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EUR/USD: Recent euro weakness stalled at 1.1530 key medium-term support with a minor “Double Bottom” bullish breakout
EUR/USD’s recent decline has likely found support, with the pair rebounding from 1.1530 — a key medium-term level, after forming a minor “Double Bottom” bullish breakout. Despite political instability in France and a temporary rise in Eurozone sovereign risk premia, improving stability and narrowing sovereign yield spreads (French/German) suggest renewed euro strength. Technically, EUR/USD remains in an “Ascending Triangle” formation, reinforcing the medium-term bullish trend since January 2025.
by Kelvin Wong
Hang Seng Index: At inflection zone for bullish reversal, medium-term uptrend intact
The Hang Seng Index is approaching an inflection zone for a potential bullish reversal, with its medium-term uptrend intact. Despite a 9% pullback on renewed US-China trade tensions, improving China inflation data, led by rising core CPI and easing PPI declines, has reduced deflation risks. Technically, the Hong Kong 33 CFD Index holds above key support at 25,140, with bullish momentum targeting 26,935 and 27,500.
by Kelvin Wong
JPMorgan (JPM) bullish reversal from 5% decline at key support as Q3 earnings loom
JPMorgan (JPM) experienced a bullish reversal from a 5% decline at key support as Q3 earnings loom. The company’s share price rebounded 2.4% after a brief correction from its record high, finding support near its 50-day moving average. The stock’s technicals suggest renewed bullish momentum ahead of its Q3 earnings release, where EPS is expected to rise 10% year-on-year, reinforcing strength in the broader Financials sector.
by Kelvin Wong
US September ISM Services PMI miss expectations – Market reactions
The US ISM Services PMI came in at 50.0 vs 51.6 expected, missing consensus and sliding from 52.0 prior. The weak print signals slowing momentum in the largest sector of the economy and raises questions about the durability of US growth. The USD eased on the release. Equities, Treasuries, and gold post-data reactions.
by Elior Manier
US JOLTS (Job Openings) beat expectations – Market reactions
The US JOLTS Job Openings report came in at 7.227M vs 7.190M expected, a small beat that points to resilient labor demand. The uptick from 7.184M prior eases fears of deterioration and trims 2026 cut expectations. The USD firmed on the release. Equities, Treasuries, and EURUSD post-data reactions.
by Elior Manier
US Home Sales explode ! Monday news recap for US markets and economy
US Pending Home Sales surged 4% vs 0.4% expected, reducing rate-cut hopes. While equities stay resilient—Nasdaq pushing toward record highs—gold extended its rally to $3,831. The dollar, meanwhile, is under pressure near the 98.00 handle, weighed by tariff rumors and looming US shutdown risks.
by Elior Manier
RBA's Bullock says inflation under control, Aussie steady
RBA Governor Bullock testified before lawmakers, saying that inflation was a in a good position but the Trump tariffs were a serious concern. In the US, there are five FOMC members delivering public comments and investors will be looking for clues about the Fed's rate path.
by Kenneth Fisher
Bank of England holds rates, British Pound slips
The BoE didn't surprise and held rates at 4% at today's meeting. Governor Bailey noted that inflation remains high and the Bank's forecast shows that employment growth is at zero. The Fed lowered rates for the first time in nine months, citing the cooling labor market as the main factor behind the rate cut.
by Kenneth Fisher
New Zealand dollar sinks on soft GDP
New Zealand's economy declined 0.9% q/q in the second quarter following a 0.9% gain in Q1. The Federal Reserve delivered a rate cut for the first time since December 2024 and signaled two more rate cuts before the end of the year.
by Kenneth Fisher
UK inflation unchanged at 3.8%, pound shrugs
UK inflation was unchanged at 3.8%, a 19-month high. Core CPI eased to 3.6% from 3.8%, well above the BoE target of 2%. The Federal Reserve is widely expected to lower rates by a quarter-point at today's meeting.
by Kenneth Fisher
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