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The first War inflation tests – Markets Weekly Outlook
A week ahead preview: Markets went on a roller coaster ride throughout this week from back and forth communications regarding the next phase of the US-Iran conflict. Get ready for the upcoming week by looking at the past week's Market performance, what changed and the key events to expect in next week)
by Elior Manier
Turns out it was an April's Fool – North American Session Market Wrap for April 2
April 2nd, 2026 North-American Session Recap – Markets couldn't withhold their optimism which turned out to resemble an April's Fool joke as the narrative soured. Stocks remained resilient and traders prepare for more uncertainty ahead. Check up the latest trends and developments, daily asset and FX performance, what changed fundamentally and what's coming up in the session ahead.
by Elior Manier
Crude Oil (WTI & Brent) keeps playing tricks on Markets 32 days into the Iran War
WTI and Brent Oil update: Market skepticism grows as President Trump’s optimistic rhetoric clashes with a 14% spike in WTI prices. As traders pivot toward tomorrow's NFP data and potential weekend escalations, the Oil-Stock inverse correlation persists amid the ongoing Hormuz blockade. Explore an intraday outlook and technical levels for WTI and Brent.
by Elior Manier
Dow Jones & US Stock Market NFP levels: Wall Street scrambles for impossible certainty after the April Fool's fakeout
S&P 500, Dow Jones, Nasdaq Analysis and Trading Levels: Market certainty vanishes as President Trump’s latest U-turn and reported Iranian attacks on US infrastructure shatter de-escalation hopes. With WTI struggling to close below the $100 mark and the Pentagon preparing for limited ground operations, equity benchmarks face a fragile holiday session. Explore an intraday technical analysis of the markets ahead of the NFP release.
by Elior Manier
Euro area inflation rises on energy shock, core trends stay limited
Euro area inflation rose to 2.5% mainly due to higher energy prices driven by tensions in Iran, while core inflation remained subdued. Price pressures have not broadly spread across the economy, but second-round effects may emerge over time. The European Central Bank is likely to respond cautiously, with limited need for aggressive rate hikes.
by Łukasz Zembik
Chart alert: Risk off after Trump’s speech - intraday outlook on S&P 500, Nasdaq 100, AUD/USD, Gold (XAU/USD), and WTI crude oil
Global markets have shifted back into risk-off mode after Trump’s hawkish stance on Iran dampened de-escalation hopes. Equities and AUD/USD weakened as bearish momentum resumed, while the US dollar strengthened. WTI crude oil surged above $102.25, supported by supply concerns, but gold’s recent rally shows signs of exhaustion. Technical signals suggest further downside risks for risk assets unless key resistance levels are reclaimed.
by Kelvin Wong
USD/JPY faces major technical pressure from bearish RSI divergence - In-depth FX analysis
USD/JPY Technical Analysis: USD/JPY edges lower from weekly highs as the Petrodollar demand fades and President Trump signals a wind-down of hostilities. With Japan’s energy dependency driving recent Yen weakness, all eyes turn to the Bank of Japan’s April 28th meeting, where a rate hike to 1% remains heavily priced. Explore a multi-timeframe analysis of the currency pair.
by Elior Manier
Chart alert: US stock indices rally smells like a dead cat bounce – outlook on S&P 500, Nasdaq 100, and Dow Jones (DJIA)
US stock indices surged sharply, but the rally may be a dead cat bounce driven by short-covering and quarter-end positioning amid hopes of a US–Iran de-escalation. Technical signals remain bearish, with major indices still below key resistance levels and longer-term charts flashing reversal patterns. Weak market breadth suggests limited participation, keeping downside risks intact unless critical levels are reclaimed.
by Kelvin Wong
Brent-WTI falls to 2026 lows! Oil corrects as War resolution nears – WTI Outlook
WTI Oil Update: Energy markets signal a major shift as the Brent-WTI spread rushes toward pre-war lows, easing the stress seen since the conflict's start. While a China-Pakistan peace plan fuels a 2.50% rally in equities, Crude Oil remains down from its 50% monthly peak as traders price in a potential truce. Explore a multi-timeframe analysis of the commodity.
by Elior Manier
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