Top News and Analysis

WTI holds above $63 amid second round of US-Iran talks – US Oil outlook

WTI Oil Update: WTI holds $63 as Geneva hosts high-stakes US-Iran nuclear talks. Despite the Presidents Day lull, Oil remains bid as Washington demands a total ballistic missile freeze. We analyze the 30k+ protest death toll and the persistent $5 geopolitical risk premium.

16-02-2026 20:36 GMT by Elior Manier

Aussie Dollar fatigue? Technical signs hint at an AUD/USD pullback

Technical analysis suggests AUD/USD is facing fatigue after a 500-pip rally, pointing to a potential pullback with key support levels to watch. Fundamentally, central bank divergence (RBA hikes vs. potential Fed cuts) supports the long-term Aussie dollar gain. OANDA client sentiment is net-short, which may signal a short-term rise. Upcoming RBA/Fed minutes and data releases are expected to bring volatility.

16-02-2026 10:23 GMT by Zain Vawda

Markets Today: Europe gains on financials, Gold & Oil Remain Flat, Japan GDP underwhelms as FTSE 100 edges higher

European stocks, led by financials, rose as the STOXX 600 gained. Japan's surprisingly weak GDP (0.1% vs 0.4% expected) caused the yen to weaken. Gold and oil were flat amid quiet trading due to US and China holidays. Investors await European industrial production data and key US reports (Core PCE, GDP) for future rate direction.

16-02-2026 08:50 GMT by Zain Vawda

Supreme Court tariff decision and key tests ahead – Markets Weekly Outlook

A week ahead preview: Global Macro is back and a key Supreme Court decision on tariffs is awaited. Get ready for the upcoming week by looking at the past week's Market performance, what changed and the key events to expect in next week)

13-02-2026 21:20 GMT by Elior Manier

Bitcoin, Interest Rates, and Trump: A Crypto Market Review 2024-2025

Is $60,000 Bitcoin’s tripwire that could unleash a cascade of selloffs?

Bitcoin’s $60,000 level has become a critical front line for the market. A sustained break below it could amplify volatility as heavy put positioning on Deribit, dealer hedging flows, BTC-backed loan liquidations, and leveraged forced selling potentially combine into a cascading move. With the 200-week moving average near $58,000 and growing focus on downside scenarios, traders are watching whether support can hold—or whether a deeper slide could follow.

13-02-2026 21:07 GMT by Krzysztof Kamiński

Some CPI morning bullishness – Dow Jones and US Index Outlook

S&P 500, Dow Jones, Nasdaq Analysis and Trading Levels – CPI Rebound: Stocks erase early losses as the softest inflation print in five years (2.4%) fuels bets for a March rate cut. While the Mag 7 lags, broad contagion pushes the Dow and S&P higher. We analyze the Feb 20 Supreme Court tariff deadline and the fading Iran risk premium.

13-02-2026 17:18 GMT by Elior Manier

It's an everything rally after the CPI miss – Market Reactions

CPI Market Reactions: Inflation hits a 4-year low at 2.4%, fueling a surge in Treasuries and Gold ($5,100). While AI creative destruction initially dragged tech, a swift intraday rebound is underway. We explore the key charts to this morning's action with Dow Jones, Gold, 10Y Bonds and more.

13-02-2026 15:47 GMT by Elior Manier

US inflation slows, Fed may cut rates more than the market prices in

US inflation continued to ease in January, with both headline and core readings showing gradual moderation. Tariff effects remain limited and rent pressures have slowed. The Fed is likely to stay on hold in the near term, but markets expect rate cuts from mid year, pricing in close to two and a half reductions by year end.

13-02-2026 14:38 GMT by Łukasz Zembik

EUR/USD bearish move below parity on hold for now

EUR/USD's Next Move: Hot inflation to 1.1785 or cooling jobs to 1.2000?

EUR/USD is tightly coiled ahead of the crucial U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) release, which was delayed this month. The pair's fate hangs on two factors: Inflation Realities and Labor Market Strength. A "hot" CPI print is expected to reinforce the Fed's hawkish pause, potentially driving EUR/USD down to the 1.1785 support. Conversely, further signs of a cooling U.S. labor market, like rising jobless claims, could weaken the Dollar and allow the Euro to retest the 1.2000 psychological barrier.

13-02-2026 11:12 GMT by Zain Vawda

Chart alert: Dow Jones (DJIA) potential recovery at 20-day MA support, bulls need to break above 49,940

The Dow Jones retreated to its 20-day moving average after hitting fresh record highs, as technology stocks dragged US indices lower. Key support sits at 49,265, while a break above 49,940 could revive bullish momentum and open the door to a retest of all-time highs. Failure to hold support risks a deeper pullback toward the 50-day moving average zone.

13-02-2026 09:52 GMT by Kelvin Wong

Markets Today: Tech wobbles, Yen resurgence, Gold recovers ahead of key US CPI data. FTSE 100 holds above support

A global tech sell-off, sparked by disappointing earnings from Cisco and a slump in Apple, weighs on Asian and European markets. Amidst the caution, the Japanese yen surges for its strongest weekly gain in 15 months. Gold recovers ahead of key US CPI inflation data, while oil prices drift lower as Mideast tensions ease and supply from Venezuela increases. The report details market movements, Swiss inflation, and a technical look at the FTSE 100.

13-02-2026 09:07 GMT by Zain Vawda

Isn't peace good for Markets? – North American session Market wrap for February 12

February 12th 2026 North-American Session Recap – Markets deleverage despite the better news coming from US-Iran discussions as Markets remain skeptical. Check up the Daily asset and FX performance, what changed fundamentally and what's coming up on Monday.

12-02-2026 21:41 GMT by Elior Manier

Get ready for CPI – US Inflation Preview

CPI Preview: The final piece of the puzzle. With +0.3% expected, we analyze if sticky inflation and tariff passthrough will kill the 2026 easing cycle. Scenarios for Gold ($5,100), Stocks, Cryptos, and the USD as the Fed weighs a resilient labor market against 3% core inflation.

12-02-2026 20:32 GMT by Elior Manier

Chart alert: Gold rally faces risk of exhaustion below $5,170

Gold’s 15% rebound from $4,405 is losing steam as prices stall below key $5,170 resistance. The usual inverse correlation with the US dollar has weakened, while the Shanghai gold premium has flipped into discount, signalling softer physical demand. Bearish RSI divergence raises the risk of a pullback toward $4,795–$4,703 unless bulls reclaim momentum above $5,170.

12-02-2026 10:49 GMT by Kelvin Wong

Markets Today: Nikkei record anchors fifth day of Asian gains, US Dollar struggles as FTSE 100 slides 50 points after all-time high print

Asian markets extend their record-breaking run, anchored by a surge in chip stocks and the Nikkei 225 crossing 58,000 for the first time. European shares also hit new highs, driven by upbeat corporate earnings and a massive acquisition in the financial sector. On the FX front, the Japanese Yen sees its biggest weekly gain in a year, putting pressure on the US Dollar.

12-02-2026 10:49 GMT by Zain Vawda

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NFP fails to clear the view – North American session Market wrap for February 11

February 11th 2026 North-American Session Recap – A not less confusing Labor Market picture after NFP. Check up the Daily asset and FX performance, what changed fundamentally and what's coming up on Monday.

11-02-2026 21:30 GMT by Elior Manier

Is the US Labor Market really holding well? – North American Mid-Week Market update

Mid-Week update for North-American Markets – Doubts on the US labor picture put Markets on hold ahead of US CPI. Taking a close look at NA index and currency performance combined with a USD/CAD intraday chart to spot what's next for American Markets.

11-02-2026 20:37 GMT by Elior Manier

Hawkish NFP sends Stocks lower – Dow Jones and US Index Outlook

S&P 500, Dow Jones, Nasdaq Analysis and Trading Levels – NFP Morning action: A strong 130K beat and a dip in Unemployment (4.3%) trigger a bear flattening of the yield curve. We analyze the massive -858K downward revision to 2025 data, the rotation back into Consumer Defensives and Energy, and the hawkish shift in March rate-cut odds (now just 9%).

11-02-2026 17:14 GMT by Elior Manier

USD/JPY Outlook: Momentum bearish, but can the US dollar find support on strong jobs data?

Technical outlook for USD/JPY: The pair faces downward pressure, trading below the 100-day MA near 152.800. Yen strength is driven by post-election fiscal clarity and aggressive short-covering. The US dollar's mixed performance and upcoming US CPI release are key catalysts. Technical analysis suggests bearish momentum remains in play (RSI below 50). Key support is 151.53, with immediate resistance at 153.91.

11-02-2026 15:54 GMT by Zain Vawda

NFP surprises to the upside – Market Reactions

Market Reactions to NFP: A massive +130K headline beat is overshadowed by a staggering -856K revision to 2025 data. We analyze the market whiplash: Gold rejects $5,100, the Dow battles for the 50,000 handle, and Bitcoin remains heavy as traders weigh the hawkish repricings and the UE rate drop to 4.3%.

11-02-2026 15:11 GMT by Elior Manier