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Australian dollar outlook as markets prepare for upcoming RBA rate decision
AUDUSD Outlook as tonight's Royal Bank of Australia Rate Decision is approaching – Markets largely expect a cut to 3.60% but there could be some reasons for surprises (with the last surprise being a hike in May 2023 when markets expected a pause). Take a look at a multi-timeframe analysis of the currency pair to gain a edge for the key number.
by Elior Manier
Asia mid-session: Tariff uncertainty weighs on Asia equities; Gold, Oil Slip as US dollar rebounds
Asia Pacific stocks traded mostly lower as markets digested mixed signals from the US on upcoming reciprocal tariffs set to expire on 9 July. The Nikkei 225 and Hang Seng Index slipped, while Singapore’s STI hit a fresh all-time high. The US dollar rebounded, pressuring the yen and Aussie. Gold fell below its 50-day moving average, and crude oil extended losses after OPEC+ announced a larger-than-expected production increase for August.
by Kelvin Wong
US Oil retreats today but bullish technicals suggest upside ahead
Markets are quiet as US traders take the day off following upbeat NFP data and US-Vietnam trade wins. Focus shifts to tomorrow’s delayed OPEC+ meeting. Crude oil remains in a tight range, hinting at a potential bullish breakout if supply-side headlines support the ongoing upward momentum.
by Elior Manier
S&P 500, Dow Jones Q3 Outlook: Tariffs, Tech, and Small Cap Concerns
Gain insights into the Q3 2025 outlook for US stocks, including the S&P 500 and Dow Jones. This analysis covers the impact of tariffs, the divergence between mega-cap tech and small-cap stocks, foreign investor flows, and key technical levels to watch. Discover if the current rally can continue amidst market uncertainties and upcoming earnings season.
by Zain Vawda
US Equities in a frenzy, bolstered by ISM and NFP beats
Strong US data lifted market sentiment again, with ISM Services PMI beating expectations. Equities and crypto rallied into the July 4th holiday, with all major US indices at or near all-time highs. A potential Israel-Hamas ceasefire also supports risk-on flows. Eyes on crypto this weekend.
by Elior Manier
Asia mid-session: Asia Pacific stocks dip on China PMI, Aussie dollar underperforms
US stocks rallied, with the S&P 500 hitting a record 6,227 and the Russell 2000 jumping 1.31%, signaling a broader post-“Liberation Day” recovery. In contrast, Hong Kong's Hang Seng Index fell on weak China PMI data. The pound slid 0.8% on UK fiscal uncertainty, while the Aussie dollar dropped on China risks. Gold held steady ahead of key US data.
by Kelvin Wong
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