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Forex: all news & analysis

Explore our comprehensive Forex Archive, an essential resource that provides expert insights on price movements, trends, and the currency market. By analysing past price actions and key events, you can uncover vital market dynamics and elevate your understanding of effective trading strategies. Whether you're focusing on major currency pairs or emerging markets, our archive is packed with information to help you sharpen your trading decisions.

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The ECB is unlikely to change rates in the near future
ECB likely to hold rates at a 2% deposit; markets price no move. Inflation is nearer target and expectations ticked up to 2.5%, so the path may be revised slightly higher on energy. Activity is improving—composite PMI 51.0 and manufacturing above 50—signaling modest recovery. Q3 GDP may be nudged up; core inflation still converging to 2%. Baseline: keep policy on hold this year while monitoring data.
10-09-2025 11:07 GMT by Łukasz Zembik
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Aussie eyes Australian inflation expectations, Aussie higher
Australia releases inflation expectations on Thursday, with a market estimate of 3.9%, unchanged from the previous release. China continues to struggle with deflation, as CPI and PPI both declined in August. In the US, CPI is expected to rise to 2.9% from 2.7% and core CPI is projected to remain unchanged at 3.1%.
10-09-2025 10:45 GMT by Kenneth Fisher
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AUD/USD Technical: Further Aussie rally towards major resistance, supported by firmer China core inflation
AUD/USD has staged a 3.2% rebound since testing key Expanding Wedge support on 22 Aug, reaching 0.6620 on 9 Sep amid broad USD weakness. The upswing is reinforced by China’s improving core CPI, which signals firmer demand prospects for Australian commodities. With AUD/USD trading above key moving averages and momentum intact, near-term bias remains bullish, eyeing resistance at 0.6640/0.6680 while support holds at 0.6580.
10-09-2025 05:14 GMT by Kelvin Wong
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US CPI Preview: Implications for the DXY & Federal Reserve
Preview of US CPI data and its shaky outlook. Explores the core CPI debate, underlying inflationary drivers, and the Federal Reserve's policy puzzle. Analyzes potential implications for the US Dollar, rate cut expectations, and market reactions to "hot" or "cool" CPI prints. Includes a USD Index chart.
09-09-2025 21:03 GMT by Zain Vawda
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Canadian Dollar under pressure from soft employment figures – CAD outlook
The Canadian Dollar is under heavy pressure, ranking as the second-worst performing major in 2025 after the USD. Weak GDP, tariff-driven headwinds, and a -60K jobs print highlight a slowing domestic economy. With unemployment at 7.1% and European currencies surging, CAD remains vulnerable. We review USDCAD, EURCAD, and CADJPY technical levels.
09-09-2025 20:07 GMT by Elior Manier
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The week ahead preview with WTI crude, US CPI, and ECB meeting on the radar
WTI crude, US CPI, and the ECB meeting take center stage in the week ahead. Oil prices face supply-demand pressures, while US inflation data will guide Fed policy expectations. Meanwhile, the ECB is set to decide on rates, with markets watching closely for signals on the end of its easing cycle. These events are likely to drive volatility across commodities, currencies, and equities, making them key focal points for traders.
09-09-2025 10:50 GMT by Kelvin Wong
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EUR/USD Technical: Euro bullish breakout, what’s next?
The EUR/USD extended its bullish breakout, rising 0.8% to 1.1778 in the 9 Sep Asia session. Following weak US jobs data, focus shifts to Thursday’s ECB decision and US core CPI release. The ECB is expected to pause rate cuts at 2%, signaling the cycle’s end, while narrowing US-German yield spreads and prospects of a Fed dovish pivot support euro strength. Key short-term support sits at 1.1700, with resistance at 1.1830 and 1.1910.
09-09-2025 06:23 GMT by Kelvin Wong
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Japan's GDP sparkles, yen pushes higher
Japan's GDP surprised on the upside in Q2, with a strong gain of 2.2% y/y, as private consumption and exports increased. US nonfarm payrolls fell to 22 thousand and the markets have fully priced a rate cut at next week's Fed meeting.
08-09-2025 13:20 GMT by Kenneth Fisher
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