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US private data shows resilience – Market wrap for the North American session - November 5

November 5th North-American Session Recap – Risk-assets make a comeback after the positive US data and strong overnight flows. Check up the Daily asset and FX performance, what changed fundamentally and what's coming up tomorrow.

06-11-2025 00:31 GMT by Elior Manier

North American mid-week Market update – Some reversal in 2025 flows

Mid-Week update for North-American Markets – The ASEAN summit brought some reversals in the 2025 Buy stocks, Sell dollar flows. Taking a close look at NA index and currency performance combined with a USD/CAD intraday chart to spot what's next for American Markets.

05-11-2025 22:31 GMT by Elior Manier

Services PMI and ADP beats fuel US stock market return

US indices stage a widespread rally as positive economic data reduce fears of a deteriorating labor market and slowing service sector. ADP report and Services PMI beat expectations, fueling a dip-buying recovery that helped the S&P 500 fill its recent gap. We review intraday charts and levels.

05-11-2025 18:31 GMT by Elior Manier

US Dollar (DXY) Jumps Past 100.00: Fed Rate Cut Bets Fall & Strong US Data. Will this Continue Throughout Q4?

The US Dollar Index (DXY) pushes past 100.00 as markets pull back on Fed rate cut expectations and US ADP/PMI data surprise to the upside. The article analyzes DXY's short-term strength, longer-term bearish forecasts due to political influence on the Fed, and technical signals pointing to a potential rebound.

05-11-2025 15:57 GMT by Zain Vawda

US Dow Jones: A star performer amid the current US AI stocks sell-off

The Dow Jones outperformed amid the US AI stocks sell-off, dipping just 0.5% as the Nasdaq 100 and S&P 500 slumped 2.1% and 1.2% following an 8% plunge in Palantir. Despite concerns over lofty AI valuations, US financial giants like JPMorgan and Goldman Sachs held firm, supporting Dow resilience. Technical signals now point to a potential short-term bullish reversal as the index tests its 20-day moving average.

05-11-2025 10:25 GMT by Kelvin Wong

Markets Today: China Services PMI Hits 3-Month Low, Equities Slide, FTSE 100 Eyes Fresh Highs

Market Turmoil: Asian tech shares and European stocks fell globally amid worries over high valuations. Japan and South Korea saw the steepest drops, while China's market closed higher despite its Services PMI hitting a three-month low. The US dollar stayed strong as focus shifts to the ADP jobs report for hints on the Fed's rate cuts. Oil and gold saw mixed movements. FTSE 100 eyes correction.

05-11-2025 08:56 GMT by Zain Vawda

Nikkei 225: Plummeted towards a key inflection support zone at 49,370/48,450 for potential bullish reversal

The Nikkei 225 has sharply corrected 6.6% from its record high of 52,664, sliding toward a key inflection zone at 49,370/48,450, a potential setup for a short-term bullish reversal. Despite the pullback, Japan’s economy remains resilient, with the Citigroup Economic Surprise Index rising to 16.8, signalling stronger-than-expected data. Technical indicators suggest the Nikkei 225 may soon rebound as momentum stabilizes near its 20-day moving average.

05-11-2025 05:43 GMT by Kelvin Wong

Gold (XAU/USD) Price Slips 1.5% as $4000/oz Handle Remains Elusive. What Comes Next?

Gold (XAU/USD) price drops 1.5% as the $4000/oz level remains elusive. The decline is driven by US Dollar strength and the Federal Reserve's "higher-for-longer" interest rate outlook, which makes gold less attractive. Technical analysis points to further slides toward $3782-$3797 if $4000/oz remains elusive.

04-11-2025 19:50 GMT by Zain Vawda

GBP/USD Price Forecast: Cable plummets to fresh seven-month lows ahead of BoE decision

Trading at 1.30244, a level last seen in early April, GBP/USD has fallen 0.87% in today’s session alone. Continuing a period of bearish momentum, cable is now on pace for its worst two-weekly performance since November 2024, with four days to spare until the candle closes. Recently breaking through previously held support and the 200-day SMA, one has to ask: What’s next for GBP/USD?

04-11-2025 19:29 GMT by Christian Norman

AUD/USD: Found support again at 0.6515, what’s next as RBA looms

The Australian dollar (AUD/USD) holds key support at 0.6515 ahead of the RBA meeting as traders eye a possible pause in rate cuts. Hotter inflation and stronger services PMI data suggest the RBA may turn less dovish, boosting near-term AUD strength. A breakout above 0.6560 could extend gains toward 0.6620, while a drop below 0.6515 risks renewed downside momentum.

04-11-2025 02:20 GMT by Kelvin Wong

Gold (XAU/USD) Price Forecast: Bullion buoyant above $4,000, now looks for support ahead of ADP payrolls

Trading at $4,008 well into the US session, up +0.14% in today’s trading, gold bullion continues to look for support at the key psychological level of $4,000. With the US government shutdown still ongoing, US data releases remain sparse. Eyes now turn to the private release of ADP payrolls this Wednesday, which will likely offer some insight into how the Fed will continue its easing cycle.

03-11-2025 17:04 GMT by Christian Norman

Markets Today: Gold in Focus as China Cuts Tax-Break, Asian Factory Orders Slump and FTSE 100 Breaks Trendline

Gold dips as China cuts a tax break. Asian stocks are up on trade optimism and AI, but factory orders slump due to low US demand. European shares are steady; Campari falls on a tax probe, while GTT and BP gain. The USD strengthens, Yen/Euro/Pound weaken ahead of central bank meetings. Includes a look at FTSE 100 technicals.

03-11-2025 09:06 GMT by Zain Vawda

WTI Price Forecast: Crude to end week in the red after Tuesday’s sell-off

Currently trading at $61.19 per barrel, crude looks set to end this week’s trading in the red. Unable to pare losses made during Tuesday’s sell-off, where crude pricing fell around 2.23%, WTI trades 0.90% higher in today’s session, and crucially, remains above the key psychological level of $60. What’s next for crude oil?

31-10-2025 21:53 GMT by Christian Norman

Markets Weekly Outlook - BoE Meeting in Focus, US Government Shutdown Continues

Weekly Outlook: Markets closed positively despite risks, cheered by the US-China trade deal and strong 'magnificent 7' earnings. The Fed's hawkish rate cut boosted the US Dollar, weakening JPY, EUR, and GBP. The week ahead focuses on the crucial Bank of England decision, the ongoing US government shutdown's economic impact, and key Asia Pacific data (RBA, China trade).

31-10-2025 20:17 GMT by Zain Vawda

Fed Eases with Caution, BoJ Signals Rate Hike – Global Monetary Policy at a Crossroads

The Fed cuts rates again but signals caution, while the Bank of Japan hints at a December hike. We break down the diverging paths of monetary policy and their impact on markets, including sharp moves in USD/JPY.

31-10-2025 17:42 GMT by Krzysztof Kamiński

Nasdaq 100: Short-term bullish trend remains intact despite a less dovish Powell

Nasdaq 100 holds its short-term uptrend despite a 1.5% dip on Meta’s AI capex concerns and Powell’s cautious Fed comments. Compressed Treasury volatility (MOVE Index) supports risk-on sentiment, while strong Apple and Amazon earnings boost futures. Key technical levels at 25,745–25,800 and a bullish hourly RSI breakout point to continued short-term upside for the Nasdaq 100.

31-10-2025 09:11 GMT by Kelvin Wong

GBP/USD Price Forecast: Cable to test 5-month lows of 1.31400 as fiscal worries worsen

Falling under 1.32000 yesterday, GBP/USD currently trades 1.3176, down -0.13%. Succumbing to selling pressure, yesterday’s session goes on record as cable’s worst daily performance in thirty-four days. GBP/USD now looks for support both at monthly lows and the 200-day SMA, or will risk a further move to the downside. What’s next for GBP/USD?

30-10-2025 11:13 GMT by Christian Norman

Gold (XAU/USD) on pace for worst two-weekly performance since November 2024: Can support be found at $4,000?

Gold currently looks for support around the key psychological level of $4,000, having only surpassed $3,000 in recent memory. While supported well on a fundamental basis, technical selling and profit-taking are offering short-term downside. Safe-haven demand is also uncertain due to a scheduled meeting between Trump and Xi Jinping.

29-10-2025 17:45 GMT by Christian Norman

U.S. Companies Surprise with Strong Sales Results

Nearly 70% of S&P 500 companies exceeded sales forecasts in Q3 2025, marking the best performance in four years. The data confirm the strong resilience of U.S. corporations despite inflation and higher interest rates. Markets now await results from the Magnificent Seven, expected to have a greater impact on sentiment than the Federal Reserve’s upcoming policy decision.

29-10-2025 13:00 GMT by Łukasz Zembik

Fed (FOMC) Meeting Preview: 25 Bps Cut Incoming, Implications for the US Dollar (DXY)

The Federal Reserve is expected to cut interest rates by 25 basis points, setting the target rate at 3.75% to 4.00%. Despite strong GDP growth, the decision is driven by a weakening job market and a willingness to overlook inflation caused by tariffs. A government shutdown has created a "data blind spot," forcing the Fed to rely on private data. The US Dollar's immediate movement will depend on Chair Powell's commentary compared to market expectations.

29-10-2025 08:57 GMT by Zain Vawda