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EUR/USD Forecast: Will Tariffs or Data Drive the Pair?
EUR/USD faces volatility amid tariff uncertainty and mixed US data. German data offers optimism. Technical analysis points to potential bullish breakout with key resistance at 1.0500, 1.0600, and 1.0700 and support at 1.0425, 1.0350, and 1.0293. Upcoming US Core PCE report is crucial.
by Zain Vawda
Japanese yen recovers after hawkish Bank of Japan minutes
The yen has bounced back today after declining almost 1% a day earlier. The BoJ minutes from the January meeting were on the hawkish side, as most members favored further rate hikes if growth and inflation evolved as the Bank expected. BOJ Core inflation remained at 2.2%, in line with expectations and its highest level in 11 months.
by Kenneth Fisher
Navigating the US Dollar (DXY): Tariffs, Data, and Technicals
The US Dollar Index (DXY) hit a 3-week high on positive US business activity data and hopes for less severe tariffs. Services PMI drove growth while manufacturing contracted. Market focus turns to PCE data and tariff developments due April 2nd, which could significantly impact the Dollar.
by Zain Vawda
Japan's core CPI higher than expected, yen weakens to 150
Japan's core inflation fell to 3% in February but this was above the market estimate of 2.9%. Headline inflation fell to 3.7% from 4%, lower than the market estimate of 4.2%. The Bank of Japan is expected to continue raising rates, most likely in June or July. In the US, New York Fed President Williams said that monetary policy was in the right spot, given the risk of higher inflation and lower growth.
by Kenneth Fisher
Markets Weekly Outlook - US Dollar, Inflation & PMI Data Analysis
The weekly outlook analyzes recent market struggles, noting investor concerns over US trade policies and inflation. We preview key economic data releases, including PMI and inflation figures from the US, Europe, UK, and Asia Pacific. Lastly, we look at the US Dollar's recent rally and provide technical analysis of the DXY, along with important support and resistance levels to watch.
by Zain Vawda
Bank of Japan maintains rate, yen hits 150
The Bank of Japan held rates at 0.50% at today's meeting, as expected. The Bank said that inflation was moving higher but expressed concern about US trade policy. The yen continues to lose ground and hit 150 earlier. The Federal Reserve meets later today and is virtually certain to maintain interest rates.
by Kenneth Fisher
FOMC & Market Impact: Inflation, Rates, and the US Dollar
Preview of the March 19, 2025, FOMC meeting. Explore the Fed's expected decisions on interest rates amid mixed economic signals. Analysis of inflation, labor market, and consumer sentiment. Key focus on Powell's press conference and US Dollar Index technical outlook.
by Zain Vawda
Canada's CPI expected to rise
Canada releases CPI for February, which is expected to accelerate to 2.1% from 1.9%. Inflation has remained around the Bank of Canada's 2% target but the trade dispute with the US could boost inflation. US retail sales posted a weak gain of 0.2% after a 1.2% decline in January.
by Kenneth Fisher
Weekly Market Outlook: Central Banks, US Rates, and Trade War Impact
This week's market outlook analyzes key central bank decisions, with the Fed and BoE in focus. We also examine US equity fund flows, inflation data, and trade war impacts. Discover support and resistance levels for the S&P 500 and insights into FX and oil markets. Stay informed with our weekly financial market review.
by Zain Vawda
New Zealand dollar climbs as manufacturing improves
The New Zealand dollar is in positive territory on Friday.  NZD/USD is trading at 0.5722 in the European session, up 0.46% on the day. NZ Manufacturing PMI rises to near-three year high New Zealand's manufacturing sector improved in February, as Manufacturing PMI rose to 53.9, up from 52.5 in January.  This was the highest level since August 2022.  All sub-index values recorded increases, including production, new orders and employment.  The Manufacturing PMI has now recorded expansi
by Kenneth Fisher
GBP/USD shrugs as UK GDP unexpectedly declines
The British pound has edged lower against the US dollar on Friday.  GBP/USD is trading at 1.2928 in the European session, down 0.13% on the day. UK economy declines 0.1% in January The UK economy barely registered any growth in the second half of 2024, rising 0.1% in the third quarter and flatlining in the third quarter.  The New Year hasn't seen any improvement, as GDP contracted 0.1% m/m in January, after a 0.4% gain in December and missing the market estimate of 0.1%.
by Kenneth Fisher
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