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Pound under pressure ahead of US, UK inflation reports
US inflation is expected to rise in June, which would mean that the Trump tariffs are finally making their bite felt in the form of higher inflation. The UK releases inflation on Wednesday, with both the headline and core rates expected to remain unchanged.
by Kenneth Fisher
Australian dollar eyes China GDP
China relaeases GDP on Tuesday, with a market estimate of 5.1% for the second quarter, compared to 5.4% in Q1. China's industrial production and retail sales are both expected to slow in June. Australia releases consumer sentiment on Tuesday, with a consensus of 0.4%.
by Kenneth Fisher
Canada's job growth shines but Canadian dollar shrugs
Canada's job growth surprised on the upside in June, with a stellar gain of 83.1 thousand. The unemployment rate dropped for the first time since January. The strong numbers have lowered expectations that the BoC will lower rates at the July 30 meeting.
by Kenneth Fisher
UK GBP contracts, pound dips
UK GDP contracted in May for a second straight month, coming in below expectations at -0.1%. The weak data has raised expectations for a BoE rate cut in August.
by Kenneth Fisher
Japan PPI slips to 10-month low
Japan's PPI dropped from 3.3% to 2.9%, indicating that underlying inflation is easing for producer prices. The FOMC minutes showed that members are open to further rate cuts but are split as to the timing.
by Kenneth Fisher
UK GDP expected to expand, British pound lower
The UK releases May GDP on Friday, with the markets forecasting a small gain of 0.1%. The OBR said that the UK's public finances are on an "unsustainble" path in the long-term. The FOMC minutes were dovish but members are split on the the timing of the next rate cut.
by Kenneth Fisher
China's PPI slides, Australian dollar steady
China's PPI came in lower than expected, with a sharp contraction of 3.6%. CPI posted a weak gain of 0.1% as China continues to grapple with deflation. The Fed releases the FOMC minutes of the June meeting later today.
by Kenneth Fisher
Australia's retail sales miss forecast, Aussie slips
Australian inflation climbed 0.2%, which was less than expected. This has raised expectations that the RBA will trim rates next month to close to 100%. The US releases the June jobs report on Thursday and nonfarm payrolls are expected to drop to just 110 thousand.
by Kenneth Fisher
German CPI flatlines, eurozone CPI next
Monthly, German CPI flatlined in June. Annualized, German CPI eaased to 2%, the ECB's inflation target. In the US, consumer spending (PCE) declined, another sign that the US economy is showing cracks.
by Kenneth Fisher
UK GDP impresses with 0.7% gain in Q1
UK GDP surprised on the upside with a strong gain of 0.7% in the first quarter. This will be welcome news for the UK government and the BoE but concerns remain that growth will weaken in the second half of the year. In the US, consumer spending contracted for the first time since January.
by Kenneth Fisher
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