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OPEC+: What to expect from the upcoming meeting
The text analyzes expectations ahead of Sunday’s OPEC+ meeting, highlighting that no significant production changes are anticipated. Oil prices are shaped mainly by geopolitical factors, especially ceasefire speculation in Ukraine. Internal tensions center on Iraq’s push for a higher quota, with the most probable result being only a modest technical adjustment to preserve group cohesion.
by Łukasz Zembik
Growing Oversupply in the Global Oil Market
Global oil supply pressures are rising as “oil on water” volumes surge, reflecting growing difficulty in placing crude on final markets. A significant share of the buildup comes from sanctioned barrels, especially Russian ones. New sanctions taking effect on November 21 may further increase floating oil volumes and deepen the emerging market surplus.
by Łukasz Zembik
Markets Weekly Outlook - Trump-Xi Meeting, Earnings & Central Banks
This weekly outlook covers a rollercoaster week for global markets, driven by US-China trade talks, geopolitical risks, and strong US earnings. It also details the performance of the US Dollar and FX, and provides a look ahead at central bank decisions, the upcoming Trump-Xi meeting, and key data releases impacting Asia Pacific markets.
by Zain Vawda
Gold (XAU/USD): Short-term bullish reversal triggered after 8% sell-off
Gold (XAU/USD) saw a sharp 8% intraday sell-off after reaching a record high of US$4,381, triggering a potential short-term bullish reversal. The decline likely stemmed from stop-loss triggers on leveraged long positions. Despite the volatility, the medium-term uptrend remains intact, supported by falling US real yields. Key support lies at US$4,056/4,000, with a rebound above US$4,203 potentially paving the way toward US$4,267–US$4,455 resistance levels.
by Kelvin Wong
Markets Weekly Outlook - Tesla, Netflix Earnings, US CPI and China's Five-Year Plan in Focus as US-China Tensions Simmer
US-China tensions, Gold's wild ride, and banking sector concerns that weighed on equities despite strong fund inflows. Look ahead to a packed week featuring key earnings from Tesla and Netflix, the must-watch US CPI inflation report, and China's pivotal Fourth Plenum meetings to define its next Five-Year Plan. Plus, a technical breakdown of the US Dollar Index (DXY) after breaking a three-day losing streak.
by Zain Vawda
USD/JPY: US-Japan yield spread breakdown signals further yen strength ahead in the near term
The USD/JPY lost bullish steam after peaking at 153.28 on 10 October, sliding 2.2% to 149.90 as U.S. dollar momentum faded. Political uncertainty over Japan’s LDP leadership and a breakdown in the 10-year U.S.-Japan sovereign yield spread below 2.47% reinforced yen strength. A failed bullish breakout above 150.50 signals downside risks, with near-term support at 149.05–148.55.
by Kelvin Wong
EUR/USD: Recent euro weakness stalled at 1.1530 key medium-term support with a minor “Double Bottom” bullish breakout
EUR/USD’s recent decline has likely found support, with the pair rebounding from 1.1530 — a key medium-term level, after forming a minor “Double Bottom” bullish breakout. Despite political instability in France and a temporary rise in Eurozone sovereign risk premia, improving stability and narrowing sovereign yield spreads (French/German) suggest renewed euro strength. Technically, EUR/USD remains in an “Ascending Triangle” formation, reinforcing the medium-term bullish trend since January 2025.
by Kelvin Wong
Hang Seng Index: At inflection zone for bullish reversal, medium-term uptrend intact
The Hang Seng Index is approaching an inflection zone for a potential bullish reversal, with its medium-term uptrend intact. Despite a 9% pullback on renewed US-China trade tensions, improving China inflation data, led by rising core CPI and easing PPI declines, has reduced deflation risks. Technically, the Hong Kong 33 CFD Index holds above key support at 25,140, with bullish momentum targeting 26,935 and 27,500.
by Kelvin Wong
JPMorgan (JPM) bullish reversal from 5% decline at key support as Q3 earnings loom
JPMorgan (JPM) experienced a bullish reversal from a 5% decline at key support as Q3 earnings loom. The company’s share price rebounded 2.4% after a brief correction from its record high, finding support near its 50-day moving average. The stock’s technicals suggest renewed bullish momentum ahead of its Q3 earnings release, where EPS is expected to rise 10% year-on-year, reinforcing strength in the broader Financials sector.
by Kelvin Wong
US September ISM Services PMI miss expectations – Market reactions
The US ISM Services PMI came in at 50.0 vs 51.6 expected, missing consensus and sliding from 52.0 prior. The weak print signals slowing momentum in the largest sector of the economy and raises questions about the durability of US growth. The USD eased on the release. Equities, Treasuries, and gold post-data reactions.
by Elior Manier
US JOLTS (Job Openings) beat expectations – Market reactions
The US JOLTS Job Openings report came in at 7.227M vs 7.190M expected, a small beat that points to resilient labor demand. The uptick from 7.184M prior eases fears of deterioration and trims 2026 cut expectations. The USD firmed on the release. Equities, Treasuries, and EURUSD post-data reactions.
by Elior Manier
US Home Sales explode ! Monday news recap for US markets and economy
US Pending Home Sales surged 4% vs 0.4% expected, reducing rate-cut hopes. While equities stay resilient—Nasdaq pushing toward record highs—gold extended its rally to $3,831. The dollar, meanwhile, is under pressure near the 98.00 handle, weighed by tariff rumors and looming US shutdown risks.
by Elior Manier
RBA's Bullock says inflation under control, Aussie steady
RBA Governor Bullock testified before lawmakers, saying that inflation was a in a good position but the Trump tariffs were a serious concern. In the US, there are five FOMC members delivering public comments and investors will be looking for clues about the Fed's rate path.
by Kenneth Fisher
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