Forex: all news & analysis

Explore our comprehensive Forex Archive, an essential resource that provides expert insights on price movements, trends, and the currency market. By analysing past price actions and key events, you can uncover vital market dynamics and elevate your understanding of effective trading strategies. Whether you're focusing on major currency pairs or emerging markets, our archive is packed with information to help you sharpen your trading decisions.

Tokyo inflation rises, keeping BOJ on track for rate hike

Tokyo inflation accelerated in February, with Tokyo Core CPI rising to 2.4%, up from 2.2% which was also the market estimate. The strong inflation report supports another rate hike from the Bank of Japan, which could come as early as May.

28-03-2025 09:35 GMT by Kenneth Fisher

Japanese yen flirts with 151 line, Tokyo Core CPI next

Japan releases a key inflation indicator, Tokyo Core CPI on Friday, with a market estimate of 2.2% for February. This would be unchanged from the previous release. Bank of Japan Governor Ueda said on Wednesday that if rising food prices persist, the BoJ would have to raise interest rates. US GDP ticked higher to 2.4% in the fourth quarter, up from 2.3% in the previous estimate.

27-03-2025 18:25 GMT by Kenneth Fisher

GBP/JPY Forecast: Triangle Breakout Signals Potential Bullish Rally to 2007 Highs

GBP/JPY shows a potential bullish rally after a triangle breakout. Despite mixed economic data, price action suggests a significant move toward 222.00, last seen in 2007. Technical analysis highlights key support & resistance levels. Key levels for potential pullback opportunities also analyzed.

27-03-2025 14:05 GMT by Zain Vawda

Australia's CPI drops unexpectedly, Aussie shrugs

Australia's inflation rate surprised with a slight decline in February. CPI eased to 2.4% y/y from 2.5% a month earlier. This was the lowest inflation rate since Nov. 2024 and supports the case for a rate cut in May.

26-03-2025 16:45 GMT by Kenneth Fisher

UK Inflation Cools More Than Expected, Pound Loses Ground

UK inflation eased to 2.8% in February, below the January gain of 3.0% and the market estimate of 2.9%. Still, the Bank of England remains concerned about the upside risk to inflation - services inflation remains sticky and was unchanged at 5% in January. The drop in inflation is good news for Finance Minister Rachel Reeves, who delivered the Spring Statement earlier today.

26-03-2025 13:45 GMT by Kenneth Fisher

Gold Price Forecast: Will Tariffs and ETF Demand Drive XAU/USD Higher?

Gold prices face resistance despite tariff threats. ETF flows surge to 2022 highs, indicating strong demand. Technical analysis shows Gold is rangebound with key support and resistance levels.

26-03-2025 13:42 GMT by Zain Vawda

Australian dollar extends gains, Australian inflation next

Australia's inflation report for Febraury is expected to remain unchanged at 2.5% y/y, above the Reserve Bank's 2% target. The Federal Reserve is expected to cut rates twice this year but Atlanta Fed President Bostic said he favored just one rate cut due to the uncertainty over inflation.

25-03-2025 18:35 GMT by Kenneth Fisher

EUR/USD Forecast: Will Tariffs or Data Drive the Pair?

EUR/USD faces volatility amid tariff uncertainty and mixed US data. German data offers optimism. Technical analysis points to potential bullish breakout with key resistance at 1.0500, 1.0600, and 1.0700 and support at 1.0425, 1.0350, and 1.0293. Upcoming US Core PCE report is crucial.

25-03-2025 18:32 GMT by Zain Vawda

Japanese yen recovers after hawkish Bank of Japan minutes

The yen has bounced back today after declining almost 1% a day earlier. The BoJ minutes from the January meeting were on the hawkish side, as most members favored further rate hikes if growth and inflation evolved as the Bank expected. BOJ Core inflation remained at 2.2%, in line with expectations and its highest level in 11 months.

25-03-2025 12:25 GMT by Kenneth Fisher

Navigating the US Dollar (DXY): Tariffs, Data, and Technicals

The US Dollar Index (DXY) hit a 3-week high on positive US business activity data and hopes for less severe tariffs. Services PMI drove growth while manufacturing contracted. Market focus turns to PCE data and tariff developments due April 2nd, which could significantly impact the Dollar.

24-03-2025 19:53 GMT by Zain Vawda

Japan's core CPI higher than expected, yen weakens to 150

Japan's core inflation fell to 3% in February but this was above the market estimate of 2.9%. Headline inflation fell to 3.7% from 4%, lower than the market estimate of 4.2%. The Bank of Japan is expected to continue raising rates, most likely in June or July. In the US, New York Fed President Williams said that monetary policy was in the right spot, given the risk of higher inflation and lower growth.

24-03-2025 13:30 GMT by Kenneth Fisher

AUD/USD Outlook: Technical factors are supporting a potential Aussie dollar bearish move

RBA’s less dovish stance and China’s stimulus are creating a floor on the AUD/USD but technical factors are suggesting another bearish move.

24-03-2025 11:00 GMT by Kelvin Wong

Markets Weekly Outlook - US Dollar, Inflation & PMI Data Analysis

The weekly outlook analyzes recent market struggles, noting investor concerns over US trade policies and inflation. We preview key economic data releases, including PMI and inflation figures from the US, Europe, UK, and Asia Pacific. Lastly, we look at the US Dollar's recent rally and provide technical analysis of the DXY, along with important support and resistance levels to watch.

21-03-2025 09:46 GMT by Zain Vawda

Bank of Japan maintains rate, yen hits 150

The Bank of Japan held rates at 0.50% at today's meeting, as expected. The Bank said that inflation was moving higher but expressed concern about US trade policy. The yen continues to lose ground and hit 150 earlier. The Federal Reserve meets later today and is virtually certain to maintain interest rates.

19-03-2025 10:40 GMT by Kenneth Fisher

FOMC & Market Impact: Inflation, Rates, and the US Dollar

Preview of the March 19, 2025, FOMC meeting. Explore the Fed's expected decisions on interest rates amid mixed economic signals. Analysis of inflation, labor market, and consumer sentiment. Key focus on Powell's press conference and US Dollar Index technical outlook.

18-03-2025 19:31 GMT by Zain Vawda

Bank of Japan expected to maintain rate on global growth worries, yen close to 150 line

The Bank of Japan meets on Wednesday and is widely expected to hold rates, after a hike in January. With wages and inflation moving higher, the BoJ is expected to continue raising rates later in the year. In the US, retail sales gained 0.2% as consumers are concerned about the economic outlook and are worried about the escalating trade war triggered by US tariffs.

18-03-2025 18:25 GMT by Kenneth Fisher

GBP/USD Analysis: Testing 1.3000 Resistance Amid Central Bank Uncertainty. Will Cable Break 1.3000?

GBP/USD hits a four-month high near 1.3000 amid US Dollar weakness. Central bank meetings (Fed & BoE) this week could bring consolidation. Key support levels: 1.2864, 1.2797, 1.2654. Resistance levels: 1.3140, 1.3210, 1.3250. Watch for a daily close above 1.3000 for bullish continuation.

18-03-2025 16:42 GMT by Zain Vawda

Canada's CPI expected to rise

Canada releases CPI for February, which is expected to accelerate to 2.1% from 1.9%. Inflation has remained around the Bank of Canada's 2% target but the trade dispute with the US could boost inflation. US retail sales posted a weak gain of 0.2% after a 1.2% decline in January.

18-03-2025 12:50 GMT by Kenneth Fisher

USD/JPY Outlook: The US dollar bounce against the yen may face headwinds soon

The downward trajectory of the 10-year & 2-year yield spreads of US Treasuries/JGBs is likely to support a medium-term downtrend phase of the USD/JPY despite the recent rebound seen since 11 March.

18-03-2025 10:20 GMT by Kelvin Wong

Gold Price Outlook: ETF Flows, Central Bank Buying, and XAU/USD Price Targets

Gold tests $3000 as ETF inflows and central bank buying surge. Geopolitical tensions and economic uncertainty drive demand. Technical analysis eyes key support and resistance levels for XAU/USD's next move. Will it break and hold above $3000?

17-03-2025 16:39 GMT by Zain Vawda

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