend appears to be exhausting. Explore our intraday technical analysis of XAU/USD and XAG/USD to identify key breakout levels.
by Elior Manier
Chart alert: Nasdaq 100 bulls still in control above 28,280 key support amid US-Iran tensions
Nasdaq 100 holds bullish structure above 28,280 support despite US-Iran tensions, with healthy market breadth and technical signals pointing to further upside. After a brief 1.3% intraday pullback, the index recovered as sentiment stabilised on ceasefire reassurances. Market breadth remains healthy with 61% above 20-day MA and 57% above 200-day MA, suggesting broader participation beyond mega-cap AI leaders. Technicals support continuation within an ascending channel toward 28,860–29,615
by Kelvin Wong
Chart alert: GBP/USD potential bullish reversal above 20-day moving average
GBP/USD is showing signs of a potential bullish reversal as sterling remains supported above key technical levels despite renewed US-Iran tensions. Traders are closely watching the US non-farm payrolls, unemployment rate, and Michigan consumer sentiment data for fresh directional cues. Intermarket analysis suggests the Bank of England may stay more hawkish than the Federal Reserve, while technical indicators point to strengthening upside momentum toward the 1.3640/3665 resistance zone.
by Kelvin Wong
Asia open: Global markets jolted by US-Iran ceasefire violation, and traders brace for NFP
Global markets turned volatile after reports of a US-Iran ceasefire violation triggered renewed geopolitical fears ahead of the closely watched US non-farm payrolls report. Oil prices rebounded sharply above key levels, while equities pulled back from record highs as traders reassessed stagflation risks and central bank policy expectations. Asian markets weakened amid rising energy concerns, with the Nikkei 225 at risk of a short-term corrective decline from overbought conditions.
by Kelvin Wong
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