Top News and Analysis

US stocks sector divergence raises red flags

US equities have extended their record-setting run, with the S&P 500 and Nasdaq posting new highs. Yet, the rally’s foundations are uneven — the Dow’s modest 3.6% gain versus the S&P’s 9.5% highlights narrowing market breadth. Tariffs, a strong USD, and weaker industrials weigh on sentiment, raising questions about the sustainability of the bull trend.

09-10-2025 15:36 GMT by Elior Manier

Dow Jones Technical Outlook: Dow Tests Key Confluence Level. Is Another 500 + Point Slide Incoming?

The Dow Jones Index faces a potential 500-point decline after testing a critical confluence level. Despite this, historical trends suggest the overall bull market for US stocks, particularly the S&P 500, may have more room to grow, driven by megacap stocks and potential future interest rate cuts.

09-10-2025 14:55 GMT by Zain Vawda

An unusual pattern emerges in NZD/USD after the 50 bps cut

The New Zealand Dollar faced intense pressure after a surprise GDP contraction and a larger-than-expected 50 bps RBNZ cut. Yet, instead of falling further, NZD/USD rebounded — signaling markets may believe the worst is behind. With policy expectations shifting, the pair’s reaction hints at a potential trend change. Let’s explore the key technical levels ahead.

09-10-2025 14:43 GMT by Elior Manier

Europe on the brink of the heating season, yet gas remains cheap

Despite the approaching heating season, European gas prices remain low (around 30–32 euro per MWh) thanks to high storage levels and strong U.S. LNG inflows. Lower Chinese demand and increased Russian pipeline exports to Asia have eased global pressure. However, Norwegian production issues and potential cold weather could push TTF prices up to 40-45 euro per MWh by year-end.

09-10-2025 14:00 GMT by Łukasz Zembik

Nasdaq 100: Short to medium-term bullish trends intact amid AI bubble fears

The Nasdaq 100 extended its rally, climbing 1.2% to a fresh record close at 25,137 on 8 October 2025, supported by strong momentum in AI-linked stocks despite growing AI bubble concerns. Reports of US$1 trillion in circular AI deals among OpenAI, Nvidia, AMD, and Oracle have raised valuation risks. Still, the technical setup remains bullish, with the uptrend intact above 24,795, targeting resistance near 25,640 in the short term.

09-10-2025 11:26 GMT by Kelvin Wong

EUR/USD bearish move below parity on hold for now

Trade Setup to Watch: EUR/USD Breaks Ascending Trendline, Further Downside Ahead?

EUR/USD breaks ascending trendline, hinting at further downside despite mixed fundamental and technical signals. The US Dollar Index (DXY) rallied after the FOMC meeting and US government shutdown. Technical analysis shows a break of the 1.16300 confluence level, suggesting a move towards 1.14000 or 1.1058. However, the RSI is in oversold territory, which could lead to a short-term bounce.

09-10-2025 11:07 GMT by Zain Vawda

Markets Today: Softbank Surges 11%, HSBC Falls 6.6%, US Dollar Continues to Advance. DAX Eyes Further Gains

Softbank surges 11%, HSBC falls 6.6%, and the US Dollar continues to advance. The article covers Asia market wrap-up with Nikkei rallying on AI and robotics excitement, European shares opening lower due to banking sector issues, the US dollar reaching a two-month high against the euro and yen, flat oil prices, and gold prices dropping after hitting a record high.

09-10-2025 09:18 GMT by Zain Vawda

USD/JPY: Current JPY weakness is driven by short-term sentiment as it disconnects from US-Japan yields

The Japanese yen weakened sharply, losing 3.7% against the US dollar to hit 153.00 following the election of fiscal and monetary dove Sanae Takaichi, expected to become Japan’s next prime minister. The move, dubbed the “Takaichi Trade,” has softened expectations of a near-term BoJ rate hike. However, improving consumer confidence, an upward-trending policy rate curve, and a narrowing US-Japan yield spread suggest the yen’s weakness may be short-lived.

09-10-2025 06:12 GMT by Kelvin Wong

Canada Deal and peace in the Middle East – Market wrap for the North American session - October 8

October 8th North-American Session Recap – Carry trades back on? Peace in the Middle East is getting closer and a US-Canada trade deal could be getting closer. Check up the Daily asset and FX performance, what changed fundamentally and what's coming up tomorrow.

08-10-2025 20:38 GMT by Elior Manier

North American mid-week Market update – US-Canada deal approaching

Mid-Week update for North-American Markets – North American currencies regain some strength with the US-Canada Deal approaching and better Diplomatic outlooks for the US with Middle East peace also close. Taking a look at NA index and currency performance combined with a USDCAD intraday chart to spot what's next for American Markets.

08-10-2025 19:45 GMT by Elior Manier

What to take from the October 2025 FOMC Minutes

The September FOMC Minutes reaffirmed the Fed’s patient stance on rate cuts, noting that while financial conditions have eased, inflation risks persist. Policymakers highlighted stronger GDP projections through 2028 and rising employment concerns. With the ongoing US government shutdown clouding incoming data, the Fed remains cautious but open to future easing if conditions allow.

08-10-2025 18:36 GMT by Elior Manier

AUD/USD Forecast: Navigating US Government Shutdown & Technical Signals

This article analyzes the AUD/USD forecast, considering the impact of a potential US government shutdown and technical signals. It explores whether the Aussie Dollar is poised for gains, examining factors like RBA rate holds, Fed rate cuts, and commodity market rallies. Technical analysis highlights key support and resistance levels, while client sentiment data offers a contrarian view.

08-10-2025 18:15 GMT by Zain Vawda

USD/CHF breaks above 0.80000 key level on dollar upside - Potential targets and price forecast

Finding support yesterday, USD/CHF trades 0.54% higher in today’s session, at 0.80251, crucially above the key level of 0.8000 for the first time since late September. In recent memory, the 0.80000 psychological level has presented a key area of resistance; therefore, the subsequent few sessions remain as important as ever if bullish momentum is to be sustained.

08-10-2025 17:37 GMT by Christian Norman

Weakness showdown: NZD vs JPY in the FX markets

Two major currencies are under pressure in today’s volatile Forex session. The New Zealand dollar slumped after the RBNZ shocked markets with a 50 bps rate cut, deepening concerns about economic fragility. Meanwhile, Japan’s newly elected LDP leader faces coalition struggles, fueling political uncertainty that has reversed the yen’s pre-election gains.

08-10-2025 15:55 GMT by Elior Manier

Gold (XAU/USD) Prices Up 1.5% on the Day. Is Gold's $4,000 Breakout Sustainable?

Gold's price has surged past $4,000/oz in 2025, driven by easy monetary policies, central bank buying, and rising global tensions. This article explores the factors propelling this rally, including geopolitical instability, macro bets on future monetary policy, and institutional demand, as well as a look at the technical analysis picture.

08-10-2025 14:54 GMT by Zain Vawda

EC-409 An introduction to the U.S. dollar index (DXY)-HERO

Who said that the USD and Gold can't rally together?

Explore a DXY analysis as a rare alignment is unfolding as both Gold and the US Dollar rally sharply — a move driven by shifting global risk sentiment and fading expectations for rapid US rate cuts. While political instability in Japan and Europe fuels demand for safe havens, the USD finds renewed strength from relative resilience in US data and a less dovish Federal Reserve.

08-10-2025 14:16 GMT by Elior Manier

Markets Today: Gold Sails Past $4000/oz, Yen Slides to Fresh Lows & RBNZ Deliver 50 bps Rate Cut. DAX Ready to Rally?

Markets Today: Gold sails past $4000/oz, Yen slides to fresh lows, and RBNZ delivers a 50 bps rate cut. Asian stocks retreat, while European markets see gains led by banking and energy sectors. Oil prices climb, and the dollar strengthens. The article also covers the economic calendar, DAX Index analysis.

08-10-2025 08:02 GMT by Zain Vawda

AUD/NZD: On the brink of a major bullish breakout above 1.1470 as RBNZ remains dovish

The AUD/NZD pair is approaching a major bullish breakout above 1.1470, driven by the RBNZ’s unexpectedly dovish stance and a widening AU–NZ yield spread. The RBNZ delivered a larger 50-bps rate cut, signalling openness to further easing to boost demand. Meanwhile, strengthening Australian yields and momentum indicators suggest potential for further upside, with 1.1510 as the next resistance in the short term.

08-10-2025 05:54 GMT by Kelvin Wong

Risk-off flows two years after the massacre – Market wrap for the North American session - October 7

October 7th North-American Session Recap – Risk-off Markets two years after the tragic events in the Middle East. Check up the Daily asset and FX performance, what changed fundamentally and what's coming up tomorrow.

07-10-2025 21:15 GMT by Elior Manier

Crazy crypto week: Digital Markets slide, altcoins under pressure

Crypto markets are facing a sharp reversal after yesterday’s euphoric rally. Bitcoin has fallen below $121,000, dragging most altcoins lower, with total market cap down over $170B. Despite the setback, the broader crypto structure remains intact, with top coins like ETH, SOL, and XRP still holding near their cycle highs while BNB stands out as the only gainer.

07-10-2025 20:05 GMT by Elior Manier