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Markets Weekly Outlook - The gavel falls on global tariffs as inflationary fears return to the fold
The week saw a US Supreme Court ruling strike down broad global tariffs, though the administration is quickly moving to rebuild trade barriers, suggesting the high-tariff era is not over. Markets reacted positively despite disappointing GDP and rising inflation fears, fueled by a surge in oil prices. The week ahead focuses on high-stakes corporate earnings, particularly Nvidia, and key economic data like the US Consumer Confidence index.
by Zain Vawda
Breaking News: US Supreme Court strikes down Trump tariffs
SCOTUS Breaking: The Supreme Court strikes down Trump’s global tariffs, ruling IEEPA cannot be used for import taxes. While Markets priced this in, a $175B refund "Pandora's Box" is opening. Market reactions: muted FX/Stock response as traders await Alternative Tariff paths already being prepped.
by Elior Manier
Breaking News: UK headline CPI cools, services sector inflation remains sticky. GBP/USD steady
UK inflation fell to a 10-month low of 3.0% in January 2026, driven by easing food and transport costs. With core inflation dropping to 3.1% and monthly prices reversing their recent climb, pressure is mounting on the Bank of England to pivot. This report explores how the latest CPI data paves the way for a potential interest rate cut to 3.5% at the upcoming March meeting.
by Zain Vawda
Breaking News: Canadian CPI eases from 3-month high, USD/CAD extends gains
Canada’s headline inflation eased to 2.3% in January 2026, landing just below market expectations. While a 16.7% plunge in gas prices drove transportation deflation, food and restaurant costs surged due to expiring tax breaks. With the trimmed-mean core rate hitting its lowest level since 2021, the Bank of Canada appears on track to hold interest rates steady as price pressures slowly stabilize.
by Zain Vawda
Breaking News: UK GDP underwhelms with 0.1% growth in Q4, FTSE 100 slips & GBP/USD advances
Preliminary ONS data shows the UK economy expanded by a disappointing 0.1% in Q4 2025. This sluggish growth was driven by a 1.2% rebound in the production sector, which was largely offset by a 2.1% contraction in construction and, more critically, a third consecutive month of zero growth in the dominant services sector. Markets reacted with volatility, as the FTSE 100 pulled back while GBP/USD advanced.
by Zain Vawda
Gold hits all-time high: Will FOMC's 'Hawkish Hold' trigger a profit-taking correction?
Gold hits an all-time high of $5,312.00 amid a parabolic rally fueled by a weak US Dollar and surging silver prices. This analysis explores the XAU/USD market's historic volatility ahead of the 2:00 PM EST FOMC decision, focusing on the risk of a profit-taking correction if Chair Powell strikes a 'Hawkish Hold' tone, especially with the Relative Strength Index (RSI) in 'overbought' territory (77.01).
by Moheb Hanna
Breaking News: UK GDP Expands 0.3% MoM, GBP Bid
UK GDP expanded by 0.3% MoM in November 2025, surpassing forecasts. The growth was led by the Services and Manufacturing sectors, with the car industry seeing a 25% jump in production after a cyberattack. Construction was the main weak spot, falling by 1.3%. The initial GBP strength against the USD proved short-lived, with a swift pullback in the Cable (GBP/USD).
by Zain Vawda
US CPI Releases As Expected (+0.3% vs 0.3% exp) – Market Reactions
CPI Data releases as Expected: Inflation aligns with forecasts as Headline CPI hits 0.3% m/m and Core cools to 2.6% y/y. We analyze the market relief despite lingering distrust following the firing of the BLS Head and the recent government shutdown. Plus, technical reactions for the Dollar, Dow, and Gold.
by Elior Manier
Markets Weekly Outlook - NFP Jobs Data in Focus in 1st Full Trading Week of 2026
The Weekly Market Outlook analyzes the first full trading week of 2026, with a primary focus on the crucial US NFP Jobs Data. The report discusses the "Low-Hire, Low-Fire" paradigm in the US, major UK retail updates after the "Golden Quarter," key inflation and trade data from the Asia-Pacific region, and a technical breakdown of the S&P 500 index
by Zain Vawda
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