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Forex: all news & analysis

Explore our comprehensive Forex Archive, an essential resource that provides expert insights on price movements, trends, and the currency market. By analysing past price actions and key events, you can uncover vital market dynamics and elevate your understanding of effective trading strategies. Whether you're focusing on major currency pairs or emerging markets, our archive is packed with information to help you sharpen your trading decisions.

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Chart alert: EUR/USD minor uptrend intact ahead of ECB as markets brace for 25bp rate hike
EUR/USD holds near a two-week high around 1.1640 ahead of the ECB monetary policy decision, with markets expecting a 25-basis-point rate hike to 2.50%. Attention is on Christine Lagarde's guidance as surging energy prices revive inflation risks and raise the possibility of further tightening. Technically, EUR/USD has moved back above its 200-day MA, with 1.1604 acting as the key short-term support.
10-09-2026 10:25 GMT by Kelvin Wong
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Global forex shifts: Yen carry trade unwinds amid policy divergence.
This report analyzes the global forex market realignments driven by policy divergence between the Federal Reserve’s ‘higher-for-longer’ stance and the Bank of Japan’s pivot from ultra-low rates. It examines US rate expectations via CME FedWatch, Japan’s global funding role, and the rapid unwinding of yen carry trades, which triggered intense volatility across the USD/JPY, EUR/JPY, and AUD/JPY crosses, while outlining the critical impact of official government interventions.
06-09-2026 20:25 GMT by Moheb Hanna
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Yen’s Appreciation Potential May Be Running Out
The yen’s medium-term outlook remains constructive, but much of the expected Bank of Japan tightening may already be priced in. With weak consumption limiting the scope for aggressive rate hikes, USD/JPY may consolidate near 155 unless the BoJ or Japan’s GPIF provides a fresh catalyst.
04-09-2026 13:29 GMT by Łukasz Zembik
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Chart alert: USD/JPY major bearish reversal below 200-day MA
USD/JPY has staged a major bearish reversal, breaking below its 200-day moving average as the Japanese yen strengthens sharply. Support from US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent for Japanese action, hawkish BoJ commentary and renewed FX intervention risk have reinforced the move. USD/JPY may see an oversold bounce, but failure to reclaim 158.04/50 could expose 155.03 and 153.84 as the next downside targets.
03-09-2026 10:42 GMT by Kelvin Wong
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Gold awaits Warsh’s Jackson Hole speech
Gold is undergoing a shallow correction ahead of Kevin Warsh’s Jackson Hole speech. A neutral stance on easing financial conditions could support another test of USD 4,775 and USD 4,890 per ounce. A hawkish message, however, could revive expectations of a September rate hike, strengthen the dollar and trigger a deeper pullback.
27-08-2026 11:05 GMT by Łukasz Zembik
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PCE price index preview & EUR/USD technical analysis
The upcoming PCE Price Index report, scheduled for release on Wednesday, August 26, is a pivotal indicator for Federal Reserve monetary policy. This article examines consensus expectations for headline and core PCE inflation, along with an overview of the associated personal income, spending, and savings data. Additionally, it provides a detailed technical analysis of EUR/USD, discussing recent breakout patterns, key support and resistance levels, and momentum following dovish FOMC minutes.
25-08-2026 22:16 GMT by Moheb Hanna
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FX markets and central banks Overview - USD/CAD - AUD/USD
During the week of August 17–21, 2026, major currency pairs rallied against the U.S. dollar amid shifting monetary policy expectations. While accelerated Canadian inflation bolstered the CAD and a cooling job market complicated the RBA’s outlook in Australia, markets looked past hawkish FOMC minutes to price in upcoming Fed rate cuts, driving broad gains led by NZD and AUD.
22-08-2026 00:18 GMT by Moheb Hanna
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Treasury Intervention Puts the Dollar Under Pressure
A sharp rise in US Treasury yields dominated the week before the Treasury Department expanded its long-term bond buyback programme. The move improved market liquidity and briefly reduced borrowing costs, but also weakened the dollar. With oil prices elevated and US debt exceeding USD40 trillion, investors are questioning whether Washington is becoming more willing to tolerate currency depreciation in order to stabilise the bond market.
21-08-2026 12:37 GMT by Łukasz Zembik
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FOMC minutes, Canadian inflation data, and USD/CAD technical analysis
This report provides a financial analysis for the week of August 17, 2026. It covers market expectations ahead of the July FOMC minutes, noting the debate between inflation risks and a cooling labor market. It also examines Canada’s latest CPI data, highlighting that headline inflation reached 3.0% while core metrics remain steady. Finally, the report includes a USD/CAD daily chart analysis, noting current technical support levels and oversold conditions indicated by the RSI at 29.24.
18-08-2026 12:20 GMT by Moheb Hanna
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Chart alert: GBP/USD remains firm above 1.3479 ahead of US CPI
GBP/USD remains firm ahead of the US CPI release after breaking above a key medium-term descending trendline following last Friday’s US NFP. Sterling’s near-term bullish momentum remains intact above the 1.3479 pivotal support, with upside targets at 1.3547, 1.3580 and 1.3643. A hotter-than-expected US core CPI could revive Fed rate-hike expectations and US dollar strength, while softer inflation may reinforce GBP/USD’s bullish breakout.
12-08-2026 11:09 GMT by Kelvin Wong
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Dollar faces a tougher period as Fed expectations may shift
The dollar remains supported by relatively hawkish Fed expectations, but this advantage may weaken. A US-Iran de-escalation could lower energy prices and inflation risks, reducing the case for further US tightening. If markets begin to price a softer Fed policy path, the dollar could come under pressure and EUR/USD could gradually move higher.
07-08-2026 15:05 GMT by Łukasz Zembik
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Chart alert: Yen’s 3-day weakness pauses at key 158.55/USD inflexion level ahead of NFP
USD/JPY’s three-day rebound is showing signs of exhaustion near the key 158.55 inflexion level ahead of the US non-farm payrolls release. The narrowing 2-year UST-JGB yield spread, a potential bearish flag and weakening hourly RSI momentum suggest renewed downside risks for USD/JPY. A break below the 157.95 downside trigger could expose 157.30 and 156.32, while a move above 158.55 may extend the rebound towards 159.45.
07-08-2026 09:18 GMT by Kelvin Wong
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The US labour market is losing momentum – as is the USD
The June U.S. jobs report points to a clear slowdown in the labor market, with weaker nonfarm payrolls growth, lower labor force participation, and easing wage pressure. While layoffs remain limited, the data reduce pressure on the Fed to tighten policy further and have weighed on the U.S. dollar.
02-07-2026 16:19 GMT by Krzysztof Kamiński
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Chart alert: USD/JPY plummeted 0.5% on suspected deliberate intervention, key levels to watch ahead of NFP
USD/JPY tumbled sharply after a sudden bout of yen strength raised suspicions of stealth intervention by Japanese authorities ahead of the closely watched US non-farm payrolls report. While widening US-Japan yield spreads continue to favour a stronger dollar, record speculative short positions in the yen increase the risk of further intervention-driven volatility. Traders are now watching the critical 160.90 support level and the US jobs report for the next major directional catalyst.
02-07-2026 08:26 GMT by Kelvin Wong
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Chart alert: S&P 500 risks bull trap as stronger US dollar threatens Q2 rally
The S&P 500 finished Q2 2026 with its strongest quarterly performance since 2020 after a late surge driven by institutional window dressing and easing US-Iran tensions. However, the rally now faces a critical test as the US Dollar Index breaks to a 13-month high following the June FOMC meeting. Investors are closely watching Fed Chair Kevin Warsh's speech and this week's US jobs report, with further dollar strength potentially triggering a short-term bearish reversal in US equities.
01-07-2026 09:35 GMT by Kelvin Wong
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Chart alert: USD/JPY bullish break above 161.95 signals further yen weakness
USD/JPY has broken decisively above the critical 161.95 resistance level, signalling a continuation of its medium-term bullish trend despite repeated verbal intervention from Japanese officials. A widening US-Japan yield differential, expectations of further Federal Reserve tightening, Japan's expansive fiscal stimulus, and persistent foreign capital inflows into Japanese equities continue to weaken the yen. Traders now watch whether authorities move beyond rhetoric to direct FX intervention.
30-06-2026 07:18 GMT by Kelvin Wong
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US PCE inflation remains sticky in May as consumer spending accelerates; EURUSD reacts
May PCE inflation remained sticky at 4.1% headline and 3.4% core, underscoring persistent price pressures and supporting the Federal Reserve’s "higher for longer" policy outlook. Following the release, EURUSD has staged a technical breakout above its descending channel, with bullish momentum building. Explore our latest market analysis for insights into the economic drivers and key technical levels impacting the pair.
26-06-2026 00:15 GMT by Moheb Hanna
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Asia open: Micron earnings beat sparks global semiconductor rally, USD remains firm
Global technology stocks rebounded after Micron Technology delivered blockbuster FY Q3 earnings and record guidance, reinforcing confidence that AI infrastructure spending remains exceptionally resilient. Strong demand for HBM reignited semiconductor shares across Asia, while crude oil extended losses as the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz continued to unwind the geopolitical risk premium. Investors are now turning their focus to the US Core PCE inflation as the next major market catalyst.
25-06-2026 03:50 GMT by Kelvin Wong
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