Forex: All News & Analysis

US Dollar Index (DXY): Technical picture as inflation and geopolitical uncertainty loom

Geopolitical tension in the Middle East is driving extreme volatility in the US dollar and oil prices, overshadowing the upcoming US CPI data. Markets are trying to determine if the oil price spike will be viewed by the Fed as a temporary shock or a fundamental threat requiring a "higher-for-longer" interest rate response.

10-03-2026 23:08 GMT by Zain Vawda

Is the Petrodollar trade over after Trump's comment? EUR/USD, AUD/USD and Dollar Index (DXY) overview

US Dollar, AUD/USD and EUR/USD Analysis: The US Dollar took a turn lower after reaching 2026 highs as geopolitical tensions from the US-Iran-Israel conflict triggered a global rush for dollar liquidity. With WTI and Brent experiencing historic volatility, traders are now watching whether the Dollar’s momentum can extend further across key FX pairs.

09-03-2026 20:23 GMT by Elior Manier

Crude prices skyrocket by +30%, stock markets tumble & week ahead preview

To start the week, we join OANDA Senior Market Analyst Kelvin Wong and podcast host Jonny Hart in discussing skyrocketing oil pricing amidst tensions in the Middle East and a scheduled G7 meeting to discuss the release of held crude reserves, as well as the fallout across financial markets.

09-03-2026 16:21 GMT by Christian Norman

Gold’s (XAU/USD) Tug of War: : Oil spike, rate fears, and the battle for control

Gold (XAU/USD) is locked in a tug of war as safe-haven demand from escalating Middle East tensions battles the hawkish rate outlook fueled by soaring oil prices. This analysis reviews the impact of the Iran strikes, reduced Fed rate cut expectations, and the potential G-7 oil reserve release. We also cover the technical setup as a breakout looms.

09-03-2026 15:32 GMT by Zain Vawda

Markets Today: Brent crude futures surge 14%, STOXX 600 hits two-month lows as FTSE 100 approaches 10000 psychological level

Global markets plunge as Brent crude futures surge 14% on escalating Middle East conflict and supply fears. European shares hit two-month lows, with banking and tech stocks leading the sell-off. The US dollar soars as a safe-haven, pushing the euro and sterling lower. Investor focus shifts to US inflation reports (CPI and PCE) that are expected to reinforce a hawkish Fed and delay rate cuts. Technical analysis of the FTSE 100 is also covered.

09-03-2026 09:46 GMT by Zain Vawda

Large NFP miss and Oil surge to $90 – A Stagflation cocktail ahead of weekend risk

Market Outlook: US Markets face a dark day as Non-Farm Payrolls miss expectations with a loss of 92,000 jobs. Combined with a miss in Retail Sales and exploding Oil prices due to Middle East tensions, stagflation fears are rising. Job losses in Goods-producing and Services sectors signal a post-holiday hangover.

06-03-2026 15:30 GMT by Elior Manier

Markets Today: Rate cut hopes wither as Nikkei and Kospi suffer steep weekly losses. NFP data up next

Market analysis of a chaotic week: Asian stocks suffer steepest weekly losses since 2020 due to Middle East conflict and Strait of Hormuz disruptions. Oil prices spike, fueling inflation fears, which drives a major safe-haven rally for the US Dollar, causing traders to pare back expectations for Fed/BoE rate cuts and increase bets on an ECB hike.

06-03-2026 10:00 GMT by Zain Vawda

EUR/USD: NFP looms as 1.1578 support faces critical test

EUR/USD faces a critical test at 1.1578 support, driven lower by geopolitical tensions (Middle East, Iran leadership succession) and a cautious ECB, contrasting with a strong US economy. The imminent NFP report is set to determine the pair's next major move toward 1.1500 or a rally above 1.1670.

05-03-2026 18:19 GMT by Zain Vawda

The Canadian Dollar loves conflict – Has the CAD reached a long-term bottom?

Has the Canadian Dollar reached a long-term bottom? The Canadian Economy faces a sharp turn after a rough stretch under US First policies. With Mark Carney leading a new wave of international trade deals as a Middle power, the Loonie is recovering from multi-year troughs. USD/CAD, EUR/CAD and CAD/CHF Weekly Timeframe analysis.

05-03-2026 16:11 GMT by Elior Manier

Markets Today: KOSPI surges 9.63% to lead Asian rally, Europe struggles, FTSE 100 eyes recovery

Asian markets, led by a 9.63% surge in South Korea's KOSPI, saw a stellar rebound on diplomatic optimism. In contrast, European shares struggled, with the STOXX 600 dipping on escalating Middle East conflict and poor corporate earnings. The US dollar resumed its upward climb as a safe-haven, pressuring other currencies, while oil and gold prices continued to rise. Markets now await key US labor and eurozone data.

05-03-2026 09:46 GMT by Zain Vawda

NFP Preview: Jobs to drive volatility amid "operation epic fury" & implications for the DXY, Dow Jones

A preview of the March NFP report, set against a backdrop of geopolitical conflict and surging Brent crude prices. The report's outcome is critical for the Federal Reserve's rate path. Details on NFP consensus (58k-65k), unemployment (4.4%), and Average Hourly Earnings (+0.4% m/m). Includes bullish and bearish scenarios for the DXY and Dow Jones.

04-03-2026 23:07 GMT by Zain Vawda

Wartime, a boon for Markets? – North American Mid-Week Market Update

Mid-Week update for North-American Markets – Wartime in Iran begins, not preventing North American Markets to flourish. Taking a close look at NA index and currency performance combined with a USD/CAD intraday chart to spot what's next for American Markets.

04-03-2026 21:23 GMT by Elior Manier

Chart alert: Risk-off persists on Strait of Hormuz fears, EUR/CHF eyeing 0.9010 key bearish breakdown level

Risk-off sentiment dominates as fears of a Strait of Hormuz closure intensify despite US naval escort assurances. Oil trades near $76, gold advances, and Asian equities slide sharply. With market-implied odds of a Hormuz shutdown above 70%, recession and liquidity risks are rising. EUR/CHF remains under pressure, with 0.9010 emerging as a key downside trigger.

04-03-2026 06:25 GMT by Kelvin Wong

Trump guarantees maritime security in the Strait of Hormuz: Markets U-turn on Navy escort pledge

Market Reactions: Markets took a massive U-turn following a White House address from President Trump regarding ongoing operations in Iran. To shed morning anxiety, the President announced a security framework to protect commercial shipping routes and the Strait of Hormuz, causing Oil prices to retreat by 7 percent and Stock Markets to rebound sharply.

03-03-2026 21:06 GMT by Elior Manier

The War-Petrodollar trade extends – Oil jumps, Dollar to 2026 highs

US Dollar (DXY) Analysis & Dollar Update: Global Stock Markets fall between 2 and 7 percent as the Iran conflict intensifies. Brent trades around $83 while WTI moves toward its June peak. A potential dollar shortage looms as fuel prices explode, increasing dollar demand for importers. Diving into DXY technical levels.

03-03-2026 15:47 GMT by Elior Manier

A look around Markets as Iran operations begin – Market reactions

Discover Market reactions to the latest geopolitical news. Operation in Iran begins as US and Israeli forces aim to topple the Islamic Regime. Killing Ayatollah Ali Khamenei in the first strikes, the battle is anticipated to last four weeks. Retaliation against US positions and several Arab nations continues while Hezbollah joins the conflict in Cyprus. Intraday charts for Oil, the US Dollar, Gold, Bitcoin and Stocks.

02-03-2026 16:37 GMT by Elior Manier

Markets Today: Chaos as Middle East conflict widens, natural gas jumps 22%, DXY at five-week highs & FTSE 100 retreats

Middle East conflict escalates significantly following a US/Israel strike on Iran's Supreme Leader, triggering a seismic response. Global markets react with shock: oil surges 10%, European natural gas jumps 22%, gold hits $5,413, and the DXY climbs to a five-week high. Equities, led by Europe's STOXX 600, retreat, while safe-haven assets and defense stocks soar. The instability, including strikes in Cyprus and GCC countries, threatens a new wave of global inflation.

02-03-2026 10:17 GMT by Zain Vawda

Safe-haven demand intensifies as US-Iran conflict extends - Gold, WTI Crude, Nikkei 225, AUD/USD short-term outlook

Safe-haven demand surges as the US-Iran conflict escalates, lifting gold above $5,360 and driving WTI crude past key $70 resistance. Equity markets slide while the US dollar firms. Gold’s uptrend holds above $5,238, oil confirms a major breakout, and the Nikkei 225 risks a deeper correction. AUD/USD remains supported above 0.7020 amid strong commodity tailwinds.

02-03-2026 05:52 GMT by Kelvin Wong

Credit crunch fears to conclude a temperamental month; NFP incoming – Markets Weekly Outlook

A week ahead preview: It's a crazy end to a crazy month. But traders should get ready, because things won't get calm for a while. Get ready for the upcoming week by looking at the past week's Market performance, what changed and the key events to expect in next week)

27-02-2026 21:20 GMT by Elior Manier

Weekly Gold (XAU/USD) Forecast: US-Iran standoff trumps US PPI, setting stage for $5300/oz

Gold (XAU/USD) is above $5200/oz, boosted by geopolitical risk (potential US-Iran conflict) and renewed haven demand. The US Dollar is under pressure ahead of key US data (ISM, Jobs report). A rate cut is not anticipated until at least June. Technical analysis shows Gold maintaining a bullish trajectory with resistance at $5249 and support at $5150.

27-02-2026 15:10 GMT by Zain Vawda

Forex: all news & analysis