Forex: all news & analysis

Explore our comprehensive Forex Archive, an essential resource that provides expert insights on price movements, trends, and the currency market. By analysing past price actions and key events, you can uncover vital market dynamics and elevate your understanding of effective trading strategies. Whether you're focusing on major currency pairs or emerging markets, our archive is packed with information to help you sharpen your trading decisions.

The Bank of Japan's FX Intervention: Mechanism, Impact, and Historical Precedent
Bank of Japan's FX intervention. Explains the mechanism: MOF sets policy, BoJ executes. Details how interventions are funded (reserves vs. FBs) and their dual channels: Portfolio Balance and Signaling. Discusses why ZIRP limits effectiveness, making Signaling and credibility key. Includes historical precedents (2003-04 JPY-weakening, 2022/2024 JPY-strengthening).
by Zain Vawda
Forex technicals: GBP/JPY nears 15-month peak in rally ; Intervention from the Bank of Japan?
GBP/JPY is getting bought, driven by recent trends for the UK and Japan. PM Takaichi approved a massive $¥21$ trillion stimulus, which paradoxically increases pressure on the BoJ for a rate hike by Dec 18th. Meanwhile, the UK Budget's fiscally conservative stance is boosting the Pound, making it a top performer. If the current rally extends, the pair will target its July 2024 peak. We dive into a multi-timeframe analysis of GBP/JPY.
by Elior Manier
UK Budget 2025 Preview: Fiscal Drag, Wealth Tax, and Market Impact on GBP & Gilts
Previewing the Labour government's November 26 UK Budget. Chancellor Rachel Reeves faces a £20–30 billion fiscal hole, compelling the use of "stealth" taxation via fiscal drag and new wealth taxes (Capital Gains Tax, 'mansion tax'). This analysis explores the pressure from the OBR downgrade and the critical market implications for the British Pound (GBP/USD) and UK Gilts.
by Zain Vawda
Markets Today: Rate Cut Bets Surge, FTSE 100 Eyes Retest of 200-day MA, Geopolitics and US Retail Sales in Focus
Global stock markets rise on rate cut expectations from the Federal Reserve. Asian shares post modest gains, while European stocks are subdued ahead of key US economic data like producer inflation and retail sales. The report also covers a stable US dollar, falling oil prices, and rising gold prices on "dovish" Fed comments. Geopolitical developments in the Russia-Ukraine conflict and technical analysis for the FTSE 100 are also discussed.
by Zain Vawda
USD/JPY, the upcoming UK budget and RBA/Fed monetary policy
As we start week 48, join OANDA Senior Market Analyst Kelvin Wong and podcast host Jonny Hart as they discuss the end-of-week rally in US equities, the upcoming UK budget on Wednesday, ever-changing expectations of the FOMC meeting in December, as well as the latest on the FX markets, including JPY and AUD.
by Christian Norman
Markets Weekly Outlook - UK Budget in Focus as Global Equities Eye Recovery
A review of a volatile week in global markets where US equities recovered despite rate cut uncertainty. The US Dollar saw a strong week, but FX intervention fears grew around the Japanese Yen. The outlook for the week ahead focuses on the highly anticipated UK budget, key data releases from China and Japan, and a quiet US Thanksgiving week. Also includes a technical analysis of the US Dollar Index (DXY).
by Zain Vawda
EUR/USD technical analysis: Spotting Mean Reversion in the 2,000 pip Range
The EUR/USD is actively contracting into a tight 2,000-pip consolidation range between 1.15 and 1.17. Recent dollar demand from hawkish Fed repricing is being offset by dovish comments from NY Fed President Williams, which put the December rate cut back on the table (70% priced in). We analyze the EUR/USD in this rangebound, non-trending environment.
by Elior Manier
Euro Area Business Activity Remains Solid as EUR/USD Hovers Near Key Levels
Euro Area business activity remains solid in November, driven by services, but faces mixed signals with slowing new orders and rising costs. Q3 negotiated wages disappointed at 1.87% YoY. Technically, EUR/USD eyes a lower low, but this is contingent on the US Dollar Index not forming a double top. All eyes are on ECB President Lagarde's speech today regarding strengthening the Euro's world stage role.
by Zain Vawda
Bank of Japan on high alert: USD/JPY tests Key 158.00 Resistance
The USD/JPY pair is racing towards 158.00, up over 3% since November, driven by U.S. Dollar strength and the fiscally dovish stance of PM Takaichi. The rally persists despite high-level meetings and BoJ concern, forcing active pricing of intervention. Traders are testing the BoJ's resilience. We dive into a multi-timeframe analysis of USD/JPY from Weekly to intraday charts.
by Elior Manier
Markets Today: NFP in Focus as Rate Cut Bets Tumble, NVIDIA Earnings Boost Sentiment
Global markets rally on Nvidia's strong earnings, easing AI bubble fears. Asia and Europe see broad gains in tech and chip stocks. The US Dollar surges to a six-week high as hawkish Fed notes temper rate cut bets, pushing EUR, GBP, and JPY lower. Oil edges up on falling US supplies, but Gold is pressured. The focus now shifts to the long-delayed NFP report
by Zain Vawda
Nikkei 225: Bulls back in vogue with 4% “Takaichi Trade”rally
The Nikkei 225 is holding its medium-term uptrend as Japan’s yield-curve steepening, aggressive fiscal stimulus under PM Takaichi, and renewed yen weakness fuel foreign inflows. After retesting key support at 48,450, the index is building short-term bullish momentum, with a potential breakout above the 20-day moving average pointing toward 51,530 and 52,830.
by Kelvin Wong
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