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UK retail sales beat forecast, pound edges lower
UK retail sales surprised on the upside, with an increase of 0.4% m/m in March. Still, consumer confidence worsened in April as consumers are anxious about the cost of living and worsening global trade tensions. In the US, UoM consumer inflation expectations is expected to jump to 6.7%, up from 5.0% a month earlier.
by Kenneth Fisher
Yen loses ground as Tokyo core CPI hits 2-year high
Tokyo Core CPI surged to 3.4%, up sharply from 2.4%. The BoJ is expected to hold rates in May, with a rate hike expected in June or July. The UoM consumer inflation expectations index is expected to hit 6.7%, up from 5% in the previous release.
by Kenneth Fisher
British PMIs slip, Trump says won't fire Powell
UK services and manufacuturing PMIs fell into contraction territory, underscoring the weak UK economy. Equity markets have climbed after President Trump said he did not intend to fire Fed Reserve Chair Powell and said that tariffs on China would be lowered.
by Kenneth Fisher
Euro under pressure as Services PMIs slip
The euro is showing limited movement on Wednesday. Euro and German Services PMIs missed expectations and fell into contraction territory. Business acitivity has been hampered by US tariffs which have chilled the global economy landscape.
by Kenneth Fisher
Euro hits 3.5 year high, ECB closing in on inflation target
ECB member Peter Kazimir said on Tuesday that he expected the ECB to achieve its 2% inflation target in the next few months. Kazimir cautioned against projecting where monetary policy was headed because of volatile conditions in the market. US President Trump has continued to attack Fed Chair Powell, which has weighed on the equity markets.
by Kenneth Fisher
Yen surges to five-month high as US dollar under pressure
The Japanese yen is sharply higher on Monday, as the US dollar has retreated against the major currencies. The dollar's decline follows renewed attacks by President Trump on Fed Chair Powell for not lowering interest rates. Last week, Powell said US tariffs would raise inflation. This will make it more difficult for the Fed to lower interest rates.
by Kenneth Fisher
ECB lowers rates, Euro edges higher
The ECB lowered interest rates by a quarter-point, a move that was expected by the markets. The ECB expressed concern that US tariff policy could dampen eurozone growth. US President Turmp has threatened further tariffs on Europe, which would further escalate trade tensions.
by Kenneth Fisher
Yen surges to six-month high, BoJ cautious
The Japanese yen has extended its gains and is up 1.1% today. The yen is benefiting from safe-haven flows as nervous investors are fleeing the equity markets. BOJ Governor Ueda said today that the BoJ will be monitoring the impact of US tariffs before raising interest rates.
by Kenneth Fisher
New Zealand's central bank expected to lower rates by a quarter-point
The New Zealand dollar has been volatile and has jumped 1.3% today. The Reserve Bank of New Zealand meets on Wednesday and is widely expected to trim rates by a quarter-point. The US tariff policy threatens to trigger a global trade war which would likely cause significant damage to New Zealand's export-reliant economy.
by Kenneth Fisher
Australian dollar rebounds as market turmoil eases
The Australian dollar continues to swing and is up close to 1% today. Australia's consumer confidence sagged with a sharp decline of 6%. Trade tensions between China and the US are escalating after China imposed a 34% counter-tariff and the US threatened to respond with a 50% tariff.
by Kenneth Fisher
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