Forex: all news & analysis

Explore our comprehensive Forex Archive, an essential resource that provides expert insights on price movements, trends, and the currency market. By analysing past price actions and key events, you can uncover vital market dynamics and elevate your understanding of effective trading strategies. Whether you're focusing on major currency pairs or emerging markets, our archive is packed with information to help you sharpen your trading decisions.

Swiss franc dips as Swiss GDP declines
The Swiss franc is down for a second straight trading day.  In the European session, USD/CHF is trading at 0.8980, up 0.38% on the day. Switzerland's GDP eases to 0.2% The Swiss economy slowed to 0.2% q/q in the fourth quarter of 2024, down from 0.4% in Q3 and in line with expectations.  This was the weakest expansion since Q2 2023.  Construction weakened in the fourth quarter but manufacturing and exports rebounded from the previous quarter.
by Kenneth Fisher
BoJ Core CPI climbs to 2.2%, yen declines
The Japanese yen is slightly lower on Wednesday.  In the North American session, USD/JPY is trading at 149.25, up 0.16% on the day. Japanese yen flexing muscles What is the best performing G-10 currency against the US dollar this year?  Surprisingly, the Japanese yen is the winner, with gains of about 5% against the greenback.  This is a remarkable turnaround from 2024, when the yen plunged 11.4% against the US dollar and sank to its lowest level in 38 years.
by Kenneth Fisher
Australian CPI lower than expected, Australian dollar drops
The Australian dollar has declined by 0.37% on Wednesday and is trading at 0.6320 in the European session. AUD/USD is down for a fourth consecutive trading day and has lost 1.2% during that time. January inflation unchanged at 2.5% Australia’s consumer price index was unchanged at 2.5% y/y for a second straight month in January.  This was below the market estimate of 2.6% but inflation stayed at its highest level since August 2024.
by Kenneth Fisher
AUD/JPY Outlook: Vulnerable for a major bearish breakdown below 93.65 key support
Revigorated US trade tariffs threat on Canada spark refresh weakness in commodities proxy currencies such as AUD. AUD/JPY may face further headwinds supported by a further narrowing of the 2-year yield spread premium between Australian and Japanese government bonds. A further risk-off in the major US stock indices may also trigger further weakness in the AUD/JPY. Watch the 93.65 potential major downside trigger level of the AUD/JPY.
by Kelvin Wong
European Union fires back, euro gains ground
The euro has gained ground on Tuesday.  In the North American session, EUR/USD is trading at 1.0485, up 0.18%. On Monday, the euro climbed as high as 1.0527, its highest level this year. EU says will retaliate if US imposes tariffs US President Donald Trump tariff threat has many countries up in arms, including staunch allies of the US.  The European Union has announced that if the US goes ahead with tariffs on European steel and aluminum, it will retaliate.
by Kenneth Fisher
Australian dollar awaiting inflation data
The Australian dollar is steady after two straight losing trading days.  In the North American session, AUD/USD is trading at 0.6343, down 0.09% on the day. Australia's CPI expected to tick higher Australia releases the consumer price index for January on Wednesday. Inflation has been moving higher, as CPI accelerated in December to 2.5% y/y, up from 2.3% and its highest level since August.  The market estimate for January stands at 2.6%.
by Kenneth Fisher
Monetary Policy Divergence and FX Exchange Rate Impacts: EURCAD & AUDCAD Analysis
Talking Points ECB and BOC Monetary Policy Divergence - EURCAD Exchange Rate Fluctuations RBA and BOC Monetary Policy Divergence - AUDCAD Exchange Rate Fluctuations Canada and Australia Inflation Data and Interest Rate Expectations AUDCAD Technical Analysis: Trend Break and Support Following the inflation peak of 2022 and as central banks globally began raising interest rates, the global disinflation process has progressed at different paces for each economy.
by Moheb Hanna
USD/CAD Eyes Breakout as Tariff Deadline Approaches
● The US Dollar's recovery on tariff talk is causing the USD/CAD pair to bounce. ● The main events to watch out for this week are the US PCE data and Canadian GDP for Q4. ● A close above 1.43100 on the daily candle chart would signal a structural shift that could empower bulls. USD/CAD has enjoyed a bounce to start the week as the US Dollar eyes a recovery. The pair has been caught in a tight range since February 14, but does appear to be consolidating ahead of a potential breakout.
by Zain Vawda
Japanese yen steady as producer price inflation unchanged
The Japanese yen continues to have a quiet week.  In the European session, USD/JPY is trading at 149.68, down 0.01% on the day. The yen has shown recent strength against the US dollar and gained 2% last week.  On Monday, the yen strengthened to 148.84 per dollar, its strongest level this year.
by Kenneth Fisher
Gold (XAU/USD) Retreats From Fresh All-Time Highs, Bulls Remain in Control
Gold is nearing the $3000/oz mark, potentially reaching it briefly before a pullback. Concerns about the stock market and a murky Fed outlook are driving investors towards gold. Key economic data releases this week include US GDP and PCE data. Most Read: Global Market Outlook 2025: Trends, Risks, and Opportunities for Traders Risk aversion persisted in the markets today, as the end of February draws to a close.
by Zain Vawda
Germany moves to the right, euro pares gains
The euro rose as much as 0.55% on Monday but has pared most of these gains. In the North American session, EUR/USD is trading at 1.0467, up 0.11%. Merz's conservatives win German election Germany has voted and Friedrich Merz is slated to become the next president.
by Kenneth Fisher
New Zealand dollar steady as retail sales sparkle
The New Zealand dollar is showing little movement on Monday.  NZD/USD is trading at 0.5745 in the European session, up 0.07% on the day. NZ retail sales hit 3-year high The week started on a high note in New Zealand, as retail sales jumped 0.9% q/q in the fourth quarter of 2024, after a revised flat reading in the third quarter and above the market estimate of 0.6%.
by Kenneth Fisher
EURJPY Market Analysis: ECB, BOJ, and Technical Outlook
ECB Rate Decision: Inflation, Tariffs, and Market Sentiment Impact on EURJPY The European Central Bank (ECB) is scheduled to announce its interest rates and monetary policy statement on March 6th, 2025, followed by its standard press conference. The meeting occurs during a period of heightened market uncertainty due to trade wars and tariff implications.
by Moheb Hanna
Markets Weekly Outlook - US PCE, Japanese Inflation & Tariffs in Focus
US equity markets experienced a slight downturn due to concerns about inflation impacting consumer spending, highlighted by Walmart's cautious outlook. The upcoming US PCE data is crucial as the Fed's preferred inflation measure. Japanese inflation data will also be key this week as markets eye the Bank of Japans next move.
by Zain Vawda
UK retail sales jump, British pound steady
The British pound has steadied on Friday against the US Dollar after climbing 0.6% a day earlier.  GBP/USD is trading at 1.2655 in the European session, down 0.1% on the day. UK retail sales jump 1.7% UK retail sales sparkled in January, climbing 1.7% m/m.  The reading crushed the market estimate of 0.3% and bounced back from an upwardly revised -0.6% in December.  This was the fastest pace since May 2024 and was largely driven by a sharp increase in food store sales.
by Kenneth Fisher
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) Holds Above $95k but Faces Significant Resistance Ahead
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) is holding above $95k but facing significant resistance. While spot Bitcoin ETFs have attracted substantial investments, there have been recent net outflows, and on-chain data suggests a cooling down in speculative appetite. Strategy's potential Bitcoin purchase, following a $2 billion fundraising, could be a catalyst for a future bull run. Most Read: Brent Oil Price Forecast: Supply Concerns and Technical Analysis Bitcoin has regained momentum after finding support at the key
by Zain Vawda
Aussie hits 2025 high on strong jobs data
The Australian dollar has posted strong gains on Thursday.  In the European session, AUD/USD is trading at 0.6377, up 0.55% on the day. Australia's job growth beats forecast Australia's labor market continues to shine.  The economy created 44 thousand jobs in January, blowing past the market estimate of 20 thousand.  This followed an upwardly revised gain of 60 thousand in December.  Impressively, full-time employment jumped 54.1 thousand and part-time employment decreased by 10.1 thousand.  The
by Kenneth Fisher
Market Insights Podcast - Gold hits record high, UK inflation higher than expected, Reserve Bank of New Zealand slashes rates
Join OANDA Market Analyst Kenny Fisher & podcast guest Nick Syiek (TraderNick) as they review the latest market news and moves. MarketPulse provides up-to-the-minute analysis on forex, commodities and indices from around the world. MarketPulse is an award-winning news site that delivers round-the-clock commentary on a wide range of asset classes, as well as in-depth insights into the major economic trends and events that impact the markets.
by Kenneth Fisher
EUR/JPY Technical: On the verge of a potential bearish breakdown after 6 months of consolidation
The recent Euro strength in the past week has fizzled out. The ongoing trend of the 2-year yield premium shrinkage between the 2-year German Bunds over Japanese Government Bonds reinforced further potential downside in EUR/JPY. Watch the 155.45 downside trigger level of the EUR/JPY. After a multi-month downtrend in the Euro Currency Index from the September 2024 high of 112.14 to the January 2025 low of 101.92, the Euro has started consolidating due to speculative net short positioning. The Eur
by Kelvin Wong
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