Forex: all news & analysis

Explore our comprehensive Forex Archive, an essential resource that provides expert insights on price movements, trends, and the currency market. By analysing past price actions and key events, you can uncover vital market dynamics and elevate your understanding of effective trading strategies. Whether you're focusing on major currency pairs or emerging markets, our archive is packed with information to help you sharpen your trading decisions.

UK Budget 2025 Preview: Fiscal Drag, Wealth Tax, and Market Impact on GBP & Gilts
Previewing the Labour government's November 26 UK Budget. Chancellor Rachel Reeves faces a £20–30 billion fiscal hole, compelling the use of "stealth" taxation via fiscal drag and new wealth taxes (Capital Gains Tax, 'mansion tax'). This analysis explores the pressure from the OBR downgrade and the critical market implications for the British Pound (GBP/USD) and UK Gilts.
by Zain Vawda
Markets Today: Rate Cut Bets Surge, FTSE 100 Eyes Retest of 200-day MA, Geopolitics and US Retail Sales in Focus
Global stock markets rise on rate cut expectations from the Federal Reserve. Asian shares post modest gains, while European stocks are subdued ahead of key US economic data like producer inflation and retail sales. The report also covers a stable US dollar, falling oil prices, and rising gold prices on "dovish" Fed comments. Geopolitical developments in the Russia-Ukraine conflict and technical analysis for the FTSE 100 are also discussed.
by Zain Vawda
USD/JPY, the upcoming UK budget and RBA/Fed monetary policy
As we start week 48, join OANDA Senior Market Analyst Kelvin Wong and podcast host Jonny Hart as they discuss the end-of-week rally in US equities, the upcoming UK budget on Wednesday, ever-changing expectations of the FOMC meeting in December, as well as the latest on the FX markets, including JPY and AUD.
by Christian Norman
Markets Weekly Outlook - UK Budget in Focus as Global Equities Eye Recovery
A review of a volatile week in global markets where US equities recovered despite rate cut uncertainty. The US Dollar saw a strong week, but FX intervention fears grew around the Japanese Yen. The outlook for the week ahead focuses on the highly anticipated UK budget, key data releases from China and Japan, and a quiet US Thanksgiving week. Also includes a technical analysis of the US Dollar Index (DXY).
by Zain Vawda
EUR/USD technical analysis: Spotting Mean Reversion in the 2,000 pip Range
The EUR/USD is actively contracting into a tight 2,000-pip consolidation range between 1.15 and 1.17. Recent dollar demand from hawkish Fed repricing is being offset by dovish comments from NY Fed President Williams, which put the December rate cut back on the table (70% priced in). We analyze the EUR/USD in this rangebound, non-trending environment.
by Elior Manier
Euro Area Business Activity Remains Solid as EUR/USD Hovers Near Key Levels
Euro Area business activity remains solid in November, driven by services, but faces mixed signals with slowing new orders and rising costs. Q3 negotiated wages disappointed at 1.87% YoY. Technically, EUR/USD eyes a lower low, but this is contingent on the US Dollar Index not forming a double top. All eyes are on ECB President Lagarde's speech today regarding strengthening the Euro's world stage role.
by Zain Vawda
Bank of Japan on high alert: USD/JPY tests Key 158.00 Resistance
The USD/JPY pair is racing towards 158.00, up over 3% since November, driven by U.S. Dollar strength and the fiscally dovish stance of PM Takaichi. The rally persists despite high-level meetings and BoJ concern, forcing active pricing of intervention. Traders are testing the BoJ's resilience. We dive into a multi-timeframe analysis of USD/JPY from Weekly to intraday charts.
by Elior Manier
Markets Today: NFP in Focus as Rate Cut Bets Tumble, NVIDIA Earnings Boost Sentiment
Global markets rally on Nvidia's strong earnings, easing AI bubble fears. Asia and Europe see broad gains in tech and chip stocks. The US Dollar surges to a six-week high as hawkish Fed notes temper rate cut bets, pushing EUR, GBP, and JPY lower. Oil edges up on falling US supplies, but Gold is pressured. The focus now shifts to the long-delayed NFP report
by Zain Vawda
Nikkei 225: Bulls back in vogue with 4% “Takaichi Trade”rally
The Nikkei 225 is holding its medium-term uptrend as Japan’s yield-curve steepening, aggressive fiscal stimulus under PM Takaichi, and renewed yen weakness fuel foreign inflows. After retesting key support at 48,450, the index is building short-term bullish momentum, with a potential breakout above the 20-day moving average pointing toward 51,530 and 52,830.
by Kelvin Wong
NFP Preview: BLS Announces No October Report, November Report Delayed to After Fed Meeting. Rate Cut Bets Tumble Further, Implications for the DXY
The US Government shutdown has delayed the October/November NFP reports, making tomorrow's September jobs data crucial for the Fed's December meeting. This lack of official data has already caused rate cut expectations to tumble. This article provides a preview of what to expect from the September BLS report (50k jobs, 0.3% MoM wages, 4.3% unemployment) and its potential implications for the US Dollar Index (DXY).
by Zain Vawda
Markets Today: Bitcoin Slips Below $90000, Yen Eyes Recovery, Gold Hits 1-Week Lows as Markets Brace for US Data
Global markets slide as risk-off sentiment dominates ahead of major events: Nvidia's earnings and the crucial US jobs report. Asian and European stocks, especially tech and banking, fall on fears of an "AI bubble" and delayed US Federal Reserve rate cuts. Gold hits a 1-week low, Bitcoin dips, and the Japanese Yen gains as a safe-haven asset. Oil prices also drop.
by Zain Vawda
USD/JPY: Potential minor top at 155.30, USD at risk of bearish reversal towards 154.20/153.65
USD/JPY has surged to a 10-month high as the yen remains the weakest major currency, driven by political pressure for looser policy and rising intervention risk. Verbal warnings from Japan’s Finance Minister and today’s closely watched Ueda–Takaichi meeting could spark sharp volatility. Technical signals now point to fading upside momentum and the potential for a short-term bearish reversal.
by Kelvin Wong
Markets Today: China Industrial Output Hits 14-Month Lows as Wall Street Losses Spill Over into Asia, Europe
Global markets face a difficult session as Wall Street losses spill into Asia and Europe. Hawkish comments from Federal Reserve officials have dampened hopes for a December rate cut, while new data confirmed China's industrial output hit a 14-month low. Oil prices surged following a Ukrainian drone attack on a Russian export hub. Gold is up, supported by a weaker US Dollar. Markets await key economic data from France and the Eurozone.
by Zain Vawda
EUR/USD jumps from the recent dollar weakness and ECB President talks
The euro gained 1.5% since its early-November low, supported by resilient Eurozone data and growing investor confidence in Europe’s political and economic stability. With the US shutdown weighing on growth and fund managers diversifying away from the dollar, EUR/USD is rallying ahead of key ECB leadership developments.
by Elior Manier
DXY outlook: The dollar drops after the US Government reopens
The US Dollar (USD) rose sharply during the longest-ever US government shutdown but this seems to be reverting. Rate pricing shifted dramatically—December cut odds dropped from 98% to 54%. We examine the complex fundamental factors driving the Greenback, including changing Fed path expectations, and dive into a multi-timeframe analysis of the Dollar Index (DXY) chart.
by Elior Manier
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