Forex: all news & analysis

Explore our comprehensive Forex Archive, an essential resource that provides expert insights on price movements, trends, and the currency market. By analysing past price actions and key events, you can uncover vital market dynamics and elevate your understanding of effective trading strategies. Whether you're focusing on major currency pairs or emerging markets, our archive is packed with information to help you sharpen your trading decisions.

GBP/USD reaches 1.33, on top as ADP Employment Miss sends the dollar in a limbo
GBP/USD Technical Analysis: The Pound is the top performer after dismal US private employment data (ADP), which effectively locks in the Federal Reserve's rate cut. Sterling is also enjoying tailwinds from a new UK-US trade deal on pharmaceuticals and continued high Bank of England rates. We analyze the major FX pair after this strong move higher.
by Elior Manier
The US Dollar is lost in translation – Dollar Index (DXY) Outlook
The US Dollar's erratic movements are confusing market participants, rising and falling on dovish hopes for the upcoming Federal Reserve meeting. Liquidity concerns are amplifying the Greenback's volatility. The latest factor is news that the White House may be preparing for a defeat regarding tariffs. Diving into DXY (Dollar Index) charts.
by Elior Manier
Markets Today: Silver Hits $58/oz, Gold Soars to $4250/oz, China PMI at 4-Month Lows. Geopolitics and US PMI in Focus
Global markets show risk aversion with Asia and European stocks sliding. Silver and gold hit new highs ($58/oz, $4250/oz) on US Fed rate cut bets. China's manufacturing PMI hits 4-month lows, signaling slight contraction. Oil prices climb 2% on supply worries. The yen strengthens on Bank of Japan interest rate hike speculation. The week focuses on US PMI data.
by Zain Vawda
Markets Today: CME Glitch Halts Trading, German Retail Sales Fall, Ukraine-Russia in Focus, FTSE 100 Back Above 100-day MA
The market's 'Sombre Black Friday' opened with a major CME trading glitch, halting futures and currency markets. German retail sales unexpectedly fell, while French inflation held steady. European stocks and gold are being driven higher by growing bets on a US Federal Reserve interest rate cut. Geopolitical tensions between Russia and Ukraine continue to support oil prices. FTSE 100 rises above 100-day MA
by Zain Vawda
NZD/USD posts a major reversal higher after the RBNZ Cut – Technical Outlook
FX markets remain open during US Thanksgiving holiday, with the Kiwi Dollar (NZD) stealing the spotlight. After a struggling year, the NZD is surging on a strong Retail Sales beat. RBNZ Governor Hawkesby added fundamental support by stating future rate cuts face "significant hurdles," signaling the 2.25% rate is likely the lower bound. We analyze the NZD/USD pair on multiple timeframes.
by Elior Manier
The Bank of Japan's FX Intervention: Mechanism, Impact, and Historical Precedent
Bank of Japan's FX intervention. Explains the mechanism: MOF sets policy, BoJ executes. Details how interventions are funded (reserves vs. FBs) and their dual channels: Portfolio Balance and Signaling. Discusses why ZIRP limits effectiveness, making Signaling and credibility key. Includes historical precedents (2003-04 JPY-weakening, 2022/2024 JPY-strengthening).
by Zain Vawda
Forex technicals: GBP/JPY nears 15-month peak in rally ; Intervention from the Bank of Japan?
GBP/JPY is getting bought, driven by recent trends for the UK and Japan. PM Takaichi approved a massive $¥21$ trillion stimulus, which paradoxically increases pressure on the BoJ for a rate hike by Dec 18th. Meanwhile, the UK Budget's fiscally conservative stance is boosting the Pound, making it a top performer. If the current rally extends, the pair will target its July 2024 peak. We dive into a multi-timeframe analysis of GBP/JPY.
by Elior Manier
UK Budget 2025 Preview: Fiscal Drag, Wealth Tax, and Market Impact on GBP & Gilts
Previewing the Labour government's November 26 UK Budget. Chancellor Rachel Reeves faces a £20–30 billion fiscal hole, compelling the use of "stealth" taxation via fiscal drag and new wealth taxes (Capital Gains Tax, 'mansion tax'). This analysis explores the pressure from the OBR downgrade and the critical market implications for the British Pound (GBP/USD) and UK Gilts.
by Zain Vawda
Markets Today: Rate Cut Bets Surge, FTSE 100 Eyes Retest of 200-day MA, Geopolitics and US Retail Sales in Focus
Global stock markets rise on rate cut expectations from the Federal Reserve. Asian shares post modest gains, while European stocks are subdued ahead of key US economic data like producer inflation and retail sales. The report also covers a stable US dollar, falling oil prices, and rising gold prices on "dovish" Fed comments. Geopolitical developments in the Russia-Ukraine conflict and technical analysis for the FTSE 100 are also discussed.
by Zain Vawda
USD/JPY, the upcoming UK budget and RBA/Fed monetary policy
As we start week 48, join OANDA Senior Market Analyst Kelvin Wong and podcast host Jonny Hart as they discuss the end-of-week rally in US equities, the upcoming UK budget on Wednesday, ever-changing expectations of the FOMC meeting in December, as well as the latest on the FX markets, including JPY and AUD.
by Christian Norman
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