Canada releases GDP later today, with a weak gain of 0.1% expected. In the US, Core PCE is expected to remain unchanged at 0.3%.
29-08-2025 11:40 GMT
by Kenneth Fisher
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US GDP was revised higher in the second estimate to 3.3%, up from 3.0% in the initial estimate. This is a sharp turnaround from the 0.5% contraction in Q1. Germany releases CPI on Friday, with a market estimate of 0% m/m for August.
28-08-2025 14:20 GMT
by Kenneth Fisher
US GDP Q2 2025 up 3.3%. Gold above $3400/oz, eying $3500/oz ATH. USD unfazed. Economy grew due to fewer imports & increased spending, despite less investment & exports. Prices up 1.8%, consumer prices up 2.0% (2.5% ex food/energy). Golden cross pattern developing for gold.
28-08-2025 13:00 GMT
by Zain Vawda
Japan releases Tokyo core CPI early on Friday. Japan's inflation rate has been falling, and the market estimate for the reading stands at 2.5% in August, compared to 2.9% in July. In the US, second-estimate GDP for Q2 is expected to be upwardly revised to 3.1% from 3.0%.
28-08-2025 11:25 GMT
by Kenneth Fisher
Australia posted higher-than-expected inflation in July, as CPI and core CPI climbed sharply. This has lowered expectations for an RBA rate cut in September. In the US, President Trump said he had removed Fed Governor Lisa Cook, but it's unclear if he has the authority to do so.
27-08-2025 09:45 GMT
by Kenneth Fisher
Australia releases the July inflation report on Wednesday, with CPI expected to jump to 2.3% from 1.9%. A rise in inflation could complicate RBA plans to continue lowering interest rates.
26-08-2025 10:10 GMT
by Kenneth Fisher
The Australian dollar has edged higher on Monday after jumping 1% on Friday after Jerome Powell's dovish speech at Jackson Hole. The RBA releases the minutes of the August meeting, at which the central bank trimmed rates by a quarter-point.
25-08-2025 15:15 GMT
by Kenneth Fisher
The New Zealand dollar jumped on Friday as the US dollar retreated following Jerome Powell's dovish speech at Jackson Hole. New Zealand retail sales rose 0.5% in the second quarter, beating the estimate of 0.2%.
25-08-2025 09:45 GMT
by Kenneth Fisher
Wall Street surges as Fed Chair Powell signals potential rate cut. Focus shifts to upcoming US PCE and Japanese inflation data. This weekly outlook examines market reactions and key economic releases ahead
22-08-2025 20:35 GMT
by Zain Vawda
Jerome Powell is giving a much-anticipated speech at the key Jackson Hole Symposium, known to generate volatility for FX, Equity and all-types of Markets.
Access the text and the live of his speech right here.
Market reactions coming soon.
22-08-2025 14:18 GMT
by Elior Manier
Japan's core CPI fell to 3.1% in July, down from 3.3%. Inflation remains well above the 2% target and the BoJ could deliver a rate hike in September or October. All eyes are on Jackson Hole, where Fed Chair Powell will deliver a speech later on Friday.
22-08-2025 12:55 GMT
by Kenneth Fisher
Canada releases retail sales later today, with a market estimate of 1.5% gain. All eyes are on the Jackson Hole Sympsium, where Fed Chair Powell will deliver a speech.
22-08-2025 09:35 GMT
by Kenneth Fisher
UK PMIs were a mixed bag in July. The Services PMI rose to 53.6 while the Manufacturing PMI contracted to 47.3. In the US, the Fed minutes pointed to dissension as to how best deal with the upside risk to inflation and the downside risk to employment.
21-08-2025 14:45 GMT
by Kenneth Fisher
Japan releases core CPI on Friday. The core rate has been dropping and is expected to ease to 3.0% in July, down from 3.7% in June. The Fed minutes pointed to differing views among members as how best to respond to a upside risk of inflation and a downside risk to employment.
21-08-2025 10:55 GMT
by Kenneth Fisher
Australia's wage growth posted a solid gain of 3.4% in Q2, unchanged from the first quarter. This comes a day after the RBA cut rates. In the US, CPI remained steady at 2.7% but the core rate jumped to 3.1% from 2.9% as US tariffs have made imports more expensive.
13-08-2025 08:25 GMT
by Kenneth Fisher
The UK employment report indicated that payrolls and job openings were down. Still, the unemployment rate remained at 4.7%. The US releases the July inflation report, with annual headline and core CPI expected to tick higher.
12-08-2025 10:40 GMT
by Kenneth Fisher
There were no surprises this time from the RBA, which shaved a quarter-point at today's meeting, lowering the cash rate to 3.60%. The US releases July inflation, with headline CPI expected to nudge higher to 2.8%, up from 2.7%.
12-08-2025 09:36 GMT
by Kenneth Fisher
The UK releases the employment report on Tuesday. Wage growth expected to fall, while the unemployment rate is projected to remain steady. The weakening labor market was a key factor in the BoE lowering rates last week.
11-08-2025 10:15 GMT
by Kenneth Fisher
The RBA meets on Tuesday and is virtually certain to lower rates by a quarter-point to 3.60%. Inflation is heading lower and the labor market is showing signs of slowing, both which support the case for a rate cut.
11-08-2025 09:25 GMT
by Kenneth Fisher
This weekly market outlook examines key economic events: US inflation, EU/UK GDP, and the RBA meeting. It reviews the past week's central bank actions (BoE, Banxico rate cuts; India steady), global equity performance, and currency/commodity movements. The article also provides a detailed look at upcoming data, focusing on APAC, Europe, and the US, and includes a chart analysis of the US Dollar Index (DXY).
08-08-2025 18:31 GMT
by Zain Vawda