Improved growth prospects in Germany, while the US faces an increased risk of stagflation, may trigger a multi-month bullish move in the EUR/USD
14-04-2025 11:00 GMT
by Kelvin Wong
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This week's market outlook covers significant USD volatility, hitting 2022 lows, driven by tariff changes and global economic concerns. Gold prices surge, while oil faces losses. The US Treasury market sees its biggest yield jump in 20 years amid investor worries. Focus on upcoming ECB meeting, central bank decisions and China's GDP are expected.
11-04-2025 20:03 GMT
by Zain Vawda
The pound continues to rally and has gained 0.9% today. UK GDP surprised on the upside with a strong gain of 0.5%. The US-China trade war has escalated with China lifting tariffs on US products to 125%.
11-04-2025 10:00 GMT
by Kenneth Fisher
UK GDP surges 0.5% in February 2025, exceeding forecasts and boosting GBP/USD above 1.3000. The US Dollar Index (DXY) falls to July 2023 lows, breaking the 100.00 barrier. This dollar weakness fuels GBP gains, with technical analysis pointing to potential further upside. Markets await UK wage and inflation data next week for further direction.
11-04-2025 07:54 GMT
by Zain Vawda
The British pound has posted sharp gains today as the financial markets have soared following the US announcement of a suspension of tariffs. On Friday, the UK releases GDP.
10-04-2025 13:30 GMT
by Kenneth Fisher
The Australian dollar has extended its gains and is showing strong volatility in response to the wild swings in the equity markets. China's deflationary pressures continue which could spell trouble for Australia's export sector.
10-04-2025 11:20 GMT
by Kenneth Fisher
The EUR/USD pair's recent rise comes amid escalating US-China trade tensions, despite markets anticipating an ECB rate cut in April. It highlights how China's retaliatory tariffs have impacted the US Dollar and risk assets with EUR an unlikely beneficiary. How far can the rally go?
09-04-2025 11:56 GMT
by Zain Vawda
The Reserve Bank of New Zealand trimmed rates by a quarter-point, lowering the cash rate to 3.5%. The rate statement expressed satisfaction that inflation was close to 2% but noted concern about the downward risk to New Zealand's growth due to the US tariffs.
09-04-2025 10:40 GMT
by Kenneth Fisher
Global stocks may continue to face headwinds over stagflation risk, while an apparent resurgence of US dollar strength is missing in this current bout of risk-off due to a change in the global world order.
08-04-2025 18:00 GMT
by Kelvin Wong
The New Zealand dollar has been volatile and has jumped 1.3% today. The Reserve Bank of New Zealand meets on Wednesday and is widely expected to trim rates by a quarter-point. The US tariff policy threatens to trigger a global trade war which would likely cause significant damage to New Zealand's export-reliant economy.
08-04-2025 14:20 GMT
by Kenneth Fisher
The Australian dollar continues to swing and is up close to 1% today. Australia's consumer confidence sagged with a sharp decline of 6%. Trade tensions between China and the US are escalating after China imposed a 34% counter-tariff and the US threatened to respond with a 50% tariff.
08-04-2025 11:00 GMT
by Kenneth Fisher
The Australian dollar remains shaky after massive losses on Friday. The risk-off market is seeing flows away from the risky Aussie to the US dollar. Australian business and confidence releases are expected to decline on Tuesday.
07-04-2025 17:50 GMT
by Kenneth Fisher
Japan's real wages declined by 1.2%, the second straight decline. This reflects rising inflation which has eroded wage growth. US nonfarm payrolls rose 222 thousand in February, blowing past the revised January reading of 117 thousand and above the market estimate of 135 thousand.
07-04-2025 04:59 GMT
by Kenneth Fisher
US tariff proposals send markets tumbling as China announced retaliatory tariffs on Friday which saw J.P. Morgan's increase their recession odds. Markets are concerned about a global recession heading into next week after Fed Chair Powell delivered cautious remarks. The week ahead focuses on upcoming tariff developments, US inflation data, and the RBNZ interest rate meeting, plus key levels for the Nasdaq 100.
04-04-2025 18:43 GMT
by Zain Vawda
After the massive selloff on Wall Street on Thursday, investors are focusing on US nonfarm payrolls, which is expected to ease to 135 thousand from 151 thousand. Japan's household spending rebounded in February with a 3.5% gain, after a 4.5% decline in January.
04-04-2025 11:10 GMT
by Kenneth Fisher
Dive into the April 2025 NFP preview. Explore job market expectations, potential market reactions to data releases, and the crucial role of Fed Chair Powell's speech. Analyze how tariff announcements impact the US dollar and indices like the Dow Jones. Will the NFP print lead to a wider market recovery?
04-04-2025 06:21 GMT
by Zain Vawda
Gold (XAU/USD) experienced a $100 drop but held $3050 support. Tariffs and profit-taking caused volatility. More whipsaw price action or fresh all-time highs incoming?
03-04-2025 12:15 GMT
by Zain Vawda
EUR/USD surges on US tariffs and positive Eurozone PMI. Trump's "Liberation Day" tariffs weaken the Dollar, pushing EUR/USD to multi-month highs. Market eyes upcoming US data, including Nonfarm Payrolls, for further direction. Technical analysis shows an overbought RSI, suggesting potential pullback. ECB rate cut bets rise amidst market uncertainty.
03-04-2025 08:33 GMT
by Zain Vawda
Increasing probability of stagflation risk in the US may trigger a fresh bout of yen strength, inflicting further weakness into CAD/JPY
03-04-2025 01:00 GMT
by Kelvin Wong
The Reserve Bank of Australia held the cash rate at 4.10%, in a move that was widely expected by markets. Still, the Australian dollar reacted positively, gaining 0.48% on Tuesday.
02-04-2025 11:50 GMT
by Kenneth Fisher