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Germany 30 Technical: New intraday record high, short-term bullish trend intact

Cleared above 16,300 major range resistance in place since November 2021. Watch the 16,440 key short-term support. This is a follow-up analysis of our prior report, “Germany 30 Technical: Bullish momentum remains intact” published on 24 November 2023. Click here for a recap. The price actions of the Germany 30 Index (a proxy for the DAX futures) have continued to surge upward since our last analysis and cleared above the 16,200 short-term resistance as highlighted in our prior report. Yesterd

06-12-2023 04:37 GMT by Kelvin Wong

Australian dollar rebounds despite soft GDP

Australian GDP falls to 0.2% AUD/USD rebounds after two-day losing streak The Australian dollar has bounced back on Wednesday and snapped a two-day losing streak. In the European session, AUD/USD is trading at 0.6574, up 0.34%. Australian GDP eases to 0.2% Australia's GDP rose 0.2% q/q in the third quarter, below the consensus estimate of 0.4% and the second quarter print of 0.4%.

06-12-2023 04:34 GMT by Kenneth Fisher

USD/JPY: Bearish momentum remains intact despite softer Tokyo CPI

Tokyo’s CPI for November slowed down further due to a recent drop in oil prices. Tokyo’s services prices accelerated to 3% y/y in November, its fastest pace since 1994. Japan’s latest consumer sentiment data for November also improved to its highest level since August 2023. A boost in consumer sentiment coupled with services inflation on the uptick indicates signs of a potential demand-driven increase in prices has emerged in Japan.

06-12-2023 01:30 GMT by Kelvin Wong

Nasdaq - How sustainable is the stock market rally? PMIs a positive surprise

Are interest rate expectations too optimistic? PMI revisions positive but the outlook is broadly unchanged NAS100 nears all-time highs Equity markets in Europe and the US continued to edge higher on Tuesday despite many now questioning whether investors are getting too carried away. The rally appears to be based on the view that central banks from the Fed to the ECB and BoC will start cutting interest rates in March and then do so another three times over the rest of 2024. That's quite the diff

05-12-2023 15:01 GMT by Craig Erlam

EUR/USD - slump continues despite Services PMIs' improvement

Germany, eurozone PMIs revised upwards Euro slide continues for a fifth day US ISM Services PMI beats forecast The euro has extended its losses on Tuesday. In the North American session, EUR/USD is trading at 1.0792, down 0.41%.

05-12-2023 12:30 GMT by Kenneth Fisher

Australian dollar slides as RBA holds rates

RBA maintains cash rate at 4.35% Australian dollar extends slide The Australian dollar is down sharply for a second straight day. In the European session, AUD/USD is trading at 0.6561, down 0.88%.

05-12-2023 07:47 GMT by Kenneth Fisher

Japanese yen steady, Tokyo CPI falls

Tokyo Core CPI eases to 2.3% US to release ISM Services PMI later today The Japanese yen has edged lower on Tuesday. In the European session, USD/JPY is trading at 147.08, down 0.10%. Tokyo Core CPI softer than expected Tokyo Core CPI, a leading indicator for nationwide inflation, climbed 2.3% y/y in November.

05-12-2023 04:36 GMT by Kenneth Fisher

AUD/USD: Challenging key 200-day moving average post RBA

RBA left its policy cash rate unchanged at 4.35% in line with expectations. A slight dovish tonality in the monetary policy statement has reduced the expectations of a “hawkish pause”. Technical analysis suggests that the medium-term uptrend phase of the AUD/USD from its 26 October 2023 low remains intact. Watch the 0.6570 pivotal support. This is a follow-up analysis of our prior report, “AUD/USD: Bullish breakout ahead of monthly AU CPI data” published on 28 November 2023.

04-12-2023 23:53 GMT by Kelvin Wong

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Podcast - Gold flash rally to record high, US non-farm payrolls and RBA looms ahead

OANDA Senior Market Analyst Kelvin Wong joins Jonny Hart to discuss this week's key economic data releases, events, and gold's flash rally on Monday toward a new record high. The short to medium-term dynamics at play for gold given that market expectations have increasingly skewed toward a Fed pivot.

04-12-2023 20:47 GMT by Kelvin Wong

US jobs data eyed ahead of next week's Fed rate decision

US jobs report the next major event Powell hints at less hawkish Fed view JOLTS, ISM and jobless claims eyed The next couple of weeks could be massive for financial markets going into 2024, with a range of data from the US in the coming days setting us up nicely for the Fed meeting on the 13th. The standout event is the jobs report on Friday, with the Fed still seemingly of the view that getting inflation back sustainably to target will require some more slack in the labor market.

04-12-2023 19:07 GMT by Craig Erlam

Euro extends slide, Services PMIs next

Eurozone inflation falls to 2.4% Powell's push back doesn't faze markets Eurozone and Germany to release Services PMIs on Tuesday The euro is down considerably on Monday. In the North American session, EUR/USD is trading at 1.0817, down 0.60%.

04-12-2023 11:26 GMT by Kenneth Fisher

AUD/USD slips ahead of RBA decision

AUD/USD lower on Monday RBA likely to maintain rates on Tuesday The Australian dollar has started the week in negative territory. In the European session, AUD/USD is trading at 0.6648, down 0.40%.

04-12-2023 05:59 GMT by Kenneth Fisher

Gold Technical: Medium-term uptrend remains intact but risk of minor pull-back

Today’s early Asian session's swift rally to a fresh all-time high is likely to be driven by a thin liquidity trading environment rather than the Israel-Hamas geopolitical war risk premium. Spot Gold’s portfolio hedging role may gain traction as global recession risk resurfaces. Medium-term uptrend phase remains intact but may shape a minor pull-back below US$2,152 key short-term pivotal resistance with immediate supports at US$2,032/2,018. This is a follow-up analysis of our prior report, “Gol

04-12-2023 00:59 GMT by Kelvin Wong

Brent Crude - Oil volatile near lows after OPEC+ "deal"

OPEC+ unofficially agree to 2.2 million barrel per day cut Full compliance with cuts already looks unlikely Brent continues to consolidate near recent lows Oil prices remain quite volatile but more importantly, not too far from their recent lows after traders judged yesterday's announcement from OPEC+ with some skepticism.

01-12-2023 17:16 GMT by Craig Erlam

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Market Insights Podcast - OPEC+ deal, manufacturing recession easing

OANDA Senior Market Analyst Craig Erlam joins Jonny Hart and Trader Nick to discuss Jerome Powell's fireside chat, the manufacturing PMIs and the OPEC+ deal.

01-12-2023 16:30 GMT by Craig Erlam

EURCAD Technical Analysis – Price Action Forecast and Important Levels to Watch

This article goes over different tools and indicators covering EURCAD, in some cases, cross-pairs can provide trade setups of a different nature as the US Dollar is partially taken out of the equation. Trading in financial markets requires an overview of different types of tools and the same applies to forex trading. Talking points Inflation Rate Overview - European Union and Canada Daily Chart Technical analysis Sentiment Indicators: Commitment of Traders report, and OANDA’s order book. Relat

01-12-2023 07:25 GMT by Moheb Hanna

Euro steady ahead of US Mfg. PMI, Powell remarks

Eurozone inflation falls to 2.4% US ISM Manufacturing PMI expected to improve to 47.6 Fed Chair Powell will deliver remarks in Atlanta The euro is showing limited movement on Friday. In the European session, EUR/USD is trading at 1.0897, up 0.09%. Eurozone inflation falls more than expected Eurozone inflation has been falling and the November report brought good tidings.

01-12-2023 07:13 GMT by Kenneth Fisher

USD/CAD eyes Canadian job data, US PMI

Canada's job growth expected to expand by 15,000 US ISM Manufacturing PMI projected to accelerate to 47.6 The Canadian dollar continues to gain ground against a slumping US dollar. In the European session, USD/CAD is trading at 1.3529, down 0.23%. The Canadian currency is poised to post a third straight winning week against the greenback and soared 2.25% in November.

01-12-2023 06:18 GMT by Kenneth Fisher

Swiss franc hits 4-month high, GDP beats forecast

Swiss franc climbs to 4-month high Swiss GDP rises 0.3% US ISM Manufacturing PMI expected to rise slightly The Swiss franc is lower on Friday. In the European session, USD/CHF is trading at 0.8723, down 0.22%. Swiss franc continues to climb The Swiss franc continues to power higher against a slumping US dollar.

01-12-2023 04:28 GMT by Kenneth Fisher

WTI Oil Technical: Positive elements intact ex-post OPEC+

Earlier rally in WTI crude oil fizzled out ex-post OPEC+ meeting due to uncertainty over 2024 oil supply cut commitments from members. The strongest commitment came from Saudi Arabia where it will extend its its voluntary 1 million barrels per day supply through Q1 2024 while Angola has decided to go against its newly reduced supply target. Technical analysis suggests several positive elements in WTI crude oil despite the uncertainty over the demand and supply dynamics of the oil market. Watch t

01-12-2023 00:55 GMT by Kelvin Wong

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