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Ceasefire and Fed concerns provoke a late-Session tumble (but Trump saves the Day!) – North American Session Market Wrap for April 21
April 21, 2026 North-American Session Recap – While the Ceasefire was projected to fall apart, hurting investor sentiment in the late session, President Trump just announced its extension. Check up the latest trends and developments, daily asset and FX performance, what changed fundamentally and what's coming up in the session ahead.
21-04-2026 21:02 GMT by Elior Manier
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A new era for the Fed? Looking back on Kevin Warsh's US Senate hearing & Market reactions
Market reactions: Wall Street frowns as incoming Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh signals a structural hawkish shift during his Senate confirmation hearing. With Warsh advocating for an end to forward guidance and a heavy reduction of the Fed's balance sheet, US equities—led by a Dow Jones pullback—took a decisive hit. Combined with the looming April 22 US-Iran ceasefire deadline, explore how stocks, the US Dollar, Oil, and precious metals reacted to the end of the easy money era.
21-04-2026 19:35 GMT by Elior Manier
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Fed's Warsh and Ceasefire-end triggers Market Double tops – Dow Jones and US Stock Market Outlook
S&P 500, Dow Jones, Nasdaq Analysis and Trading Levels: Wall Street's bullish momentum stalls as the odds for an April 30 US-Iran peace deal plummet below 30% amid a standoff over the Strait of Hormuz blockade. Meanwhile, Fed Chair nominee Kevin Warsh's Senate testimony on balance sheet reform weighs on equities, forming intraday double-tops across benchmarks. Explore an intraday technical analysis of the markets as the Wednesday ceasefire deadline ticks closer.
21-04-2026 16:23 GMT by Elior Manier
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The Dollar is forecasting tougher times ahead – EUR/USD, AUD/USD & Dollar Index (DXY) overview
US Dollar, AUD/USD and EUR/USD Analysis: The US Dollar halts its post-ceasefire decline, signaling potential turbulence ahead as tomorrow's critical peace deadline looms. While a hot NZ CPI report and rate hike pricing buoy the Kiwi, fading hopes for a swift US-Iran deal revive safe-haven demand across the broader currency market. Explore a technical analysis of the Dollar Index, EUR/USD, and AUD/USD to navigate the evolving trend.
21-04-2026 14:08 GMT by Elior Manier
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Chart alert: Bullish flag formation in Copper (XCU/USD) as 2nd US-Iran peace talks loom
Copper (XCU/USD) remains supported after a 17% rally from March lows, driven by improving risk sentiment amid US–Iran ceasefire optimism. Price action is consolidating in a bullish flag pattern, suggesting potential continuation higher. A breakout above 6.0680 may trigger further upside toward 6.29, while downside risks remain if key support at 5.8790 fails. Strong global manufacturing activity continues to underpin demand, reinforcing copper’s constructive outlook.
21-04-2026 10:07 GMT by Kelvin Wong
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Chart alert: NZD/USD’s 3-day decline ends, potential bullish reversal above 0.5846 key support
NZD/USD is showing signs of a bullish reversal after holding above key support at 0.5846, supported by stronger-than-expected inflation and rising expectations of RBNZ rate hikes. Yield spreads are turning in favour of the kiwi, reinforcing upside momentum. A break above 0.5929 could drive gains toward 0.6030, while a drop below 0.5846 may trigger a short-term pullback.
21-04-2026 03:59 GMT by Kelvin Wong
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Metals in focus with Ceasefire uncertainty – Silver (XAG/USD) & Gold (XAU/USD) intraday outlook
XAU/USD, XAG/USD Outlook: Traditional safe havens face an identity crisis as the April 22 US-Iran ceasefire deadline approaches without a finalized deal. While Gold could explode higher if peace talks collapse and oil remains contained below the $100 mark, industrial-leaning metals like Silver face heavy downside risks at their current relative highs. Explore an intraday technical analysis of XAG/USD and XAU/USD to navigate this binary environment.
20-04-2026 19:12 GMT by Elior Manier
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Back at all-time highs, Investors take a break – Dow Jones and US Stock Market Outlook
S&P 500, Dow Jones, Nasdaq Analysis and Trading Levels: Euphoria cools across US equities as a critical Wednesday deadline for the US-Iran ceasefire approaches. As JD Vance kicks off high-stakes negotiations in Islamabad and energy markets hold WTI near $90, a glaring divergence between the lagging Dow Jones and tech-heavy benchmarks highlights growing skepticism among smart money. Explore the critical technical levels for the major indexes ahead of this pivotal week.
20-04-2026 16:01 GMT by Elior Manier
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Chart alert: Nasdaq 100 gap-down stalled above 26,288/142 key support, bulls are still in control
Nasdaq 100 remains in a strong bullish trend despite a recent gap-down triggered by renewed US–Iran tensions. The index has stabilised above key support at 26,288, with improving market breadth reinforcing upside momentum. A sustained hold above support keeps the path open toward 27,140/27,380, while a breakdown below 26,142 could trigger a short-term correction.
20-04-2026 07:39 GMT by Kelvin Wong
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A real peace process or a fantasy? – Markets Weekly Outlook
A week ahead preview: The Peace repricing continues and Bulls can't get enough, with an upcoming second round of US-Iran talks expected to produce significant results this weekend. Get ready for the upcoming week by looking at the past week's Market performance, what changed and the key events to expect in next week)
17-04-2026 20:05 GMT by Elior Manier
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USD/JPY forms a major Head & Shoulders pattern as Oil crumbles – FX Analysis
USD/JPY Technical Analysis: The Japanese Yen enters corrective phase as the US and Iran announce the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz, easing the immense pressure on Asia's energy imports. With the Bank of Japan's rate hike expectations fading and a bearish Head and Shoulders pattern taking shape, traders weigh an end to the US Dollar's recent dominance. Explore a multi-timeframe analysis of the Gopher.
17-04-2026 15:56 GMT by Elior Manier
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Chart alert: The laggard Dow Jones (DJIA) is in the process of a bullish catch-up above 47,895 key support
The Dow Jones Industrial Average is showing signs of a bullish catch-up as improving macro conditions support upside momentum. After lagging other US indices, stabilisation in the yield curve is boosting financial sector outlooks. Technically, the DJIA is holding above key support at 47,895, with a break above 48,850 opening the path toward 49,715/49,835, while downside risks remain if support levels fail.
17-04-2026 09:50 GMT by Kelvin Wong
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Chart alert: Gold (XAU/USD) potential bullish breakout above $4,900
Gold (XAU/USD) is poised for a potential breakout above $4,900 as improving macro conditions support bullish momentum. A softer US dollar, rising Fed rate cut expectations, and falling real yields are creating a favourable backdrop. After lagging equities, gold may stage a catch-up rally, with technical signals pointing to further upside toward $5,100 if resistance is cleared.
17-04-2026 06:09 GMT by Kelvin Wong
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