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Bad sentiment from UK Gilts mess-up and rising bond yields – Market wrap for the North American session - September 2

September 2nd North-American Session Recap – Yields rise, gold is up and volatility is back. Check up the Daily asset and FX performance, what changed fundamentally and what's coming up tomorrow.

02-09-2025 20:53 GMT by Elior Manier

Why are government bond yields rising so much as of late?

An explanation on why government yields are rising so much, amid the most recent run in the UK Gilts (government bonds). It is essential to understand why higher government debt forces higher yields. Check the few charts to spot these dynamics, and a good resume of what is happening in our economies. Also, a too long didn't read summary available in case.

02-09-2025 20:13 GMT by Elior Manier

Crypto market update – Cryptocurrencies still lack clear direction – BTC, SOL, XRP and SOL levels

Crypto markets show resilience after a weak start to September. Bitcoin rebounds from $107K, holding above the key $100K mark, while Ethereum recovers off $4,200 lows. Despite sluggish action, traders brace for Non-Farm Payrolls leading to intermediate bottoms. Explore intraday levels for BTC, ETH, XRP, and Solana in our latest analysis.

02-09-2025 16:21 GMT by Elior Manier

US ISM Manufacturing PMI releases at 48.7 vs 49.0, a small miss – Market reactions

The US ISM Manufacturing PMI came in at 48.7 vs 49.0 , missing expectations and staying in contraction. Tariffs remain a drag on production despite modest recovery from July’s lows. The USD weakened sharply after testing range highs. Equities, Treasuries, and EURUSD post-data reactions.

02-09-2025 14:13 GMT by Elior Manier

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US Dollar strengthens after Labor Day – DXY technical outlook

After a quiet Labor Day week, volatility returns as traders reassess Powell’s dovish shift and looming Fed cuts. The US Dollar holds firm while equities and crypto falter. Rising geopolitical tensions and a fresh UK Gilt selloff weigh on sentiment, leaving markets on edge ahead of September’s FOMC and Friday's NFP. Discover key technical levels for the USD.

02-09-2025 13:33 GMT by Elior Manier

Markets Today: Gold Hits Fresh All-Time Highs, Euro Area Inflation Edges Up & DAX Tumbles 1.3% Eyeing Support at the 100-day MA

Discover gold's new peak, rising Euro inflation, DAX fall, and increasing oil prices. Get market insights and analysis on today's moves.

02-09-2025 10:22 GMT by Zain Vawda

GBP/USD Technical: Sterling torpedoed by spike in 30-year gilt yield, watch the 1.3315/3280 key support

Sterling tumbled, losing 1.2% intraday against the dollar and ranking as the weakest major currency as of 2 September, with USD/GBP up 1.1%. The 30-year UK gilt yield surged 6 bps to 5.69%, its highest since 1998, as concerns over rising UK debt widened the risk premium. Drawing parallels with the 2022 gilt crisis, GBP/USD remains bearish below 1.3460, with supports eyed at 1.3370 and 1.3315/1.3280.

02-09-2025 09:36 GMT by Kelvin Wong

Gold (XAU/USD) Technical: Bullish acceleration supported rising implied volatility

Gold (XAU/USD) has broken above its four-month range resistance at US$3,435, closing at US$3,447 on 29 Aug and extending gains to US$3,476 on 1 Sep. Supported by rising implied volatility (GVZ) and bullish MACD signals, the yellow metal has entered a potential acceleration phase. A break above US$3,500 could open the way toward US$3,520–3,548, while US$3,451 remains the key short-term support.

02-09-2025 04:04 GMT by Kelvin Wong

WTI Oil Rallies 1% and Eyes Break of Key Confluence Level. Could a Rally to $70/Barrel Finally Materialize?

WTI Oil eyes a break of a key confluence level amidst rising geopolitical risks with Russia-Ukraine tensions stoking supply concerns. The article delves into Russia-Ukraine developments, Chevron's return to Venezuela, and the upcoming OPEC 8 meeting. Technical analysis may hold the key.

02-09-2025 03:05 GMT by Zain Vawda

EUR/USD Technical: Euro on the brink of a medium-term bullish breakout

EUR/USD is on the brink of a medium-term bullish breakout after a 1.6% rally to 1.1730 in mid-August. Price action has reclaimed the 20- and 50-day moving averages, while momentum remains supported above trendline levels. A bullish bias holds above 1.1650, with potential targets at 1.1770/1790 and 1.1830. Meanwhile, narrowing US–German 2Y yield spreads continue to weigh on the dollar, reinforcing euro strength.

01-09-2025 10:44 GMT by Kelvin Wong

Markets Today: Silver Hits Fresh All-Time Highs, Gold Up as Geopolitical Risks Rise, DAX Trades Below 50-day MA on US Labor Day Holiday

We cover global market movements including silver and gold hitting highs, mixed Asian markets with Alibaba up, and European stocks rising. It also details how US tariffs are impacting factory activity in Asia and the outlook for oil and major currencie

01-09-2025 09:21 GMT by Zain Vawda

Markets turn the page on August trading – Market wrap for the North American session - August 29

August 29th North-American Session Recap – Month-end flows brings volatility back on the table, with metals shining and currencies and cryptocurrencies falling. Check up the Daily asset and FX performance, what changed fundamentally and what's coming up tomorrow.

29-08-2025 20:20 GMT by Elior Manier

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Risk appetite takes a hit as Markets prepare for month-end, Silver breaks yearly highs

Some risk-off flows are degrading markets, with the up-move in metals degrading general sentiment – Silver just broke its yearly highs and the US Dollar took a hit today (still holding above weekly lows). Take a look at a global market picture as traders brace for month-end flows.

29-08-2025 18:41 GMT by Elior Manier

Markets Weekly Outlook – US Non-Farm Payrolls, US ISM Services PMIs and Eurozone Inflation

A week ahead preview: Muted trading builds impatience towards next week's key data releases – Participants won't move before knowing where US labor stands. Get ready for the upcoming week by looking at the past week's Market performance, what changed and the key events to expect in next week (incuding the infamous NFP report, all eyes are on this).

29-08-2025 15:08 GMT by Elior Manier

Gold (XAU/USD) Eyes Weekly Close Above $3400/oz on Renewed Haven Demand and DXY Weakness

Gold advances on haven demand & DXY weakness, eyeing $3400. Geopolitical risks from Russia-Ukraine & Iran-West tensions fuel surge. Technical analysis suggests caution despite macroeconomic support; Key US economic data next week could drive further moves.

29-08-2025 14:23 GMT by Zain Vawda

EURUSD rangebound in the waiting for further news – breakout levels

EUR/USD trading volumes shrank in the last week of August as traders await the NFP report. The canceled Zelenskyy-Putin meeting underscores geopolitical risks, while rangebound action continues to define the pair. Explore how to trade within the EURUSD range and identify potential breakout levels ahead of next week's US Non-Farm Payrolls.

29-08-2025 12:30 GMT by Elior Manier

USD/JPY Technical: Eyeing the ascending range support of 145.50

USD/JPY has extended its slide from the late-July peak of 150.92, falling -2.6% to 147.00. Fresh Tokyo core-core inflation data and stronger consumer confidence reinforced expectations for a potential 25bps BoJ rate hike in October, keeping pressure on the pair. With USD/JPY trading below its 20-day average and testing the 50-day, focus now shifts to US core PCE data later today, a key driver of Fed rate cut bets ahead of September’s FOMC.

29-08-2025 10:15 GMT by Kelvin Wong

Markets Today: German Unemployment at 10 Year Highs, FTSE Slides on Head & Shoulders Breakout. US PCE Up Next

German unemployment hits a 10-year high, FTSE 100 slides, and global markets react to inflation data and central bank actions. Asia sees a tech rally, while European stocks dip. Get insights on oil, gold, and currency movements, plus a technical analysis of the FTSE 100.

29-08-2025 10:15 GMT by Zain Vawda

Sterling Outlook Softens amid Sticky Inflation, Slowing Growth and Fiscal Strains

GBP outlook has turned bearish: Sticky inflation, slowing growth, and tight fiscal prospects tilt risks to the downside despite earlier stability versus G10. BoE likely to cut once more, then pause: After a split August 25 bp cut, a single 25 bp cut in November is plausible, with futures sceptical about further easing. Inflation is persistent and services-led: Core ~3.8% y/y; services ~5% y/y; broad pricing pressure and elevated expectations keep disinflation progress limited.

29-08-2025 07:26 GMT by Łukasz Zembik

How Currencies are Affected by Commodities: A Guide for Forex Traders

Zelenskyy-Putin talks get cancelled – Market wrap for the North American session - August 28

August 28th North-American Session Recap – Putin refuses to discuss with Zelenskyy in the latest round of geopolitical disappointment. Check up the Daily asset and FX performance, what changed fundamentally and what's coming up tomorrow.

28-08-2025 20:39 GMT by Elior Manier