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Nikkei 225 Update: Bullish impulsive sequence intact, new resistance levels to watch after new all-time high
The Japan 225 CFD Index has surged 5.5% since 6 Aug, breaking past its previous record of 42,513 to hit 43,009 in today’s Asia session, driven by banking stocks. The bullish impulsive sequence remains intact, with pivotal support at 41,975 and next resistances at 43,560 and 44,050/44,110. Technical signals, including Elliott Wave analysis and strong JGB yield curve trends, point to potential further upside in the near term.
by Kelvin Wong
Oil retreats back just above May’s trading range
Oil prices have struggled through 2025, pressured by OPEC+ supply reshuffles, Russia’s market flooding, weaker global outlooks, and Middle East tensions. As Trump and Putin prepare to meet ahead of potential tariffs on Russian exports, markets eye the possibility of a Ukraine cease-fire. We break down why WTI continues to find sellers and what technicals reveal for upcoming trading.
by Elior Manier
Bitcoin rejects the test of its all-time highs, is a double top in the making?
Taking a look at Bitcoin after Ethereum surged to $4,350 before consolidating near $4,200—a bullish sign for crypto markets. BTC followed with a rapid rally to $122,310, just shy of record highs, before profit-taking set in. We analyze through a multi-timeframe BTC analysis whether this marks a long-term top or sets the stage for new highs, as U.S. economic doubts and supportive crypto policies fuel momentum.
by Elior Manier
The US Dollar finds support ahead of US CPI
The U.S. Dollar steadies after last week’s slide driven by soft economic data, as traders brace for key inflation releases—CPI on Tuesday (+0.2% m/m, +2.8% y/y) and PPI on Thursday (+0.3% m/m, +2.5% y/y). With Trump’s tariffs now active, volatility is expected. We examine the Dollar Index after the concurring major currencies past week rally.
by Elior Manier
AUD/USD Technical: Further potential Aussie strength towards range resistance as RBA looms
Australia’s RBA is expected to cut rates by 25 bps to 3.6% on Tuesday, as inflation cools toward its 2%-3% target. The AUD/USD has rebounded from early August lows, holding above key supports and within a minor ascending channel. Technicals point to a bullish bias toward 0.6540/0.6580, while narrowing AU-US yield spreads may lend further upside support unless 0.6480 key support breaks.
by Kelvin Wong
Dow Jones clings to 44,000 level as buyers look to undo yesterday's selling
North American equities open in positive territory but still face work to recover from yesterday’s selloff. With no major U.S. data on tap, price action will be guided by normal flows and Fed commentary, as markets eye a largely priced-in September cut. We review Dow Jones technicals to see if buyers can regain control before the weekly close.
by Elior Manier
WTI Crude Forecast: Risk premium fades, supply pressures mount, bearish trend ahead
WTI crude oil prices have reversed sharply, falling 18% from their June highs as the geopolitical risk premium fades. Rising US crude inventories, potential easing of sanctions on Russian oil, and planned OPEC+ production hikes are adding downward pressure. Technical signals suggest the recent three-month rebound has ended, with a bearish trend likely to extend toward key support levels at $60.55, $55.00, and $50.50/49.10 unless prices break above $68.80.
by Kelvin Wong
USD/JPY Technical: Potential impending minor bullish breakout for Japanese yen
USD/JPY hit a four-month high of 150.92 on 1 Aug before reversing sharply, forming a weekly bearish “Shooting Star.” Price action now sits below its 20-day moving average, with a potential minor bearish breakdown looming under 148.15. A drop below 146.60 could open the path to 145.85 and 144.50, while a break above 148.15 may trigger a squeeze toward 148.75 and 149.50.
by Kelvin Wong
Dow Jones and major US indices drop from key levels – Technical Outlook
Despite a solid open and decent Jobless Claims data, equity markets are pulling back after a post-NFP rally that now looks shaky. With September cut odds surging and tariffs back in play, investors face conflicting signals. We step back to analyze higher timeframes and assess key technical levels in the Dow, S&P 500, and Nasdaq to navigate what lies ahead.
by Elior Manier
Why is the Pound rising after this morning's Bank of England rate cut?
The Bank of England surprised markets despite delivering a widely expected 25 bps rate cut to 4.00%. A rare split vote (5-4) and hawkish commentary from Governor Bailey sparked a rebound in the Pound, as traders shifted focus to the central bank's future path. We analyze GBP/USD technicals across multiple timeframes to assess the current momentum and outlook.
by Elior Manier
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