Forex: all news & analysis

Explore our comprehensive Forex Archive, an essential resource that provides expert insights on price movements, trends, and the currency market. By analysing past price actions and key events, you can uncover vital market dynamics and elevate your understanding of effective trading strategies. Whether you're focusing on major currency pairs or emerging markets, our archive is packed with information to help you sharpen your trading decisions.

USD/JPY: A medium-term yen bullish breakout looms, watch 146.30

The Japanese yen is poised for a medium-term breakout against the US dollar as macro factors and momentum align with the BoJ’s gradual policy normalization. The Q3 Tankan survey showed further improvement, while narrowing US-Japan yield spreads and a weakening US Treasury premium add pressure on USD/JPY. A break below 146.30 could trigger a bearish impulse, shifting the pair into a multi-week downtrend.

02-10-2025 05:14 GMT by Kelvin Wong

S&P 500 and Nasdaq reach ATH despite the US Shutdown – Market wrap for the North American session - October 1

October 1st North-American Session Recap – A new month welcomes buying flows in Gold and US Stocks yet again despite the US Government shutdown. Check up the Daily asset and FX performance, what changed fundamentally and what's coming up tomorrow.

01-10-2025 20:48 GMT by Elior Manier

USD lower, Stocks higher from the US Government shutdown — North American mid-week Market update

Mid-Week update for North-American Markets – USD takes a hit but stocks don't care much woth the US Government shutdown currently ongoing. Taking a look at NA index and currency performance combined with a USDCAD intraday chart to spot what's next for American Markets.

01-10-2025 19:46 GMT by Elior Manier

Markets Today: Euro Area Inflation Ticks Up, Gold Eyes $3900/oz, DAX Breaches Confluence Level & US Government Shutdown in Focus

Euro Area inflation ticks up, gold eyes $3900/oz, DAX breaches confluence level & US government shutdown in focus. Japanese stocks sell-off, Nikkei at three-week lows. European stocks rise, led by healthcare. US dollar drops, gold surges to record high. Economic calendar and technical analysis of DAX index.

01-10-2025 11:25 GMT by Zain Vawda

EUR/USD bearish move below parity on hold for now

EUR/USD: Euro bulls ignite as US government shuts down

The US government has shut down for the first time in nearly seven years, fueling EUR/USD gains as political brinkmanship heightens ahead of the 2026 midterms. Rising unemployment risks and Trump’s proposal for mass layoffs have boosted Fed rate cut bets, steepening the Eurozone/US policy rate spread. With momentum shifting, EUR/USD’s medium-term uptrend remains intact, eyeing resistances at 1.1820–1.1910 in the near-term.

01-10-2025 08:50 GMT by Kelvin Wong

AUD/USD Forecast: Are Fresh Highs Incoming After RBA Rate Hold?

AUD/USD rises after RBA rate hold, with eyes on US government shutdown and NFP data. Technical analysis suggests further upside, with resistance levels at 0.6684, 0.6750, and 0.7000. Support levels are 0.6542, 0.6522, and 0.6500.

30-09-2025 22:32 GMT by Zain Vawda

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Erratic September Month-end flows – Market wrap for the North American session - September 30

September 30th North-American Session Recap – Erratic flows to wrap-up this September month, with some interesting fundamental contradictions for the US. Check up the Daily asset and FX performance, what changed fundamentally and what's coming up tomorrow.

30-09-2025 20:41 GMT by Elior Manier

Japanese yen could be one of the best performers for the end of the year

The Japanese yen is regaining strength, challenging the AUD as the week’s top FX performer. With political shifts, stronger economic data, and the Bank of Japan signaling a move toward policy normalization, USD/JPY and other yen crosses face pivotal levels into year-end.

30-09-2025 19:44 GMT by Elior Manier

How Currencies are Affected by Commodities: A Guide for Forex Traders

Taking a step back – key long-term market charts and levels

With daily headlines blurring long-term trends, traders benefit from stepping back to higher timeframes. This weekly outlook reviews the S&P 500, Bitcoin, Oil, and Gold, highlighting prevailing market direction and key support/resistance levels to watch in the coming sessions.

30-09-2025 16:37 GMT by Elior Manier

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US JOLTS (Job Openings) beat expectations – Market reactions

The US JOLTS Job Openings report came in at 7.227M vs 7.190M expected, a small beat that points to resilient labor demand. The uptick from 7.184M prior eases fears of deterioration and trims 2026 cut expectations. The USD firmed on the release. Equities, Treasuries, and EURUSD post-data reactions.

30-09-2025 14:18 GMT by Elior Manier

Madame Lagarde speaking now, German inflation got released – Euro intraday levels

German inflation rose 0.2% m/m, slightly above forecasts, lifting y/y to 2.4%. The data keeps ECB policy expectations unchanged, with markets now shifting focus to Eurozone retail sales and employment. Lagarde’s live speech in Helsinki could add context to the Euro’s next move—see key levels and charts inside.

30-09-2025 12:58 GMT by Elior Manier

Markets Today: Gold Retreats from Fresh Highs, China Manufacturing PMI at 6 Months Highs, FTSE Retests Support

Gold retreats from fresh highs, China manufacturing PMI at 6-month highs, and the FTSE retests support. European stocks are cautious amid a potential US government shutdown. Oil prices dropped due to increased supply expectations. The economic calendar shows mixed data for Europe, with central bank speakers and US consumer confidence ahead. The FTSE 100 index is at a critical technical juncture

30-09-2025 09:17 GMT by Zain Vawda

The week ahead preview with bullish Gold, a retreat in USD as US government shut down looms

Gold enters the week on a bullish footing as safe-haven demand strengthens, while the USD faces retreat pressures with investor caution rising ahead of a potential US government shutdown. Market focus will be on whether political gridlock drives further risk aversion, supporting gold’s upside momentum and weighing on the greenback.

30-09-2025 06:29 GMT by Kelvin Wong

AUD/NZD: Bullish en route towards a 10-year high at 1.1470 with a less dovish RBA

The RBA is expected to hold rates at 3.6% today after August’s third cut this year, as Australia’s labour market stays tight and CPI rose to 3% y/y in August, its highest since July 2024. In contrast, New Zealand faces rising unemployment at 5.2%, fueling expectations of a more dovish RBNZ. Widening AU–NZ yield spreads continue to support AUD/NZD strength, with the pair near a three-year high at 1.1390 and eyeing resistance at 1.1470.

30-09-2025 04:03 GMT by Kelvin Wong

Peace in the Middle East ? – Market wrap for the North American session - September 29

September 29th North-American Session Recap – Peace in the Middle East could be close with the latest deal announcement. Government shutdown in the US may also shake things up in Markets in the waiting of Friday's NFP report . Check up the Daily asset and FX performance, what changed fundamentally and what's coming up tomorrow.

29-09-2025 21:24 GMT by Elior Manier

US Home Sales explode ! Monday news recap for US markets and economy

US Pending Home Sales surged 4% vs 0.4% expected, reducing rate-cut hopes. While equities stay resilient—Nasdaq pushing toward record highs—gold extended its rally to $3,831. The dollar, meanwhile, is under pressure near the 98.00 handle, weighed by tariff rumors and looming US shutdown risks.

29-09-2025 14:12 GMT by Elior Manier

Markets Today: Gold Rallies 1.5% to Trade Above $3800/oz, US Government Shutdown in Focus & FTSE 100 Runs Into Resistance

Gold rallies, US government shutdown concerns, and FTSE 100 resistance dominate markets. Asia sees mixed results with Topix at an all-time high and Nikkei retreating. European stocks are up, led by healthcare and tech. The US dollar weakens, while the euro and pound strengthen. Oil prices fall due to increased supply, and gold surges past $3,800/oz on rate cut expectations. Economic data and central bank speakers are in focus.

29-09-2025 09:04 GMT by Zain Vawda

The UN assembly continues to make headlines – Market wrap for the North American session - September 26

September 26th North-American Session Recap – The week wraps on mean-reversion flows and UN Assembly headlines. Check up the Daily asset and FX performance, what changed fundamentally and what's coming up tomorrow.

26-09-2025 20:55 GMT by Elior Manier

US Dollar Index (DXY): How Sustainable is the Recent Rally? Morningstar Pattern Hints at Further Upside

US Dollar Index (DXY) rallies on strong US data, with a Morningstar pattern hinting at further upside. Economic growth, consumer spending, and durable goods orders show improvement, while jobless claims drop. Upcoming data, including housing and jobs, will determine if the USD can maintain its gains. The Federal Reserve is expected to cut interest rates in October and December. Technical analysis shows a break of the long-term descending trendline and bullish momentum.

26-09-2025 18:12 GMT by Zain Vawda

Tokyo Core CPI remains unchanged, US PCE Index ticks higher, yen stabilizes

Tokyo Core CPI remained unchanged at 2.5% y/y, lower than the market estimate. In the US, the PCE Price Index ticked higher to 2.7% from 2.6%, matching the market estimate.

26-09-2025 12:40 GMT by Kenneth Fisher

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